Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colome Estate Torrontes Salta 2024 white · 750 ml | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Diemersdal Sauvignon Blanc Cape Town 2024 white · 750 ml | $8.33 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Guarda Rios Red Blend Alentejo 2020 red · 750 ml | $10.13 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hyland Estates Pinot Noir Petit Estate McMinnville Willamette Valley 2019 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Old Kakheti Mukuzani Georgia 2020 red · 750 ml | $15.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Schlink Haus Riesling Nahe Auslese 2021 white · Rheinhessen / Pfalz · 750 ml | $3.93 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Shafer Relentless Napa Valley 2017 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $32.73 $110 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tenuta di Lilliano Chianti Classico 2020 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $3.93 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| William Clark Syrah Horse Heaven Hills red · Washington · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.49 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Winzer Krems Classic Blauer Zweigelt Trocken Niederosterreich 2023 red · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Bar Dog Red Blend red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.73 $14.59 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 12.3% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Baron de Ley Garnacha Rioja 2022 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Bergevin Lane Vineyards Linen Sauvignon Blanc Columbia Valley 2020 white · Washington · 750 ml | $3.93 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Broadbent Vinho Verde white · Vinho Verde · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 14% typically +10% if it rises |
| Broadside Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles 2019 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $11.13 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Latour Martillac Pessac Leognan Rouge 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $49.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Talbot Saint Julien 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $106 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Chateau de Libran L'Intimiste Rose Coteaux dAix en Provence 2021 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Jolete Cabernet Sauvignon Stone Valley Vineyard Walla Walla 2018 red · Washington · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Mud House Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2025 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $12.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Paul Doucet et Fils Sancerre Blanc 2020 white · Loire · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Perusini Ribolla Gialla Colli Orientali del Friuli 2023 red · Friuli · 750 ml | $11.99 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Produttori di Manduria Electric Bee Primitivo di Manduria 2021 red · Puglia · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Rodney Strong Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 $19.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 17.7% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +5% if it rises |
| Salomon Undhof Hochterrassen Gruner Veltliner Kremstal 2020 white · 750 ml | $3.93 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Undaunted Malbec Columbia Valley red · Washington · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.73 $14.59 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Vinum Cellars Pinot Noir Monterey 2018 red · Monterey · 750 ml | $8.73 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Wilhelm Walch Prendo Schiava Vigneti delle Dolomiti 2023 red · Trentino-Alto Adige · 750 ml | $8.39 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| BR Cohn Cabernet Sauvignon Olive Hill Estate Vineyards Sonoma Valley 2021 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $29.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Beaux Freres Sequiter Pinot Noir Ribbon Ridge Willamette Valley 2021 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $29.93 $95.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bernard Magrez Bleu de Mer Rose Pays d'Oc 2021 rosé · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Carbonnieux Pessac Leognan Blanc 2019 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $49.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine de Fabregues Le Villa Pezenas Rouge 2020 red · 750 ml | $3.73 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine du Vieux Telegraphe Telegramme Chateauneuf du Pape Rouge 2020 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $44.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hall Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $17.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lornano Chianti Classico 2021 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $14.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Scott Family Estate Chardonnay Arroyo Seco 2018 white · Monterey · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Taylor Port dessert · Douro · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 36.4% | Fairly priced | 8% typically +4% if it rises |
| Windisch Dornfelder Heimersheimer Rotenfels Rheinhessen 2020 red · Rheinhessen / Pfalz · 750 ml | $10.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Aperture Cellars Chenin Blanc Clarksburg 2021 white · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Boundary Breaks Cabernet Franc Finger Lakes 2023 red · Finger Lakes · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Girasole Vineyards Pinot Blanc Mendocino County 2022 white · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Hedonic Style Sweet Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $2.93 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Mastroberardino Mastro Aglianico Campania 2019 red · 750 ml | $7.53 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Planeta La Segreta Nero d'Avola Sicilia 2019 red · Sicily · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Renzo Masi Chianti Rufina Riserva red · Tuscany · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 $12.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +8% if it rises |
| Spring Gate Vineyard Renove Red Blend red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.59 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.3% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Terre Rouge Garrigue Sierra Foothills 2014 red · 750 ml | $6.93 $22.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| The Prisoner Pinot Noir Sonoma Coast 2019 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $49.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bodegas Borsao Berola Campo de Borja 2018 red · 750 ml | $4.73 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
2,701–2,750 of 9,968← PreviousNext →