Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chateau Branaire Ducru Saint Julien 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $84.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau du Tertre Margaux 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $17.43 $62.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Col d'Orcia Spezieri Toscana 2020 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $4.73 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dila O Rkatsiteli Mtsvane Dry Amber Wine Georgia 2023 red · 750 ml | $13.99 $16.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Louis Jadot Meursault Charmes 1er Cru 2021 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $40.43 $135 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| EG by Educated Guess Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +6% if it rises |
| Ethic Drinks Let It Bee Cabernet Sauvignon 2023 red · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Imagery Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 25% typically +4% if it rises |
| Les Fontanelles Pinot Noir Vin de Pays d'Oc Rouge 2020 red · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Marques de Toro Mencia Finca La Moura Castilla y Leon 2022 red · Rueda / Toro · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Rubus Red Blend Organic Castilla De La Mancha 2020 red · 750 ml | $6.53 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Saint Cosme Cotes du Rhone Rouge 2020 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Truth Be Told Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2020 red · Washington · 750 ml | $10.13 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Vina Eguia Tempranillo Rioja Reserva 2017 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $11.99 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Angelo Negro Serra Lupini Roero Arneis 2021 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $5.73 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Apothic Crush Red Blend red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | ▼ 6.7% | ▲ 7.7% | Fairly priced | 11% typically +4% if it rises |
| Barefoot Sweet Red red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $14.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 7.1% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Chateau d'Emeringes Julienas Vieilles Vignes 2019 red · Beaujolais · 750 ml | $9.03 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Louis Jadot Clos de Malte Santenay Rouge 2020 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $25.03 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Nicolis Testal Rosso Verona 2019 red · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Produttori del Barbaresco Barbaresco Riserva Ovello 2017 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $23.43 $82.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Prophecy Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 16.7% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Roaming Dog Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2018 red · Washington · 750 ml | $3.93 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Stoller Family Estate Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2022 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $14.99 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Vinus de Jean Claude Mas Clairette du Languedoc 2021 red · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $8.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Beringer Main and Vine Cabernet Sauvignon red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.49 | 0.0% | ▲ 11.5% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Bodegas Caro Amancaya Red Blend Mendoza 2020 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $17.23 $22.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Combel La Serre Le Pur Fruit du Causse Cahors 2022 red · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dalton Canaan Red Galilee 2021 red · 750 ml | $4.93 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Skouras Zoe Red Peloponnese 2020 red · 750 ml | $3.73 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Elk Cove Willamette Valley Estate Pinot Noir 2021 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $17.99 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Frederic Esmonin Les Genevrieres Bourgogne Rouge 2022 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $6.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Gnarly Head Grateful Dead Limited Edition Old Vine Zinfandel 2x750 mL Multipack red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.33 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Greenock Creek Jaensch Block Shiraz Barossa Valley 2019 red · Barossa · 750 ml | $14.73 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Kakhuri Gvinis Marani Dry Saperavi Argo Georgia 2020 red · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Mollydooker Scooter Merlot Australia 2022 red · Riverland (South Eastern Australia) · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Nickel and Nickel Winery Cabernet Sauvignon Rutherford Single Vineyard Quarry Vineyard 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $60.03 $120 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Produttori del Barbaresco Barbaresco Riserva Montefico 2017 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $82.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Saurus Select Pinot Noir Patagonia 2022 red · 750 ml | $3.93 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Secrets de Mar Tinto Terra Alta 2020 red · 750 ml | $4.23 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sleight Of Hand Cellars The Conjurer Red Blend Columbia Valley 2019 red · Washington · 750 ml | $8.73 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Airfield Estates Merlot Yakima Valley 2019 red · Washington · 750 ml | $5.93 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Arrogant Frog Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.49 $10.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Buck Shack Cabernet Sauvignon Bourbon Barrel Aged 2022 red · 750 ml | $3.93 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Grande Bellane Cotes du Rhone Rouge 2020 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $4.73 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine des Farondes Pinot Noir Bourgogne 2019 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $6.73 $20.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Grounded by Josh Phelps Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Salcheto OBVIUS Toscana Rosso Unfiltered 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $7.93 $23.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| SeaGlass Cabernet Sauvignon Central Coast red · Central Coast · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.24 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Silverado Vineyards Estate Grown Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $35.73 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
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