Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| De Chanceny Rose Brut sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.19 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +5% if it rises |
| Domaine Bousquet Organic Virgen Red Blend Tupungato 2021 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $3.73 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Gerard Tremblay Petit Chablis 2022 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $7.93 $23.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dunham Shirley Mays Chardonnay 2019 white · 750 ml | $6.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Famille Durand Sauvignon Blanc Loire 2025 white · Loire · 750 ml | $14.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Faustino Rioja Crianza 2017 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $15.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Finca el Origen Torrontes Reserva Uco Valley 2022 white · Mendoza · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Girasole Vineyards Mendocino County Pinot Blanc 2023 white · 750 ml | $13.99 $14.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Itellego The Story of Harry White Blend Swartland 2022 white · Western Cape · 750 ml | $11.99 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| J Christopher Cuvee Lunatique Chardonnay Willamette Valley 2019 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $6.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Josh Cellars Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles Reserve red · Paso Robles · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 $24.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 4.2% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +8% if it rises |
| Korbel Extra Dry California Champagne sparkling · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.99 | ▲ 5.6% | ▲ 18.8% | Fairly priced | 5% typically +5% if it rises |
| Lomond Syrah Cape Agulhas 2022 red · 750 ml | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Oak Leaf Vineyards Sweet Red red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.89 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +10% if it rises |
| Txomin Etxaniz White Getariako Txakolina 2024 white · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Castello di Verrazzano Rosso Verrazzano 2022 red · 750 ml | $8.39 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Castle Rock Cabernet Sauvignon 2022 red · 750 ml | $9.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Bellevue Peycharneau Sainte Foy Cotes de Bordeaux Rouge 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $16.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Clair Diamant Rose Cotes de Provence 2020 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Jaffurs State Street Chardonnay Central Coast 2022 white · Central Coast · 750 ml | $14.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Lionel Osmin and Cie Sauvignon Blanc Southwest France 2021 white · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Maison Idiart Sauvignon Blanc Touraine Loire Valley 2024 white · Loire · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Mark West Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | ▲ 7.1% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +4% if it rises |
| Middle Sister Sweetie Pie Red Blend red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.99 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Planet Oregon Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2022 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $7.93 $23.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Santa Ema Select Terroir Carmenere Cachapoal Valley Reserva 2020 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $3.93 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Seaglass Riesling Santa Barbara County white · Santa Barbara · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.23 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 16.7% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Sieur d Eguilles Coteaux d Aix en Provence Rose 2024 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $10.99 $14.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Sutter Home Cabernet Sauvignon red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 15.4% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Triacca La Gatta Valtellina Superiore 2020 red · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Zuccardi Serie A Malbec Valle de Uco 2023 red · 750 ml | $10.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| 7 Moons Red Blend red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.49 | 0.0% | ▲ 3.8% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Arbor Mist Mango Strawberry Moscato white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 5% typically +12% if it rises |
| Ben Glaetzer Wallace Shiraz Grenache Barossa Valley 2017 red · Barossa · 750 ml | $6.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Castillo De Eneriz Garnacha Navarra Rose 2020 rosé · 750 ml | $3.53 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Damien Martin Bourgogne Pinot Noir 2022 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $5.63 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Vigneau Chevreau Cuvee Silex Vouvray Sec 2020 red · Loire · 750 ml | $21.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Faustino Art Collection Rose Rioja 2021 rosé · Rioja · 750 ml | $2.93 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Franzia Refreshing White white · 5000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $20.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 16.7% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Georges Duboeuf Beaujolais Nouveau red · Beaujolais · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 | ▲ 6.7% | ▲ 23.1% | Fairly priced | 24% typically +4% if it rises |
| Kalyana Cabernet Sauvignon Central Coast red · Central Coast · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.39 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +10% if it rises |
| Lionel Osmin and Cie Villa La Vie En Rose Negrette South West France Rose 2020 rosé · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Old Coach Road by Seifried Family Sauvignon Blanc Nelson 2023 white · 750 ml | $8.13 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Phelps Creek Vineyards Fleur de Roy Pinot Noir Rose Columbia Gorge 2023 rosé · 750 ml | $6.53 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Raptor Ridge Barrel Select Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2021 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $6.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Torbreck Woodcutter's Semillon Barossa Valley 2022 white · Barossa · 750 ml | $10.03 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ventisquero Grey Glacier Single Block Carmenere Trinidad Vineyard Maipo Valley 2022 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Alta Vista Malbec Mendoza Estate 2020 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $5.93 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Badger Mountain Winery NSA Cabernet Sauvignon Organic 2021 red · 750 ml | $5.23 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Barefoot Pink Moscato white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $14.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 7.1% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +8% if it rises |
2,901–2,950 of 6,416← PreviousNext →