Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sutter Home Sweet Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.49 $8.49 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 6.3% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Tabor Winery Mt Tabor Cabernet Sauvignon 2021 red · 750 ml | $5.03 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tricky Rabbit Cabernet Franc Carmenere Reserva Maule Valley 2023 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Castello di Verrazzano Rosso di Verrazzano Toscana 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Castoro Cellars Zinfandel Paso Robles 2019 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $4.73 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Les Violettes Blaye Cotes de Bordeaux Rouge 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Pedesclaux Pauillac 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $65.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Concha y Toro Gran Reserva Preseving Watersheds Cabernet Sauvignon Tinguiririca River Marchigue Colchagua Valley 2019 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $16.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Bousquet Cabernet Sauvignon Tupungato 2023 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $7.79 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine de Vauroux Chablis 2018 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Estancia Pinot Grigio white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | ▲ 7.1% | ▲ 15.4% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Frei Brothers Sonoma Reserve Sauvignon Blanc Russian River Valley white · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.99 $20.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 10.5% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +9% if it rises |
| Hazlitt 1852 Vineyards Red Cat Sangria red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 $11.99 Sale | ▲ 9.1% | ▲ 33.4% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Josh Cellars Prosecco sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 $18.99 Sale | ▲ 7.3% | ▲ 11.8% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Juve Y Camps Pinot Noir Brut Rose Cava sparkling · Penedes (Cava) · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $21.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +5% if it rises |
| Luigi Giordano Barbaresco Asili 2017 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $54.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Mastroberardino Fiano d'Avellino 2022 white · 750 ml | $10.19 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Provenance Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $8.93 $31.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sagelands Pinot Gris Columbia Valley 2023 white · Washington · 750 ml | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Stellenbosch Hills Polkadraai Merlot Shiraz Stellenbosch Box 2020 red · Western Cape · 3000 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Taub Family Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon Mount Veeder 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $35.03 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tussock Jumper Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2023 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $5.99 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Virtue Cellars Grace Chardonnay Columbia Valley 2020 white · Washington · 750 ml | $11.03 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Alyssa Red Blend red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.99 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Ca Furlan Cuvee Mariana Prosecco Rose Brut 2021 sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Dominique et Janine Crochet Sancerre Rouge 2020 white · Loire · 750 ml | $22.43 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dr Loosen Graacher Himmelreich Riesling GG Alte Reben 2021 white · 750 ml | $51.99 $53.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hex vom Dasenstein Pinot Noir Baden 2019 red · 750 ml | $9.53 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Massimo Rivetti Froi Barbera d'Alba Superiore 2021 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $3.93 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Primaterra Prosecco Rose Extra Dry sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.23 $10.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Produttori del Barbaresco Barbaresco Riserva Asili 2017 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $82.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Red Newt Cellars Newt Riesling Finger Lakes 2020 white · Finger Lakes · 750 ml | $3.73 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Rozes Porto Reserve dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 $19.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +5% if it rises |
| Woodlands Cabernet Sauvignon Merlot Margaret River Wilyabrup Valley 2017 red · 750 ml | $12.53 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Yes Way Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 | ▲ 6.7% | ▲ 14.3% | Fairly priced | 19% typically +5% if it rises |
| Zenato Amarone della Valpolicella 2018 red · Veneto · 750 ml | $38.99 $64.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bec Hardy Garden Series Cabernet Sauvignon Limestone Coast 2021 red · 750 ml | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Tour de Segur Lussac Saint Emilion 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $7.73 $23.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Fernand et Laurent Pillot Les Prarons Dessus Santenay Rouge 2017 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $22.53 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine de la Chanteleuserie Cuvee Alouettes Bourgueil 2022 red · Loire · 750 ml | $5.93 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| First Drop Mother's Ruin Cabernet Sauvignon McLauren Vale 2020 red · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Greenock Creek Stone Block Shiraz Barossa Valley 2020 red · Barossa · 750 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Le Ragose Amarone della Valpolicella Classico 2010 red · Veneto · 750 ml | $59.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Metier Red Blend Columbia Valley 2021 red · Washington · 750 ml | $10.73 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Seaglass Pinot Noir Santa Barbara County red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.23 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 15.4% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| The Seeker Riesling Mosel white · Mosel · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.49 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +7% if it rises |
| Villa Jolanda Mango Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $2.93 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Walla Walla Vintners Red Blend Columbia Valley 2019 red · Washington · 750 ml | $6.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Avia Pinot Grigio white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.71 $11.42 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Barone Ricasoli Chianti Classico Castello di Brolio 2010 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
2,951–3,000 of 9,968← PreviousNext →