Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beaulieu Vineyard BV Sauvignon Blanc Napa Valley 2023 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $21.59 $35.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ca' Liptra Arancio Vino Bianco Marche 2019 white · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Unshackled Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.13 $22.89 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 52% premium | 1% |
| Starmont Sauvignon Blanc Lake County white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 $21.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | 52% premium | 10% typically +4% if it rises |
| Clouston and Co Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2023 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | 52% premium | <1% |
| Domaine Servin Massale Selection Chablis Vieilles Vignes 2022 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $34.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Groth Sauvignon Blanc 2023 white · 750 ml | $17.99 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Semeli Armonia Peloponnese Greece White 2024 white · 750 ml | $24.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sequoia Grove Chardonnay Napa Valley 2022 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $20.99 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine de Chevalier Pessac Leognan Blanc 2018 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $132 | 0.0% | — | 52% premium | <1% |
| Kevin White Winery Heritage Red Blend DuBrul Vineyard Yakima Valley 2019 white · Washington · 750 ml | $20.03 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 53% premium | <1% |
| Ole Smoky White Chocolate Strawberry Cream white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.49 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Domaine Bott Geyl Riesling Schoenenbourg Grand Cru 2019 white · 750 ml | $49.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Matua Sauvignon Blanc Bagnum Bag 2025 white · 1500 ml | $24.99 | — | — | 53% premium | <1% |
| Clos du Bois Chardonnay white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $25.99 | ▼ 3.7% | 0.0% | 53% premium | 3% |
| Six Hats Fedora Chenin Blanc Piekenierskloof 2022 white · 750 ml | $3.93 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 53% premium | <1% |
| Santi Sortesele Pinot Grigio white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.73 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 17.7% | 53% premium | 1% |
| Eck Riesling Pfalz Trocken 2021 white · Rheinhessen / Pfalz · 1000 ml | $10.13 $33.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 53% premium | <1% |
| Pra Otto Soave Classico 2021 white · Veneto · 750 ml | $23.99 | 0.0% | — | 53% premium | <1% |
| Joh Jos Prum Riesling Wehlener Sonnenuhr Mosel Auslese 2007 white · Mosel · 750 ml | $53.93 $180 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 54% premium | <1% |
| Ferrari Carano Tre Terre Chardonnay Russian River Valley 2018 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $10.23 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Pape Clement Pessac Leognan Blanc 2018 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $100 $200 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Beringer Private Reserve Chardonnay Napa Valley 2022 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $26.73 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Fantinel Borgo Tessis Pinot Grigio Friuli 2022 white · Friuli · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 55% premium | <1% |
| Avennia Oliane Sauvignon Blanc Yakima Valley 2019 white · Washington · 750 ml | $8.23 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sun Goddess Pinot Grigio Ramato Friuli 2020 white · Friuli · 750 ml | $10.03 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 56% premium | <1% |
| Aveleda Solos de Xisto Vinho Verde Alvarinho 2022 white · Vinho Verde · 750 ml | $6.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 56% premium | <1% |
| Domaine Zind Humbrecht Clos Windsbuhl Pinot Gris Alsace 2020 white · Alsace · 750 ml | $89.99 | — | — | 56% premium | 1% |
| Wagner Vineyards Riesling Caywood East Finger Lakes 2020 white · Finger Lakes · 750 ml | $6.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 56% premium | <1% |
| Argyros Atlantis White Santorini 2020 white · 750 ml | $6.93 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 57% premium | <1% |
| Fess Parker Sanford and Benedict Chardonnay Santa Rita Hills 2019 white · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $11.73 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Anthony and David Girard Les Monts Damnes Sancerre Blanc 2020 white · Loire · 750 ml | $21.23 $35.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 57% premium | <1% |
| Yori Wine Cellars Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | — | — | 57% premium | 6% typically +4% if it rises |
| Domaine de Viranel Viognier Pays d'Oc 2022 white · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $5.93 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 58% premium | <1% |
| R Lopez de Heredia Vina Tondonia Via Gravonia Crianza Blanco Rioja 2016 white · Rioja · 750 ml | $49.99 | ▲ 8.7% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Little Goat Creek Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2023 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ram's Gate Sauvignon Blanc Carneros 2019 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $22.73 $37.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 58% premium | <1% |
| Domaine William Fevre Les Clos Chablis Grand Cru 2021 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $138 $230 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 58% premium | <1% |
| Blue Nun Authentic White Rhinehessen white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.23 $17.49 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 2.9% | 58% premium | 1% |
| Joh Jos Graacher Himmelreich Riesling Mosel Kabinett 2020 white · Mosel · 1500 ml | $86.93 $145 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Smith and Hook Sauvignon Blanc Central Coast white · Central Coast · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.99 $20.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | 59% premium | 13% typically +5% if it rises |
| Les Tetes Tete Orange Vin de France Blanc 2023 white · 750 ml | $22.99 $24.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Willamette Valley Vineyards Estate Chardonnay white · Oregon · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 $31.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 14.3% | 60% premium | 2% |
| Domaine de Viranel Viognier Pays d'Oc 2023 white · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | 60% premium | <1% |
| Lillet Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $21.99 $24.99 Sale | ▲ 13.6% | ▲ 25.0% | 60% premium | 1% |
| Etude Carneros Pinot Gris 2022 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $19.19 $31.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 60% premium | <1% |
| Domaine William Fevre Les Clos Chablis Grand Cru 2022 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $250 | 0.0% | — | 61% premium | 1% |
| Ecco Domani Pinot Grigio Delle Venezie 2x750 mL white · Veneto · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | 61% premium | 5% typically +4% if it rises |
| Avennia Oliane Sauvignon Blanc Yakima Valley 2022 white · Washington · 750 ml | $25.99 $27.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | 61% premium | <1% |
| Granbazan Etiqueta Verde Albarino Rias Baixas 2018 white · Rias Baixas · 1500 ml | $25.03 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 63% premium | <1% |
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