Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matua Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough white · Marlborough · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $15.99 Sale | ▲ 6.7% | ▲ 14.3% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Pfaffl Vom Haus Gruner Veltliner white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.24 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Santa Julia Organic Malbec Rose Mendoza rosé · Mendoza · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.49 $13.49 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +8% if it rises |
| Sleight of Hand Cellars The Magician Riesling Ancient Lakes 2023 white · 750 ml | $17.99 $21.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Stillman Street Chardonnay Sonoma County 2018 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ventisquero Grey Glacier Single Block Cabernet Sauvignon Maipo Valley 2019 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| CK Mondavi Family Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.59 $16.59 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 10.7% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +7% if it rises |
| Canyon Oaks Cabernet Sauvingnon red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.76 $11.53 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Thieuley Generation III Bordeaux Blanc 2023 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $12.99 $14.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Concha Y Toro the Wine Malbec Colchagua Valley 2022 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine du Vieil Orme Sauvignon Blanc Touraine 2020 white · Loire · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Gran Campo Viejo Cava Brut Reserva sparkling · Penedes (Cava) · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.49 $13.49 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 3.8% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +8% if it rises |
| Kunde Family Winery Chardonnay Sonoma County 2021 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Paua Rock Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough white · Marlborough · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.89 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +7% if it rises |
| Robert Mondavi Private Selection 100 Percent Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.93 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Willm Gewurztraminer Alsace Reserve 2022 white · Alsace · 750 ml | $18.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Zuccardi Serie A Malbec Valle de Uco 2022 red · 750 ml | $2.53 $10.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bonterra Vineyards Organic Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $16.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 21.4% | Fairly priced | 8% typically +8% if it rises |
| Bota Mini Sauvignon Blanc white · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.99 $5.99 Sale | ▼ 14.3% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +9% if it rises |
| Casa Silva Gran Terroir de los Andes Carmenere Colchagua Valley 2023 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $15.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Cave de Lugny Les Charmes Chardonnay Macon Lugny 2019 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Bel Orme Tronquoy de Lalande 2019 red · 750 ml | $14.99 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Contempo Dry Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.11 $13.49 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Cote Mas Rose Aurore Pays d Oc Rose 2024 rosé · Languedoc-Roussillon · 1000 ml | $12.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Culitos Moscato Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.73 $12.49 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 25.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Dunham Syrah Columbia Valley 2021 red · Washington · 750 ml | $24.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Elios Modus Bibendi Rosso Terre Siciliane 2019 red · Sicily · 750 ml | $7.23 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Farrington Chenin Blanc South Africa 2025 white · Western Cape · 750 ml | $9.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Francis Coppola Diamond Collection Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.49 | ▲ 2.6% | ▲ 8.3% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Hermann J Wiemer Semi Dry Riesling Seneca Lake Finger Lakes 2023 white · Finger Lakes · 750 ml | $19.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| House Wine Red Blend Box red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.03 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| J Lohr Los Osos Merlot Paso Robles red · Paso Robles · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.69 | 0.0% | ▲ 10.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Menage a Trois Sweet Collection Dolce Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 $13.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +7% if it rises |
| Nine Hats Pinot Gris Columbia Valley 2023 white · Washington · 750 ml | $8.99 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Rodney Strong Red Blend Sonoma County red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 $22.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 11% typically +4% if it rises |
| Septima Malbec Mendoza red · Mendoza · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Vigne de Saint Germain Pinot Noir Bourgogne 2024 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $24.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Weingut Heid PUR Riesling Wurttemberg 2020 white · 750 ml | $10.03 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Barefoot Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +11% if it rises |
| Bodega El Porvenir Amauta Absoluto Malbec Cafayette Salta 2020 red · 750 ml | $3.93 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bodega Norton DOC Malbec Lujan De Cuyo 2019 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau D?Emeringes Vielle Vignes Beaujolais Blanc 2024 white · Beaujolais · 750 ml | $15.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Commanderie de la Bargemone Coteaux d'Aix en Provence Blanc 2020 white · Provence · 750 ml | $5.93 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Corvidae Mirth Chardonnay Washington 2019 white · Washington · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Fugaz Vinho Verde Medium Sweet white · Vinho Verde · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 11% typically +13% if it rises |
| GD Vajra Barbera D' Alba 2023 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $11.99 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hartley And Gibson Oloroso Sherry dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +7% if it rises |
| Hugl Gruner Veltliner 2021 white · 1000 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lapostolle Cuvee Alexandre Cabernet Sauvignon Apalta Valley 2020 red · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lemelson Vineyards Thea's Selection Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2021 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
2,701–2,750 of 6,416← PreviousNext →