Cellar Index
Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today

Wine prices, tracked and forecast

Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.

How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Popular winesMost likely to riseCollector watchBest valuesAll wines

Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.

WineShelf price1yr History5yr Historyvs fair priceChance of a rise within a year
Airfield Estates Cabernet Sauvignon Yakima Valley 2019
red · Washington · 750 ml
$5.93 $17.99 Clearance 0.0%—33% below<1%
Ammunition Pinot Noir Sonoma County 2020
red · Sonoma · 750 ml
$14.99 0.0%—33% below1%
Domaine Pitault Landry La Loge Bourgueil Vieilles Vignes 2020
red · Loire · 750 ml
$12.99 0.0%—33% below<1%
Jolete Pinot Noir Le Verre Cuvee Willamette Valley
red · Oregon · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$10.99 $21.99 Clearance 0.0% 0.0%33% below2%
Manischewitz Cream Red Concord
red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$2.73 $9.99 Clearance 0.0%▲ 11.1%33% below1%
Papi Sweet Red Demi Sec Central Valley
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$6.99——33% below10%
typically +13% if it rises
Starr Hill Vineyard and Winery Bailey Road Red
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$3.23 $10.99 Clearance 0.0% 0.0%33% below2%
Chateau Beauchene Vignobles de la Serriere Chateauneuf du Pape Rouge 2020
red · Rhone · 750 ml
$29.99 0.0%—33% below<1%
Chateau Gloria Saint Julien Magnum 2018
red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml
$65.03 $125 Clearance 0.0%—33% below<1%
Renacer Punto Final Malbec Mendoza 2022
red · Mendoza · 750 ml
$9.99 0.0%—33% below<1%
Chateau Boutillot Revelations d'Hubert de Bouard Bordeaux Rouge 2020
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$9.99 0.0%—33% below<1%
Mas Malbec Mendoza 2023
red · Mendoza · 1000 ml
$9.99——33% below1%
Charles Smith Vino Red Blend Columbia Valley 2018
red · Washington · 750 ml
$6.03 $11.99 Clearance 0.0%—33% below<1%
Chateau Promis Entre Deux Mers 2019
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$10.99 0.0% 0.0%33% below<1%
Lungarotti Grechetto Umbria 2023
red · 750 ml
$2.93 $9.99 Clearance 0.0%—33% below<1%
San Felice Chianti Classico 2020
red · Tuscany · 750 ml
$16.99 0.0%—33% below1%
Frontera Red Blend
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$5.99 0.0%—33% below6%
typically +4% if it rises
Primus The Blend Apalta 2022
red · 750 ml
$12.99——33% below1%
Natura Cabernet Sauvignon 375 mL
red · 375 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$2.99 $5.99 Clearance 0.0%—32% below1%
Roaming Dog Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2020
red · Washington · 750 ml
$7.99——32% below1%
Bodega Benegas Estate Cabernet Franc Mendoza 2022
red · Mendoza · 750 ml
$17.99 0.0%—32% below<1%
Boutinot Les Coteaux Cotes du Rhone Villages Rouge 2021
red · Rhone · 750 ml
$7.73 $12.99 Clearance 0.0%—32% below<1%
Liberty Creek Merlot
red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$10.99 0.0%▲ 10.0%32% below4%
Zuccardi Q Cabernet Franc Valle de Uco 2021
red · 750 ml
$3.93 $12.99 Clearance 0.0%—32% below<1%
Castello di Gabbiano Cavaliere d'Oro Chianti Classico Riserva 2016
red · Tuscany · 750 ml
$13.99 0.0% 0.0%32% below1%
Chateau Gloria Saint Julien 2020
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$38.99 $64.99 Clearance 0.0%—32% below<1%
Smashberry Red Blend Paso Robles 2018
red · Paso Robles · 750 ml
$9.99 0.0%—32% below<1%
Domaine Guy Amiot et Fils Les Champgains Chassagne Montrachet 1er Cru 2019
red · Burgundy · 750 ml
$47.03 $89.99 Clearance 0.0%—32% below<1%
Zorzettig Friulano Friuli 2021
red · Friuli · 750 ml
$10.99 0.0%—31% below<1%
Tenuta Ulisse Sogno di Ulisse Montepulciano d'Abruzzo 2020
red · Abruzzo · 750 ml
$2.73 $8.99 Clearance 0.0%—31% below<1%
Unapologetically Zin Zinfandel
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$8.99 0.0%—31% below6%
typically +11% if it rises
William Hill Estate Winery Cabernet Sauvignon
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$15.99 $17.99 Sale▲ 1.7%▲ 5.9%31% below4%
Chateau Mayne Guyon Blaye Cotes de Bordeaux Rouge 2019
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$9.99 0.0%—31% below<1%
Kiona Estates Cuvee Columbia Valley Red 2019
red · Washington · 750 ml
$7.19 $11.99 Clearance 0.0%—31% below<1%
Franzia Cabernet Sauvignon
red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$15.59 0.0%▲ 4.0%31% below3%
Cannonball Cabernet Sauvignon 2022
red · 750 ml
$9.99——31% below1%
Domaine de Suremain Clos l'Eveque Mercurey 1er Cru Rouge 2020
red · Burgundy · 750 ml
$34.99 0.0%—30% below<1%
Jacob's Creek Cabernet Sauvignon
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$9.39 0.0%▲ 17.5%30% below5%
Seven Hills Merlot Seven Hills Vineyard Walla Walla Valley 2016
red · Washington · 750 ml
$7.93 $28.99 Clearance 0.0%—30% below<1%
Castle Rock Pinot Noir Monterey County 2018
red · Monterey · 750 ml
$7.99 0.0% 0.0%30% below<1%
Wine in Books Red Organic 2020
red · 3000 ml
$24.99 0.0%—30% below<1%
Poggio Salvi Brunello di Montalcino 2019
red · Tuscany · 750 ml
$26.99 $44.99 Clearance 0.0%—30% below<1%
Lillium Reserve Zinfandel Lodi 2020
red · Lodi · 750 ml
$9.99 0.0%—30% below<1%
Michael David Winery Red Blend Lodi
red · Lodi · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$8.03 $13.29 Clearance 0.0%▲ 3.9%30% below5%
Santa Ema Reserva Cabernet Sauvignon Maipo Valley 2019
red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml
$9.99 0.0%—30% below<1%
Altesino Brunello di Montalcino 2018
red · Tuscany · 750 ml
$19.93 $64.99 Clearance 0.0%—30% below<1%
Generation 1905 Grenache Vin de France 2019
red · 750 ml
$9.99 0.0%—30% below<1%
Bodegas David Moreno Rioja 2023
red · Rioja · 750 ml
$5.99 $9.99 Clearance 0.0%—30% below<1%
Domaine Drouhin Oregon Pinot Noir Dundee Hills 2018
red · Oregon · 375 ml
$5.93 $21.99 Clearance 0.0%—30% below<1%
Dominique Piron Coq Leon Gamay Vin de France 2022
red · 750 ml
$7.79 $12.99 Clearance 0.0%—30% below<1%
301–350 of 5,705← PreviousNext →