Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XXL Moscato Mango white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +9% if it rises |
| Xumek Malbec Valle de Zonda 2019 red · 750 ml | $3.93 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| le Fat Bastard Syrah red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.73 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 8.3% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau La Freynelle Bordeaux Blanc 2025 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $14.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chloe Chardonnay Sonoma County white · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.33 $16.59 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 3.8% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Dr Konstantin Frank Dry Riesling Finger Lakes 2020 white · Finger Lakes · 750 ml | $11.93 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Famiglia Bianchi Organic Malbec Mendoza 2020 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Finca Luna Beberide Mencia Bierzo 2018 red · 750 ml | $5.93 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Guadianeja Paraje Alto Hungrao Tempranillo Castilla la Mancha 2023 red · 750 ml | $13.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Il Casato Sauvignon Blanc Italy white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +9% if it rises |
| Menage a Trois Sweet Collection Sultry Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.49 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Muga Rose Rioja 2025 rosé · Rioja · 750 ml | $17.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Savage Grace Riesling Columbia Gorge 2022 white · 750 ml | $13.19 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sonoma Cutrer Chardonnay Sonoma Coast white · Sonoma · 375 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.63 $13.49 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 3.8% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Tenuta Le Colonne Plenum Costa Toscana Rosso 2018 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| The Federalist Cabernet Sauvignon Lodi red · Lodi · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.99 | ▲ 1.6% | ▲ 5.6% | Fairly priced | 5% typically +5% if it rises |
| Three Thieves Pinot Grigio white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.29 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 13% typically +10% if it rises |
| Albrecht Durer Nurnberger Gluhwein White white · 1000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.53 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 33.4% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Bota Box Breeze Dry Rose rosé · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.94 $23.89 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 13.8% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Boundary Breaks Riesling Medium Dry OLN Finger Lakes 2023 white · Finger Lakes · 750 ml | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Vigneau Chevreau Cuvee Silex Vouvray Sec 2022 red · Loire · 750 ml | $13.23 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Downes Family Sanctuary Peak Sauvignon Blanc Elgin 2022 white · 750 ml | $8.99 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dry Creek Vineyard Dry Chenin Blanc Clarksburg 2021 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $15.99 $17.99 Sale | ▲ 5.9% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Elizabeth Spencer Special Cuvee Sauvignon Blanc North Coast 2022 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Erath Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $21.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 10.0% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Francis Ford Coppola Diamond Prosecco sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.49 | ▲ 2.9% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +5% if it rises |
| Martin Ray Vineyards and Winery Chardonnay Sonoma Coast 2020 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sunwine Rkatsiteli Qvevri Dry Amber Orange Wine 2021 red · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Victoire Lafayette Brut Blanc de Blancs Vin de France Non Vintage sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| A to Z Wineworks Chardonnay Oregon 2021 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $4.93 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Allan Scott Pinot Noir Marlborough 2021 red · Marlborough · 750 ml | $21.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chatelain Desjacques Sauvignon Blanc Vin de France 2022 white · 750 ml | $6.23 $10.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Gnarly Head 1924 Double Black Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.23 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 7.7% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Kressman Monopole Sauvignon Blanc Bordeaux 2021 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $3.93 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Planeta La Segreta Grillo Sicilia 2021 red · Sicily · 750 ml | $6.53 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Portlandia Pinot Gris Willamette Valley 2020 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| The Loop Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2024 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Two Vintners Winery Grenache Blanc Yakima Valley 2021 white · Washington · 750 ml | $6.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Weis Dry Riesling Finger Lakes 2023 white · Finger Lakes · 750 ml | $20.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Yealands Reserve Sauvignon Blanc 2023 white · 750 ml | $8.99 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| 14 Hands Pinot Grigio white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.13 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 7.7% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Banfi La Pettegola Vermentino Toscana 2020 white · Tuscany · 750 ml | $7.53 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bodegas Leza Garcia Crianza Graciano Rioja 2022 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Clair Diamant Cotes de Provence Rose 2024 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Double Canyon Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2021 red · Washington · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Gagliole Rubiolo Chianti Classico 2018 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Gnarly Head Zinfandel Lodi Old Vine red · Lodi · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.49 | ▲ 3.8% | ▲ 3.8% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Hallmark Channel Jingle Cabernet Sauvignon Lodi red · Lodi · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 26% typically +5% if it rises |
| Jean Marc Burgaud Beaujolais Morgon Cote du Py 2023 red · Beaujolais · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Les Freres Bastards Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.33 $15.59 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 30.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
2,651–2,700 of 6,416← PreviousNext →