Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Airfield Estates Syrah Yakima Valley 2020 red · Washington · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Rouget Pomerol 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $20.93 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Enfield Wine Co Pretty Horses California 2019 red · California Central Valley · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Joseph Phelps Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2022 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $99.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Les Fontanelles Pinot Noir Vin de Pays d'Oc Rouge 2019 red · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $11.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Achaia Cellars Agiorgitiko Nemea Greece Red 2021 red · 750 ml | $12.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Castello di Meleto Chianti Classico 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Clos de los Siete by Michel Rolland Red Blend Uco Valley 2020 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $12.03 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Francois Paquet Selection Beaujolais Nouveau 2025 red · Beaujolais · 750 ml | $8.99 $14.99 Clearance | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| High Note Red Blend red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.23 $12.49 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| House of the Dragon Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.73 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Il Conte Villa Prandone Zipolo Marche Rosso 2015 red · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Maison Noir Wines OPP Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2022 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $6.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Recanati Yasmin Red 2022 red · 750 ml | $3.93 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| St Francis Pinot Noir Sonoma County 2023 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $22.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Avignonesi Vino Nobile di Montepulciano 2017 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cafaggio Basilica Solatio Chianti Classico Riserva 2015 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau du Bousquet Cotes De Bourg 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $4.93 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Prieur Brunet Santenay Maladiere 1er Cru Rouge 2020 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $43.23 $56.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hentley Farm Villain and Vixen Grenache Barossa Valley 2021 red · Barossa · 750 ml | $7.23 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Josh Cellars Zinfandel Lodi red · Lodi · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 $18.99 Sale | ▲ 7.3% | ▲ 11.8% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Le Cadeau Estate Red Label Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2021 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $12.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Long Shadows Pedestal Merlot Columbia Valley 2020 red · Washington · 750 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Orgo Rkatsiteli Dry Amber Wine Kakheti Georgia 2022 red · 750 ml | $20.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Salcheto Vino Nobile di Montepulciano 2018 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $23.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Vigneti Romio Sangiovese Superiore Riserva Romagna red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +8% if it rises |
| Bodegas Muriel Rioja Crianza 2019 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $9.93 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Damilano Langhe Nebbiolo 2018 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dressage Pinot Noir Monterey County 2019 red · Monterey · 750 ml | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Mitolo Jester McLaren Vale Cabernet Sauvignon 2020 red · McLaren Vale · 750 ml | $11.99 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Santa Julia Organic Cabernet Sauvignon Mendoza red · Mendoza · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.49 | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Ameztoi Getariaka Txakolina Rubentis 2024 red · 750 ml | $22.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Browne Tribute Red Blend Columbia Valley 2020 red · Washington · 750 ml | $16.73 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cantina Valle Tritana Montepulciano d'Abruzzo 2020 red · Abruzzo · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Bouscaut Pessac Leognan Rouge 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $49.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cloudveil Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.33 $15.59 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Cote Mas Orange Vin de France 2024 red · 1000 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Cremaschi Furlotti Reserva Carmenere Loncomilla Valley 2022 red · 750 ml | $16.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Gnarly Head Merlot red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.49 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Jaffurs Wine Cellars Grenache Santa Barbara County 2021 red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $20.99 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Kosta Browne Sonoma Coast Pinot Noir 2022 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $35.93 $120 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Kotrotsos Moschofilero Peloponnese 2021 red · 750 ml | $7.03 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Le Cadeau Diversite Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2022 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $32.99 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Marziano Abbona Dogliani San Luigi 2024 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $19.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| O Organics Organic Cabernet Sauvignon California red · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.29 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +10% if it rises |
| Sojourn Cellars Pinot Noir Gap's Crown Vineyard Sonoma Coast 2022 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $20.93 $74.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bonterra Vineyards Organic Merlot red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $16.99 Sale | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +8% if it rises |
| Bota Box Pinot Noir red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | ▲ 4.2% | ▲ 8.7% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Canoe Ridge The Expedition Cabernet Sauvignon Horse Heaven Hills 2020 red · Washington · 750 ml | $5.93 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Marcel Giraudon Aligote 2025 red · 750 ml | $17.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
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