Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Domaine Vacheron Sancerre Blanc 2024 white · Loire · 750 ml | $56.99 | — | — | 94% premium | 2% |
| Domaine Vacheron Sancerre Blanc 2023 white · Loire · 750 ml | $56.99 | 0.0% | — | 95% premium | 2% |
| Duckhorn Sauvignon Blanc North Coast white · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $31.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 6.7% | Fairly priced | 5% typically +9% if it rises |
| Jean Paul and Benoit Droin Chablis AC 2022 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $11.93 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 96% premium | <1% |
| Les Fleurs du Lac Bordeaux Blanc 2023 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $21.99 $25.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | 96% premium | <1% |
| Hess Collection The Lioness Chardonnay Napa Valley 2022 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $35.99 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 97% premium | <1% |
| Robert Mondavi Winery Sauvignon Blanc Napa Valley white · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.79 $37.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 90.0% | 98% premium | 1% |
| Trimbach Cuvee Frederic Emile Riesling Alsace 2015 white · Alsace · 750 ml | $99.99 | — | — | 98% premium | 2% |
| Aquilini Sauvignon Blanc Red Mountain 2020 white · Washington · 750 ml | $26.23 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 98% premium | <1% |
| Dr Loosen Urziger Wurzgarten Riesling GG Reserve Unterst Pichter 2017 white · 750 ml | $103 $105 Sale | 0.0% | — | 99% premium | 1% |
| Henri Bourgeois Jadis Sancerre Blanc 2019 white · Loire · 750 ml | $44.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 100% premium | <1% |
| Domaine Anthony and David Girard Les Monts Damnes Sancerre Blanc 2022 white · Loire · 750 ml | $28.79 $47.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 102% premium | <1% |
| Radikon Slatnik Chardonnay Friulano Friuli Orange Wine 2022 white · Friuli · 750 ml | $54.99 | 0.0% | — | 103% premium | <1% |
| Cloudy Bay Te Koko Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2020 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $35.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 104% premium | <1% |
| Remy Pannier Jardins de Loire Sancerre Blanc 2023 white · Loire · 750 ml | $32.99 | 0.0% | — | 105% premium | 1% |
| Bruno by Karthauserhof Riesling Auslese 2018 white · 750 ml | $16.93 $58.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 107% premium | <1% |
| Loveblock Tee Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2023 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $34.99 | 0.0% | — | 108% premium | 1% |
| Rombauer Vineyards Proprietor Selection Chardonnay Carneros 2021 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $79.99 | 0.0% | — | 110% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Ducasse Bordeaux Blanc 2024 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $19.99 $21.99 Sale | — | — | 112% premium | 1% |
| Cloudy Bay Te Koko Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2021 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $38.99 $64.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 118% premium | <1% |
| Frank Cornelissen Munjebel Bianco Terre Siciliane 2022 white · Sicily · 750 ml | $59.99 | — | — | 119% premium | 2% |
| Domaine FL Les 4 Villages Chenin Blanc Coteaux du Layon 2019 white · 750 ml | $23.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 124% premium | <1% |
| Turk Eiswein vom Gruner Veltliner Niederosterreich 2023 white · 375 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| The Roost Blue Heron Vineyard Chardonnay Mendocino County 2020 white · 750 ml | $13.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 134% premium | <1% |
| Tornatore Etna Bianco Pietrarizzo 2021 white · Sicily · 750 ml | $35.99 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 142% premium | <1% |
| Domaine Patrick Giboulot La Morand Pernand Vergelesses Blanc 2022 white · 750 ml | $33.59 $55.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 143% premium | <1% |
| Domaine Parent Monthelie White 2022 white · 750 ml | $25.43 $84.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 151% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Cheval Blanc Saint Emilion Grand Cru Classe Magnum 2018 white · Bordeaux · 1500 ml | $1,440 $1,920 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 158% premium | <1% |
| Casamigos Blanco with 2 Ceramic Tumblers Gift Set white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $49.99 | 0.0% | — | 164% premium | 9% typically +5% if it rises |
| Nik Weis St Urbans Hof Riesling Bockstein GG Mosel 2022 white · Mosel · 750 ml | $45.59 $75.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 190% premium | <1% |
| Radikon Sivi Pinot Grigio Friuli Orange Wine 2022 white · Friuli · 750 ml | $32.99 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 229% premium | <1% |
| Turk Veltliner 333 Gruner Veltliner Niederosterreich 2019 white · 750 ml | $35.93 $120 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 538% premium | <1% |
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