Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Willems Willems Riesling Kabinett Altenberg 2022 white · 750 ml | $17.99 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Wonderful Wine Company Organic Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.73 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Kenwood Sauvignon Blanc Six Ridges Alexander Valley white · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.44 $22.89 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 44% premium | 1% |
| Tropical Cranberry Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 | — | ▲ 33.4% | Fairly priced | 11% typically +6% if it rises |
| Willamette Valley Vineyards White Pinot Noir 2019 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lamblin et Fils Vaillon Chablis Premier Cru 2020 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $25.13 $41.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 44% premium | <1% |
| Ramon Bilbao Early Harvest Verdejo white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | 44% premium | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Ohla White Catalunya Alcohol Removed white · Penedes (Cava) · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +5% if it rises |
| Homola Paloznak Balaton Hungary White Blend 2024 white · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sun Goddess Pinot Grigio Ramato Friuli 2022 white · Friuli · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 45% premium | <1% |
| Bisci Vermentino di Matelica 2024 white · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Clos Floridene Graves Blanc 2021 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Santa Gabriela Pinot Grigio Valdadige white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.59 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +6% if it rises |
| Honig Sauvignon Blanc 2022 white · 750 ml | $14.33 $23.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ecco Domani Pinot Grigio Delle Venezie white · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $15.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 14.3% | 45% premium | 5% typically +7% if it rises |
| Rapaura Springs Sauvignon Blanc Reserve 2023 white · 750 ml | $11.99 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 45% premium | <1% |
| Arthur Barolet Chardonnay Bourgogne Blanc 2022 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $9.93 $32.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Santa Margherita Pinot Grigio Valdadige white · 375 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.59 | 0.0% | ▲ 18.6% | Fairly priced | 18% typically +6% if it rises |
| Shafer Vineyards Red Shoulder Ranch Chardonnay Los Carneros 2022 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $21.93 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 46% premium | <1% |
| Shafer Red Shoulder Ranch Chardonnay Carneros 2021 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $20.73 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Louis Jadot Santenay Clos de Malte Blanc 2021 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $37.73 $63.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 46% premium | <1% |
| Mendes and Symington Contacto Vinho Verde 2024 white · Vinho Verde · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau de Fieuzal Pessac Leognan Blanc 2018 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $37.53 $74.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 46% premium | <1% |
| Barth Riesling Fructus 2022 white · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| J Lohr Chardonnay Arroyo Vista white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $27.99 | ▲ 3.7% | — | Fairly priced | 14% typically +6% if it rises |
| Hamilton Russell Vineyards Chardonnay Hemel En Aarde Valley 2023 white · 750 ml | $49.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Beringer Private Reserve Chardonnay Napa Valley 2019 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $13.43 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Saracina Sauvignon Blanc Mendocino County 2023 white · 750 ml | $19.99 $23.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Nautilus Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2024 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $18.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dr Thanisch Bernkasteler Graben Riesling GG QbA Mosel 2019 white · Mosel · 750 ml | $10.93 $37.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Cheval Blanc Saint Emilion Grand Cru Classe 2022 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $1,000 | ▲ 11.1% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +8% if it rises |
| Wente Vineyards Chardonnay Riva Ranch Monterey County white · Monterey · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 $21.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 10.0% | 48% premium | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Wine Chat Nothing Says Christmas White Wine white · 187 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 25.1% | Fairly priced | 26% typically +4% if it rises |
| Harken Chardonnay Barrel Fermented white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.63 $18.69 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 33.6% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +4% if it rises |
| Joh Jos Prum Riesling Auslese Wehlener Sonnenuhr 2023 white · 750 ml | $96.99 | 0.0% | — | 48% premium | 1% |
| Roscato Rosso and Moscato 2x750 mL Variety Pack white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $21.99 | 0.0% | — | 48% premium | 13% typically +4% if it rises |
| Chateau de la Greffiere Chardonnay Macon Milly Lamartine 2022 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $22.99 | 0.0% | — | 48% premium | <1% |
| Santa Margherita Pinot Grigio white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $23.99 $25.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 8.3% | 48% premium | 4% |
| Mont Rubi L'Ancestral Blanc Pet Nat Penedes 2021 white · Penedes (Cava) · 750 ml | $7.93 $25.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Banfi San Angelo Pinot Grigio Toscana white · Tuscany · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.49 $20.49 Sale | ▲ 2.5% | ▲ 13.9% | Fairly priced | 5% typically +6% if it rises |
| Santa Carolina Gran Reserva Sauvignon Blanc Valle de Leyda 2021 white · 750 ml | $11.99 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 49% premium | <1% |
| Santa Julia La Oveja Natural Torrontes Maipu 2023 white · 750 ml | $4.93 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 49% premium | <1% |
| Santa Julia La Oveja Natural Torrontes Maipu 2024 white · 750 ml | $18.99 | 0.0% | — | 49% premium | <1% |
| Lavinea Lazy River Chardonnay Willamette Valley 2017 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $11.93 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Castoro Cellars Reserve Viognier Dox Vinas Paso Robles 2021 white · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 50% premium | <1% |
| Eric Louis Cul de Loup Sancerre Blanc 2020 white · Loire · 750 ml | $20.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 50% premium | <1% |
| Catena Zapata Adrianna Vineyard White Bones Chardonnay Mendoza 2020 white · Mendoza · 750 ml | $70.03 $140 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 50% premium | <1% |
| Sun Goddess Pinot Grigio Ramato Friuli 2021 white · Friuli · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | 50% premium | <1% |
| Domaine de Chevalier Pessac Leognan Blanc 2019 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $34.93 $125 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 51% premium | <1% |
| Joh Jos Prum Riesling Graacher Himmelreich Mosel Auslese 2011 white · Mosel · 750 ml | $75.03 $150 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
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