Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oak Grove Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.46 $8.93 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 37% below | 1% |
| Sokol Blosser Evolution Lucky No 9 White Blend Oregon 2021 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $3.53 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 37% below | <1% |
| Porta Vita Rosso red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.49 | 0.0% | ▲ 3.6% | 37% below | 11% typically +12% if it rises |
| Raptor Ridge Whole Cluster Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2018 red · Oregon · 375 ml | $18.99 | 0.0% | — | 37% below | <1% |
| Capataz Tinto Alentejo 2021 red · 750 ml | $2.93 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 37% below | <1% |
| 90 Plus Cellars Marlborough New Zealand Sauvignon Blanc 2023 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $2.93 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 37% below | <1% |
| San Felo Maremma Sangiovese red · Tuscany · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 37% below | 7% typically +10% if it rises |
| Columbia Winery Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2020 red · Washington · 750 ml | $10.99 | 0.0% | — | 37% below | <1% |
| Franzia Chillable Red red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.49 | 0.0% | ▲ 3.8% | 37% below | 3% |
| Louis Bernard Louis Cotes du Rhone Villages 2020 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | 37% below | <1% |
| Mills Reef Winery Estate Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2022 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 37% below | <1% |
| Sean Minor California Series Sauvignon Blanc 2022 white · California Central Valley · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 37% below | <1% |
| Albino Rocca Moscato d'Asti 2019 sparkling · Piedmont · 750 ml | $3.53 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 37% below | <1% |
| Boutinot Les Coteaux Cotes du Rhone Villages Rouge 2023 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | 37% below | <1% |
| Josh Cellars Craftsman's Collection Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.45 $10.91 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 36% below | 1% |
| Left Coast The Orchard Vineyard Pinot Gris Van Duzer Corridor 2022 white · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | 36% below | <1% |
| Browne Family Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2019 red · Washington · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 36% below | <1% |
| Kendall Jackson Special Select Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.01 $12.02 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 36% below | 1% |
| Pacific Rim Riesling Wallula Vineyard Horse Heaven Hills 2017 white · Washington · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 36% below | <1% |
| Bonny Doon Le Cigare Volant Red 2023 red · 750 ml | $12.99 | — | — | 36% below | <1% |
| Pommery POP Champagne sparkling · Champagne · 187 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.03 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 36% below | 1% |
| Ken Wright Cellars Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2023 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $24.99 | ▼ 7.4% | — | 36% below | <1% |
| Lothian Vineyards Horny Owl Shiraz Western Cape 2019 red · Western Cape · 750 ml | $3.93 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 36% below | <1% |
| Carlo Rossi Moscato Sangria white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.99 | ▲ 9.1% | ▲ 33.4% | 36% below | 1% |
| Casa Santos Lima Lab Reserva Tinto 2020 red · 750 ml | $2.93 $8.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 36% below | <1% |
| Embroidery Pinot Noir Monterey County 2024 red · Monterey · 750 ml | $9.99 | — | — | 36% below | 1% |
| Franzia Chardonnay white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.59 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.0% | 36% below | 4% |
| Board Track Speed Racer Red Blend Columbia Valley 2022 red · Washington · 750 ml | $8.99 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 36% below | <1% |
| Pio Cesare L'Altro Chardonnay Langhe 2018 white · Piedmont · 750 ml | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | 36% below | <1% |
| Renacer Punto Final Malbec Mendoza 2021 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 36% below | <1% |
| La Gioiosa Prosecco Rose 2021 sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml | $5.73 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 36% below | <1% |
| Bootstrap Red Blend red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.73 $8.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 36% below | 2% |
| La Gioiosa Prosecco Rose 2023 sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml | $9.99 | — | — | 36% below | 1% |
| Monte del Fra Ca del Magro Custoza Superiore 2022 red · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | 36% below | <1% |
| Piccini Poggio Alto Toscano Rosso 2021 red · 750 ml | $8.99 | — | — | 36% below | 1% |
| Domaine Passy le Clou Petit Chablis 2020 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | 35% below | <1% |
| Provenance Vineyards Deadeye Red Blend Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 35% below | <1% |
| Dios Baco Ria Pita Manzanilla Sherry dessert · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.03 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 35% below | 1% |
| Roger d'Anoia Brut Cava sparkling · Penedes (Cava) · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.73 $10.39 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 35% below | 2% |
| Rose's Lime Juice rosé · 1000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.49 $8.49 Sale | ▲ 6.3% | ▲ 26.9% | 35% below | 3% |
| Bodega Garzon Tannat Reserva Uruguay 2020 red · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | 35% below | <1% |
| Domaine Saint Laurent Cotes du Rhone Rouge 2023 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $2.93 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 35% below | <1% |
| Laetitia Pinot Noir San Luis Obispo Coast 2021 red · Central Coast · 750 ml | $10.73 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 35% below | <1% |
| Les Hauts Plateaux Alpes de Haute Provence Rose 2023 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $2.93 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 35% below | <1% |
| Sun Goddess Prosecco Rose NV sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 $12.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | 35% below | 6% typically +8% if it rises |
| Barefoot Buttery Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | 35% below | 17% typically +11% if it rises |
| Chateau Graulet Blaye Cotes de Bordeaux Rouge 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $8.99 | 0.0% | — | 35% below | <1% |
| Franzia Rich and Buttery Chardonnay white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.99 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 6.7% | 35% below | 3% |
| Pietro Caciorgna Clauria Etna Rosso 2021 red · Sicily · 750 ml | $11.03 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 35% below | <1% |
| Torre Mora Cauru Etna Rosso 2019 red · Sicily · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | 35% below | <1% |
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