Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goose Ridge G3 Red Blend Columbia Valley 2019 red · Washington · 750 ml | $4.23 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Mezzacorona DiNotte Red Blend red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.24 $12.49 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 56.3% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Mia Dolcea Moscato d'Asti sparkling · Piedmont · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.43 $13.49 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 3.8% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Pigtown Sweet Red Dessert Wine dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.23 $10.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Trivento Malbec Mendoza Reserve red · Mendoza · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 8.3% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Atlantis Rose Madeirense 2021 rosé · 750 ml | $3.73 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bargemone Libre Rose Coteaux d'Aix en Provence 2023 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Beaux Freres Willamette Valley Pinot Noir 2019 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $52.43 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bolla Pinot Noir red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | ▼ 6.3% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +4% if it rises |
| Chateau d'Aiguilhe Castillon Cote de Bordeaux 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $34.49 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Columbia Crest Grand Estates Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley red · Washington · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.23 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 7.1% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Gerard Tremblay Fourchaume Chablis 1er Cru Vieilles Vignes 2019 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $37.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine du Causse D'Arboras La Faille Terrasses du Larzac 2018 red · 750 ml | $6.53 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hindsight Chardonnay Napa Valley 2019 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $6.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Puklus Pinceszet Tokaji 5 Puttonyos 2017 dessert · 500 ml | $29.99 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Stag's Leap Wine Cellars Arcadia Vineyard Chardonnay Napa Valley 2018 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $19.43 $64.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Stony Run Winery Gruner Veltliner white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.59 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.0% | Fairly priced | 8% typically +8% if it rises |
| Suavia Soave Classico Veneto 2019 white · Veneto · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Susie Bynum Pinot Noir Russian River Valley 2020 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $6.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Trimbach Riesling Alsace Reserve 2017 white · Alsace · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Waterdog Portugal Red Setubal 2017 red · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Clos Les Montys Muscadet et Maine Sur Lie 2020 white · Loire · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| David Finlayson Cab et al Coastal Region 2020 red · Western Cape · 750 ml | $9.59 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine de Vauroux Chablis Montmains 1er Cru 2020 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $11.73 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine de la Croisee Magma Pouilly Fume 2023 white · Loire · 750 ml | $19.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dr Loosen Urziger Wurzgarten Riesling Auslese 2021 white · 375 ml | $31.99 $33.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Gaston Chiquet Tradition Champagne 1er Cru Brut Rose sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $58.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 18.0% | Fairly priced | 40% typically +6% if it rises |
| Les Coteaux Tufiers Vouvray 2020 red · Loire · 750 ml | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Maison Tardieu Laurent Cuvee Speciale Chateauneuf du Pape Rouge 2018 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $56.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Nicolas Idiart Pinot Noir 2022 red · 750 ml | $3.53 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Nik Weis St Urbans Hof Riesling Dry Mosel 2023 white · Mosel · 750 ml | $11.99 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Oak Leaf Vineyards Moscato white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.89 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +9% if it rises |
| Punset Barbera d'Alba 2021 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $11.73 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Saviah Cellars The Jack Syrah Columbia Valley 2020 red · Washington · 750 ml | $5.33 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Shooting Star Sauvignon Blanc Lake County 2020 white · 750 ml | $3.93 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Starmont Vineyards Pinot Noir 2021 red · 750 ml | $14.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Carbonnieux Pessac Leognan Blanc 2021 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $14.83 $51.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Pesquie Les Terrasses Ventoux Blanc 2020 white · Rhone · 750 ml | $5.03 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau de Libran L'Intimiste Rose Coteaux dAix en Provence 2022 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Chauveau Les Croqloups Pouilly Fume 2019 white · Loire · 750 ml | $22.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Honig Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $49.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Le Vigne Winery Petite Sirah Paso Robles 2019 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Penfolds Bin 28 Shiraz South Australia 2022 red · South Australia · 750 ml | $30.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Tabali Pedregoso Sauvignon Blanc Limari Valley 2022 white · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Veuve Clicquot Yellow Label Champagne Brut sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $64.99 | ▲ 1.6% | ▲ 18.2% | Fairly priced | 9% typically +6% if it rises |
| William Fevre Champs Royaux Chablis 2023 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $46.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Argillae Orvieto Superiore 2020 red · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Bodegas Santalba Rioja Alta White 2023 white · Rioja · 750 ml | $8.33 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bolla Chianti red · Tuscany · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 $14.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▼ 6.3% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Calera Mills Vineyard Pinot Noir Mt Harlan 2017 red · 750 ml | $40.03 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
2,801–2,850 of 9,968← PreviousNext →