Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heitz Cellars Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2017 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $20.73 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Pull Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles red · Paso Robles · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Two Vintners Make Haste Cinsault Yakima Valley 2021 red · Washington · 750 ml | $7.43 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Winzer Krems Classic Gruner Veltliner Trocken Niederosterreich 2023 white · 750 ml | $2.93 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Airfield Estates Sauvignon Blanc Yakima Valley 2021 white · Washington · 750 ml | $4.93 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Bledsoe Family Winery Cabernet Sauvignon Walla Walla Valley Washington 2022 red · Washington · 750 ml | $45.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Latour Martillac Pessac Leognan Blanc 2021 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $14.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Pedesclaux Pauillac 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $17.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine de Vauroux Chablis Montmains 1er Cru 2021 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $23.99 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| DuMOL Wester Reach Chardonnay Russian River Valley 2019 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $59.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Franciscan Estate California Pinot Noir 2022 red · California Central Valley · 750 ml | $11.99 $13.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Frank Family Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $59.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hazlitt 1852 Vineyards Red Cat Finger Lakes red · Finger Lakes · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 $11.99 Sale | ▲ 9.1% | ▲ 33.4% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| La Cana Albarino Rias Baixas 2024 white · Rias Baixas · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Red Newt Cellars Blue Newt White Finger Lakes white · Finger Lakes · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | ▲ 3.7% | ▲ 7.7% | Fairly priced | 14% typically +4% if it rises |
| Shafer Relentless Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $32.73 $110 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tabor Winery Mt Tabor Chardonnay 2021 white · 750 ml | $5.03 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tenuta Ulisse Nativae di Ulisse Montepulciano d'Abruzzo 2020 red · Abruzzo · 750 ml | $8.99 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Vasse Felix Cabernet Sauvignon Filius Margaret River 2019 red · 750 ml | $6.93 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Calera Pinot Noir Central Coast red · Central Coast · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Chateau Ste Michelle Merlot Columbia Valley red · Washington · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $16.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▼ 5.6% | Fairly priced | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Domaine du Vieux Telegraphe Telegramme Chateauneuf du Pape Rouge 2021 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $17.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Head High Chardonnay Sonoma County 2023 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hyland Estates Old Vine Riesling Willamette Valley 2019 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $18.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Maison De Madeleine Sauvignon Blanc 2024 white · 750 ml | $12.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Mulderbosch Faithful Hound Stellenbosch 2022 red · Western Cape · 750 ml | $4.93 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Palmaris Red Reserve Napa Valley 2020 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $17.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| St Supery Estate Sauvignon Blanc Napa Valley white · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 5% typically +4% if it rises |
| Weinrieder Ried Schneiderberg Gruner Veltliner Niederosterreich 2020 white · 750 ml | $6.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bookwalter Winery Readers Chardonnay Columbia Valley 2023 white · Washington · 750 ml | $10.19 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cave de Ribeauville Muscat Alsace 2019 white · Alsace · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Lynch Moussas Pauillac 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $61.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Clos du Bois Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | ▼ 6.3% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +4% if it rises |
| Domaine Terlato and Chapoutier L Block Shiraz Pyrenees 2018 red · 750 ml | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine de L'Olivette Mare Nostrum IGP Mediterranee Rose 2020 rosé · 750 ml | $13.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dr Konstantin Frank Gewurztraminer Finger Lakes 2020 white · Finger Lakes · 750 ml | $16.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Emendis Robert de Nola Brut Rose sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.93 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Fanti Brunello di Montalcino 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $32.99 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hartford Court Pinot Noir Russian River Valley 2021 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $11.93 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| J Lohr Chardonnay Riverstone Arroyo Seco white · Monterey · 375 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.19 $10.39 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 15.6% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Kunde Family Winery Cabernet Sauvignon Sonoma County 2019 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $5.93 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Kysela Pere et Fils HB Picpoul de Pinet 2021 red · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lange Pinot Noir Willamette Valley Reserve 2022 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $11.93 $38.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Les Darons by Jeff Carrel Languedoc Rouge 2020 red · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Melini Borghi d'Elsa Chianti red · Tuscany · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.29 $14.59 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 32.8% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Seifried Sauvignon Blanc Nelson 2021 white · 750 ml | $4.73 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Vinha da Coutada Velha Red Alentejano 2020 red · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Affentaler Pinot Noir Baden 2018 red · 750 ml | $8.53 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Barnard Griffin Riesling Columbia Valley 2020 white · Washington · 750 ml | $3.93 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Gloria Saint Julien 2019 red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml | $60.03 $115 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
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