Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chateau Cantemerle Haut Medoc Magnum 2018 red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml | $52.53 $99.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau de Ribebon Bordeaux Superieur red · Bordeaux · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.49 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +7% if it rises |
| Clos Pegase Hommage Chardonnay Napa Valley 2019 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $24.03 $47.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Comtesse Marion Viognier Pays d'Oc 2024 white · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Dievole Chianti Classico 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $11.03 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dievole Le Due Arbie Chianti Classico Riserva 2016 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Francois Millet Sancerre Blanc 2020 white · Loire · 750 ml | $23.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Paul Pernot Chardonnay Cote d'Or Bourgogne 2021 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| E Guigal Cotes du Rhone Rouge red · Rhone · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.69 | 0.0% | ▲ 16.9% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Garrigue du Midi Cabernet Sauvignon Pays d'Oc 2019 red · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $10.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Girasole Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon Mendocino County 2019 red · 750 ml | $3.93 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Koha Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2023 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $9.59 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Mud House Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2024 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Waterbrook Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2022 red · Washington · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bogle Vineyards Heritage Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +8% if it rises |
| Cantina di Solopaca Carrese Aglianico Sannio Riserva 2020 red · 750 ml | $8.39 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Celene Cuvee Royale Cremant de Bordeaux Brut sparkling · Bordeaux · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +8% if it rises |
| Chateau La Freynelle Bordeaux Rose 2020 rosé · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Colombelle Merlot Tannat Cotes de Gascogne 2022 red · 750 ml | $2.93 $10.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Adrien Besson Petit Chablis 2022 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $13.33 $22.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Emmanuel Darnaud Les Trois Chenes Crozes Hermitage Rouge 2020 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $16.03 $31.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine de la Genillotte Chablis 2022 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $8.73 $26.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Masi Tupungato Passo Doble Malbec Corvina Valle de Uco 2020 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Predator Six Spot Red Wine Lodi 2021 red · Lodi · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tenuta delle Terre Nere Etna Rosato 2021 rosé · Sicily · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Whitehall Tre Leoni Red Blend Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $10.43 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bodegas LAN Gran Reserva Rioja 2016 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $16.79 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau St Jean Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.49 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Gilles Coperet Les Sauburins Brouilly 2023 red · Beaujolais · 750 ml | $20.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Les 5 Chemins Muscadet Cotes de Grand Lieu Sur Lie 2021 white · Loire · 750 ml | $3.43 $13.49 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Famille Perrin Cotes du Rhone Villages Rouge red · Rhone · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.59 $14.59 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 4.3% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Havens Merlot Sonoma County 2020 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Howell Mountain Vineyards Primitivo Clone Zinfandel Howell Mountain Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $13.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Affentaler Pinot Noir Baden 2019 red · 750 ml | $16.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Alexander Valley Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon Alexander Valley 2019 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $18.63 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Castello Banfi Chianti Classico Riserva red · Tuscany · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | ▲ 4.6% | ▲ 13.6% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Cavit Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 | ▲ 10.0% | ▲ 22.2% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Chateau Latour Martillac Pessac Leognan Rouge 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $52.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Dominique et Janine Crochet Sancerre Rouge 2022 white · Loire · 750 ml | $17.99 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Herivault Vignoble des Augustins Chenin Blanc Vouvray Brut Methode Traditionnelle sparkling · Loire · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.93 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Lamole di Lamole Chianti Classico 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Los Frailes Caliza Monastrell Valencia 2022 red · 750 ml | $13.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Sean Minor Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles 2021 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $4.93 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Aravail Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +10% if it rises |
| Bojador White 2023 white · 750 ml | $3.93 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bolla Merlot red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | ▲ 5.3% | ▲ 33.4% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Cakebread Cellars Sauvignon Blanc Napa Valley 2021 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $32.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Castello Banfi Chianti Superiore red · Tuscany · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.49 | ▲ 6.2% | ▲ 19.2% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Chateau Clinet Pomerol 2019 red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml | $133 $243 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cliff Lede Cabernet Sauvignon Stags Leap District 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $79.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
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