Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carodorum Vino de Autor Tempranillo Toro Crianza 2019 red · Rueda / Toro · 750 ml | $15.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Bonnet Bordeaux Rouge red · Bordeaux · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.33 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Branaire Ducru Saint Julien 2022 red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml | $170 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Chateau Lagrange Saint Julien 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $86.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Educated Guess Merlot Napa Valley 2022 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $6.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ethic Drinks Let It Bee Pinot Noir Vin de France 2023 red · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Les Fontanelles Pinot Noir Vin de Pays d'Oc Rouge 2021 red · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $8.93 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Robert Willis Homestead Collection Cabernet Sauvignon Horse Heaven Hills red · Washington · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.49 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +7% if it rises |
| Serodes and Kovac Vallee des Aigles Cazot Orange Vin de France 2023 red · 750 ml | $8.99 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Talosa Rosso di Montepulciano 2022 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Te Mata Estate Syrah Hawkes Bay 2019 red · Hawke's Bay · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Trapiche Malbec Mendoza Oak Cask red · Mendoza · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Angelo Negro Unfiltered Rosso Italia 2020 red · 750 ml | $10.03 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bota Box Nighthawk Black Dark Malbec red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 $24.99 Sale | ▲ 4.2% | ▲ 8.7% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Castelli del Grevepesa Clemente VII Chianti Classico Riserva 2018 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $16.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cusumano Alta Mora Etna Rosso 2021 red · Sicily · 750 ml | $14.99 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Do Epic SHT Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2022 red · Washington · 750 ml | $11.99 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Elvio Tintero Langhe Arneis 2021 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $3.73 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Francis Coppola Directors Cut Cinema Zinfandel Dry Creek Valley 2021 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| GD Vajra Dolcetto d'Alba 2020 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Game Box Red Blend red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.89 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +4% if it rises |
| Ghost Pines Merlot red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.73 $20.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 10.5% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Jacques Saumaize Chataigniers Saint Veran 2020 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $9.93 $32.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lava Cap Cabernet Sauvignon El Dorado 2023 red · 750 ml | $27.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Marziano Abbona Dogliani San Luigi 2023 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $11.99 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Werewolf Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 22.2% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Zilzie Cabernet Sauvignon Victoria 2020 red · 750 ml | $4.93 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Zuccardi Serie A Bonarda Santa Rosa Mendoza 2020 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $3.93 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bodegas Etchart Cafayate Terroir De Altura Cabernet Sauvignon Salta 2020 red · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Briganti Montepulciano d'Abruzzo red · Abruzzo · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +7% if it rises |
| Clover Hill Vineyards and Winery Turtle Rock Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.49 | — | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +7% if it rises |
| Domaine Joaquim Dias Givry Rouge 2023 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $16.73 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Jawbreaker Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 15.4% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| K Vintners Motor City Kitty Syrah Columbia Valley 2018 red · Washington · 750 ml | $22.03 $41.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Marques de Toro Mencia Finca La Moura Castilla y Leon 2021 red · Rueda / Toro · 750 ml | $2.93 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Salvatore Molettieri Ischia Piana Irpinia Rosso 2018 red · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Volker Eisele Family Estate Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2016 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $23.93 $71.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Yellow Tail Big Bold Red red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.59 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.0% | 0% premium | 3% |
| Yellow Tail Jammy Red Roo red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.59 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.0% | 0% premium | 3% |
| Argyle Pinot Noir Willamette Valley red · Oregon · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $29.99 | ▼ 3.8% | ▲ 3.4% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Board Track Racer Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2021 red · Washington · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Fleur Haut Gaussens Bordeaux Superieur Rouge 2015 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Ken Forrester Petit Pinotage Stellenbosch 2023 red · Western Cape · 750 ml | $15.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Lutra Vinho Tinto Tejo 2023 red · 750 ml | $9.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Menage a Trois Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 7.1% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Pacific Rim Wicked Good Red Columbia Valley red · Washington · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.23 $12.49 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Periquita Red Peninsula de Setubal red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.93 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Poggio Anima Samael Montepulciano d'Abruzzo red · Abruzzo · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +23% if it rises |
| Avignonesi Vino Nobile di Montepulciano 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $15.59 $25.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Baron Herzog Merlot red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 7.7% | Fairly priced | 4% |
2,801–2,850 of 5,705← PreviousNext →