Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mi Terruno Uvas Torrontes Santa Rosa County Mendoza 2023 white · Mendoza · 750 ml | $7.19 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Quadrum Rose Spain rosé · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.83 $19.79 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| The Eyrie Vineyards Spark Sparkling Rose Dundee Hills Willamette Valley sparkling · Oregon · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.79 $22.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Allan Scott Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2024 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $12.99 $17.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Centerstone Pinot Noir Willamette Valley red · Oregon · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Chateau Tour Chapoux Bordeaux Rouge 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $7.79 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Clair Diamant Cotes de Provence Rose 2022 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cook's California Champagne Extra Dry sparkling · California Central Valley · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 $18.99 Sale | ▲ 1.6% | ▲ 11.8% | Fairly priced | 26% typically +4% if it rises |
| Cooper Mountain Vineyards Pinot Gris Willamette Valley 2020 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $13.43 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine des Trottieres La Pierre Couverte Brut Cremant de Loire sparkling · Loire · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.93 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Domaines Barons de Rothschild Lafite Los Vascos Rose Colchagua Estate 2023 rosé · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $8.39 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Durigutti HD Malbec Patagonia 2024 red · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Horny Owl Shiraz Western Cape 2021 red · Western Cape · 750 ml | $8.33 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Jean Luc Colombo Cape Bleu Rose IGP Mediterranee 2020 rosé · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lobster Reef Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.98 $14.24 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Marietta Cellars Christo Red Blend North Coast 2018 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $6.53 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Pierre Sparr Riesling Grand Reserve Alsace 2020 white · Alsace · 750 ml | $4.73 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sean Minor Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles 2024 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $17.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Carpineta Fontalpino Chianti Classico Fontalpino 2018 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $14.73 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Fantinel Tenuta Sant'Helena Rocciaponca Pinot Grigio Collio 2024 white · Friuli · 750 ml | $14.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Gigondas La Cave l'Hallali Gigondas Grand Reserve 2017 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Les Darons by Jeff Carrel Languedoc Rouge 2021 red · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $14.99 | ▲ 7.1% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Leth Gruner Veltliner Ried Steinagrund Wagram 2020 white · 750 ml | $10.03 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lone Birch Syrah Yakima Valley 2020 red · Washington · 750 ml | $3.73 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Masi Bonacosta Valpolicella red · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 $16.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 11% typically +6% if it rises |
| Raw Bar Vinho Verde 2022 white · Vinho Verde · 750 ml | $8.93 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sean Minor Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles 2022 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $10.79 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Seven Hills Sauvignon Blanc Columbia Valley 2022 white · Washington · 750 ml | $4.93 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Susana Balbo Signature Malbec Mendoza 2019 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $5.93 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sutter Home Red Blend red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 15.4% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Yellow Tail Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.29 $8.29 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 3.8% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| le Fat Bastard Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 $12.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 8.3% | Fairly priced | 5% typically +6% if it rises |
| Allan Scott Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2023 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $5.93 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Beringer Main and Vine Red Crush red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.23 $13.49 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 3.8% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Bonterra Vineyards Organic Chardonnay Mendocino County white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $16.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 13.3% | Fairly priced | 8% typically +8% if it rises |
| Bota Box Breeze Cabernet Sauvignon red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 $24.99 Sale | ▲ 4.2% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +4% if it rises |
| Carnivor Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 7.7% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Clotilde Legrand Les Terrages Saumur Champigny 2019 red · Loire · 750 ml | $4.93 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Bousquet Sauvignon Blanc Tupungato 2024 white · Mendoza · 750 ml | $7.79 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine de l'Olivette Cotes de Provence Rose 2024 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $18.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| J Lohr Cabernet Sauvignon Seven Oaks Paso Robles red · Paso Robles · 375 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.49 | 0.0% | ▲ 13.6% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Menage a Trois Cabernet Sauvignon Bourbon Barrel Aged red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.73 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Noble Vines 337 Cabernet Sauvignon Lodi red · Lodi · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.49 | ▲ 3.3% | ▲ 3.3% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Opera Prima Sparkling Bellini Spain sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +10% if it rises |
| Piper Sonoma Rose rosé · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.79 $22.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Sogno di Ulisse Montepulciano d'Abruzzo 2019 red · Abruzzo · 750 ml | $6.73 $8.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tilia Malbec Mendoza 2021 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $3.93 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Capvespre Sunset Red Catalunya red · Penedes (Cava) · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.93 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Carmel Winery Selected Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.74 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Carpineto Dogajolo Red Wine Toscano red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | ▼ 3.8% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 3% |
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