Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Vintage-dated premium and luxury wines, ranked by the model's chance of a list-price rise within a year. These are retail shelf prices at a state retailer, not auction or secondary-market prices, so treat them as a signal of retail pricing momentum rather than investment returns.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stuhlmuller Vineyards Chardonnay Alexander Valley 2019 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $7.93 $28.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Taylor Fladgate Vintage Porto 2003 dessert · Douro · 375 ml | $59.99 $99.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tendril Cellars Childs Play Chardonnay Willamette Valley 2021 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $7.93 $28.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 33% premium | <1% |
| Tenuta dell Ornellaia Ornellaia Bolgheri Superiore 2020 red · Tuscany · 375 ml | $108 $180 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tenuta di Burchino Il Burchino Toscana 2016 red · Tuscany · 3000 ml | $13.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Trefethen Estate Grown Chardonnay Oak Knoll District of Napa Valley 2021 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Vina Santa Rita Triple C Red Blend Maipo Estate 2018 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $10.23 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Vincent Girardin Les Narvaux Meursault 2020 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $52.53 $99.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Warre's Otima 92 Colheita Tawny Porto 1992 dessert · Douro · 500 ml | $40.19 $66.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 101% premium | <1% |
| Whitehall Lane Sauvignon Blanc Rutherford 2022 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $9.53 $31.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 31% premium | <1% |
| Wild Rose Pet Nat Riesling Kamptal 2022 rosé · 750 ml | $10.93 $33.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 100% premium | <1% |
| Wine In Books Organic White Spain 2021 white · 3000 ml | $14.93 $29.89 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Amisfield Pinot Noir Central Otago 2019 red · 750 ml | $12.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Antinori Antica Estate Townsend Vineyard Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $30.93 $115 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Argyle Nuthouse Pinot Noir Eola Amity Hills 2017 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $29.73 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Argyros Atlantis White Santorini 2020 white · 750 ml | $6.93 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 57% premium | <1% |
| Azienda Elios Modus Bibendi Macerato Non Filtrado Terre Siciliane Bianco Biodynamic 2019 white · Sicily · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bargemone Libre Rose Coteaux d'Aix en Provence 2023 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Beaux Freres Chardonnay Willamette Valley 2020 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $25.43 $84.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bodegas LAN Gran Reserva Rioja 2016 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $16.79 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Casanova di Neri Tenuta Nuova Brunello di Montalcino 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $91.79 $153 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Catena Zapata Adrianna Vineyard White Bones Chardonnay Mendoza 2020 white · Mendoza · 750 ml | $70.03 $140 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 50% premium | <1% |
| Chalone Vineyard Estate Grown Chardonnay Chalone 2022 white · Monterey · 750 ml | $17.99 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 37% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Calon Segur Saint Estephe 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $90.03 $180 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Calon Segur Saint Estephe 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $50.93 $170 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Canon Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $65.93 $220 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Canon Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $49.93 $190 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Clerc Milon Pauillac 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $38.93 $130 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Clinet Pomerol 2019 red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml | $133 $243 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Clinet Pomerol 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $41.93 $140 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Ducru Beaucaillou Saint Julien 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $150 $251 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 268% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Haut Bailly Pessac Leognan 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $52.73 $179 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Haut Bailly Pessac Leognan 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $59.93 $200 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau La Conseillante Pomerol 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $140 $265 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 288% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Larrivet Haut Brion Pessac Leognan Blanc 2019 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $25.03 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 27% below | <1% |
| Chateau Leoville Barton Saint Julien 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $41.93 $140 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Les Carmes Haut Brion Pessac Leognan 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $50.93 $170 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 73% below | <1% |
| Chateau Lynch Bages Pauillac 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $100 $200 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Lynch Bages Pauillac 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $59.93 $200 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Lynch Bages Pauillac 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $55.43 $185 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Montelena Estate Cabernet Sauvignon Calistoga Napa Valley 2017 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $102 $170 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Montrose Saint Estephe 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $125 $250 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 168% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Montrose Saint Estephe 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $80.93 $270 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 197% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Pape Clement Pessac Leognan Blanc 2020 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $120 $200 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Pichon Baron Pauillac 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $71.93 $240 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 189% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Prieure Lichine Margaux Magnum 2018 red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml | $70.03 $140 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 37% below | <1% |
| Chateau Rauzan Segla Margaux 2019 red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml | $76.53 $266 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Rauzan Segla Margaux 2021 red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml | $70.93 $260 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Rauzan Segla Margaux 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $47.93 $160 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Smith Haut Lafitte Pessac Leognan Rouge 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $55.43 $185 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 57% premium | <1% |
2,951–3,000 of 3,189← PreviousNext →