Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H3 Cabernet Sauvignon Horse Heaven Hills red · Washington · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 | ▼ 5.9% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Hazlitt 1852 Vineyards Red Cat Holiday Finger Lakes red · Finger Lakes · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | ▲ 9.1% | ▲ 33.4% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Kosmic Kitty Pinot Noir 2023 red · 750 ml | $11.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Malvira Vigne Nuove Roero Nebbiolo 2019 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $8.73 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Perusini Pinot Grigio Colli Orientali del Friuli 2023 white · Friuli · 750 ml | $11.99 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ramon Bilbao Verdejo white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +7% if it rises |
| Barefoot on Tap Pink Moscato white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.13 $23.89 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 3.9% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Bucket List Pinot Grigio white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.69 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.5% | Fairly priced | 11% typically +11% if it rises |
| Chateau des Cosse Cremant de Loire sparkling · Loire · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +6% if it rises |
| Confidencial Rose Lisboa Reserva rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.63 $9.39 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 4.4% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Domaine Marcel Giraudon Aligote Bourgogne 2020 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $16.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Firefly Ridge Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +9% if it rises |
| Freelander Cabernet Sauvignon 2023 red · 750 ml | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Gouguenheim Sparkling Mendoza Extra Brut Rose sparkling · Mendoza · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.93 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 18.2% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Josh Cellars Sauvignon Blanc North Coast white · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 $16.99 Sale | ▲ 2.4% | ▲ 6.3% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Menage a Trois Moscato Sweet White Blend white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 $13.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 7.7% | Fairly priced | 18% typically +7% if it rises |
| Mitravelas Red on Black Nemea 2020 red · 750 ml | $4.93 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Vina Real Crianza Rioja Alavesa 2021 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $13.99 $14.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| 19 Crimes Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 $12.99 Sale | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Barefoot Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +11% if it rises |
| Chateau du Cedre Blandine Cotes de Gascogne Blanc 2024 white · 750 ml | $12.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Concha y Toro Frontera Sauvignon Blanc white · Rueda / Toro · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | ▲ 8.3% | ▲ 18.2% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Coppi Siniscalco Primitivo Puglia 2018 red · Puglia · 750 ml | $3.93 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Creamery Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +9% if it rises |
| Cune Crianza Rioja Alta Tinto red · Rioja · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +7% if it rises |
| Domaine Jean Touzot Chardonnay Macon Villages Vieilles Vignes 2020 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $18.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine de la Chezatte Sancerre Blanc 2024 white · Loire · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Emiliana Novas Organic Carmenere Cabernet Sauvignon Colchagua Valley Gran Reserva 2019 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Frederic Esmonin Les Genevrieres Bourgogne Rouge 2020 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $22.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Intercept Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles red · Paso Robles · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.93 $22.89 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Juniata Valley Winery Red Headed Stepchild red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.59 | 0.0% | ▲ 3.8% | Fairly priced | 26% typically +6% if it rises |
| Kendall Jackson Vintner's Reserve Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 $19.99 Sale | ▼ 3.8% | ▲ 11.1% | Fairly priced | 5% typically +4% if it rises |
| Liberty Creek Chardonnay 2x1.5 L Multipack white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +5% if it rises |
| Lorenzo Lo Malbec Agrelo 2021 red · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Menage a Trois Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.99 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Renzo Masi Chianti Riserva 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $3.93 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Santa Carolina Anniversary 150 Years Red Blend Chile red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +7% if it rises |
| Three Finger Jack Rum Barrel Red Blend Lodi red · Lodi · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.73 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Torres Sangre de Toro Original 2022 red · Rueda / Toro · 750 ml | $7.79 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ventisquero Grey Glacier Single Block Carmenere Trinidad Vineyard Maipo Valley 2021 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $3.93 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Barefoot Pinot Noir red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $14.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 7.1% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Bogle Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 7.7% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Bota Box Breeze Pinot Grigio white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 $24.99 Sale | ▲ 4.2% | ▲ 19.1% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Browne Bitner Estate Sauvignon Blanc Columbia Valley 2023 white · Washington · 750 ml | $18.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Castello di Gabbiano Chianti Classico 2021 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cave and Cove Cabernet red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.69 | 0.0% | ▲ 11.9% | Fairly priced | 14% typically +11% if it rises |
| Chateau Fage Graves de Vayres Blanc 2022 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $7.79 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cor Cellars Alba Cor White Blend Columbia Gorge 2023 white · Piedmont · 750 ml | $10.79 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cricket Farms Brut Rose Sparkling Wine Lake County sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +7% if it rises |
| Dancing Crow Sauvignon Blanc Lake County 2024 white · 750 ml | $19.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
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