Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aravail Chardonnay Monterey County white · Monterey · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.39 | 0.0% | — | 13% below | 7% typically +10% if it rises |
| Astica Chardonnay Argentina white · Mendoza · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 23% below | 7% typically +10% if it rises |
| Barefoot Fruitscato Apple Moscato white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +7% if it rises |
| Barefoot Fruitscato Blueberry Moscato white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +7% if it rises |
| Cole Cellars Chardonnay California white · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.89 | 0.0% | — | 11% below | 7% typically +10% if it rises |
| Cora Pinot Grigio Colline Pescaresi white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +10% if it rises |
| Kalyana Chardonnay Central Coast white · Central Coast · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.39 | 0.0% | — | 10% below | 7% typically +10% if it rises |
| Matteo Braidot Pinot Grigio Friuli white · Friuli · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +10% if it rises |
| Rodney Strong Sonoma Vineyards Chardonnay Sonoma Coast white · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.59 | 0.0% | — | 49% below | 7% typically +6% if it rises |
| Josh Cellars Seaswept White Blend white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 $16.99 Sale | ▲ 2.4% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +6% if it rises |
| Golden Gate Cellars Chardonnay California white · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.39 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +10% if it rises |
| Il Casato Sauvignon Blanc Italy white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +9% if it rises |
| Kiwi Gold Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.39 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +10% if it rises |
| Wellsley Farms Pinot Grigio Della Venezia DOC white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +9% if it rises |
| Yellow Tail Chardonnay 2x1.5 L white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $23.99 | 0.0% | — | 16% premium | 7% typically +4% if it rises |
| Banfi Centine Pinot Grigio Toscana white · Tuscany · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +8% if it rises |
| Frisk Prickly Riesling white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +8% if it rises |
| Maison Nicolas Idiart Pouilly Fume white · Loire · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +5% if it rises |
| Tomasello Winery Natural Blackberry Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +8% if it rises |
| Pio Pinot Grigio white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.43 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +9% if it rises |
| Barefoot Fruitscato Pear Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.99 $8.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | 22% below | 7% typically +11% if it rises |
| Ruffino Lumina Pinot Grigio white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 6.3% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +5% if it rises |
| Cavit Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.49 $8.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | 28% below | 7% typically +22% if it rises |
| Peter Zemmer Pinot Grigio white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +7% if it rises |
| Amber Natural Organic Wine White Blend white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +7% if it rises |
| Lindeman's Bin 65 Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.99 | ▼ 4.1% | 0.0% | 39% below | 7% typically +7% if it rises |
| Paua Rock Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough white · Marlborough · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.89 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +7% if it rises |
| The Dreaming Tree Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 $17.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 5.9% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +5% if it rises |
| The Dreaming Tree Sauvignon Blanc Sonoma County white · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 $17.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 5.9% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +5% if it rises |
| Kim Crawford Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough white · Marlborough · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 $17.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▼ 5.3% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +5% if it rises |
| Hitch Chardonnay Edna Valley white · Central Coast · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.49 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +7% if it rises |
| Mano's Wine Eagles Championship Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $23.99 $24.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | 46% below | 7% typically +4% if it rises |
| 14 Hands Sauvignon Blanc Columbia Valley white · Washington · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +7% if it rises |
| Apothic Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +7% if it rises |
| Frontera White Blend white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.99 | 0.0% | — | 22% below | 7% typically +4% if it rises |
| SeaGlass Chardonnay Central Coast white · Central Coast · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +7% if it rises |
| Chaddsford Winery White Sangria white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +8% if it rises |
| Hearst Ranch Three Sisters Cuvee White Blend Paso Robles white · Paso Robles · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 $24.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +4% if it rises |
| Kuranui Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +8% if it rises |
| Barefoot Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +11% if it rises |
| Barefoot Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +11% if it rises |
| Barefoot Pink Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | 20% below | 7% typically +11% if it rises |
| Barefoot Pinot Grigio white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +11% if it rises |
| Barefoot Red Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +11% if it rises |
| Barefoot Riesling white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +11% if it rises |
| Barefoot Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +11% if it rises |
| Kendall Jackson Avant Chardonnay Unoaked white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 $17.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 28.6% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +9% if it rises |
| Kendall Jackson Vintner's Reserve Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 $17.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +9% if it rises |
| The Seeker Riesling Mosel white · Mosel · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.49 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +7% if it rises |
| Box Wize Sauvignon Blanc white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.49 | ▲ 4.5% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +5% if it rises |
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