Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sherwood Estate Sauvignon Blanc Waipara Valley white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | — | — | 38% premium | 9% typically +5% if it rises |
| Luis Felipe Edwards Marea Sauvignon Blanc Leyda Valley 2024 white · 750 ml | $16.99 | 0.0% | — | 39% premium | 1% |
| Joh Jos Prum Riesling Kabinett Wehlener Sonnenuhr 2023 white · 750 ml | $43.19 $71.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Grgich Hills Chardonnay Napa Valley white · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $49.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 25.0% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Jules Taylor Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2023 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $12.03 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Pra Otto Soave Classico 2022 white · Veneto · 750 ml | $13.19 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 39% premium | <1% |
| David Finlayson Chenin Blanc Old Vine Stellenbosch 2023 white · Western Cape · 750 ml | $21.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lail Vineyards Blueprint Sauvignon Blanc Napa Valley 2023 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $36.03 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Raeburn High Flier Chardonnay Russian River Valley 2021 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $17.73 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Calera Chardonnay Mt Harlan 2019 white · 750 ml | $17.73 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dragonette Cellars Sauvignon Blanc Happy Canyon of Santa Barbara 2020 white · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $27.93 $36.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau de Chantegrive Cuvee Caroline Graves Blanc 2018 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Gundlach Bundschu Sauvignon Blanc Sonoma County 2023 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $17.99 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 40% premium | <1% |
| Luis Felipe Edwards Marea Chardonnay Valle de Leyda 2021 white · 750 ml | $16.99 | 0.0% | — | 40% premium | 1% |
| Veramonte Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.49 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 40% premium | 3% |
| Groth Chardonnay Hillview Vineyard Napa Valley 2022 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $38.99 $64.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cliff Lede Sauvignon Blanc Napa Valley 2023 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $20.99 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Alphonse Dolly Cuvee Silex Sancerre Blanc 2022 white · Loire · 750 ml | $23.73 $38.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 40% premium | <1% |
| Nine Hats Chardonnay Columbia Valley 2022 white · Washington · 750 ml | $11.99 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 40% premium | <1% |
| Pierre Marie Chermette Collonges Chardonnay Beaujolais Blanc 2024 white · Beaujolais · 750 ml | $25.99 | 0.0% | — | 40% premium | <1% |
| Trione River Road Ranch Sauvignon Blanc 2023 white · 750 ml | $29.99 | — | — | 40% premium | <1% |
| Ava Grace Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.23 $12.49 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 25.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Ste Michelle Sauvignon Blanc Horse Heaven Hills white · Washington · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $21.99 | 0.0% | — | 40% premium | 9% typically +4% if it rises |
| Haart Riesling Estate 2022 white · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Mirassou Pinot Grigio white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $14.99 Sale | ▲ 7.1% | ▲ 15.4% | 40% premium | 2% |
| Whitehaven Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough white · Marlborough · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | ▼ 4.8% | ▲ 5.3% | 40% premium | 4% |
| Dr Loosen Urziger Wurzgarten Riesling Auslese 2021 white · 750 ml | $61.99 $63.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Carl Reh Riesling Piesporter Michelserg Spatlese white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 $17.99 Sale | ▲ 15.4% | ▲ 38.5% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Lothian Vineyards Chardonnay Elgin 2019 white · 750 ml | $7.23 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Olivier Pessac Leognan Blanc 2023 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $61.99 | — | — | 41% premium | 3% |
| Joel Gott Pinot Grigio Delle Venezie white · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 $19.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 5.3% | 41% premium | 7% typically +9% if it rises |
| Domaine William Fevre Les Preuses Chablis Grand Cru 2021 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $120 $200 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 41% premium | <1% |
| Jules Taylor Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2024 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Dominique et Janine Crochet Le Grand Chemarin Sancerre Blanc 2024 white · Loire · 750 ml | $42.99 | — | — | 41% premium | 2% |
| Domaine William Fevre Les Clos Chablis Grand Cru 2020 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $59.73 $200 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 41% premium | <1% |
| Schlumberger Gruner Veltliner Niederoesterreich 2019 white · 750 ml | $6.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Louis Jadot Santenay Clos de Malte Blanc 2022 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $64.99 | 0.0% | — | 41% premium | 1% |
| Stuhlmuller Vineyards Chardonnay Alexander Valley Estate 2022 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $20.99 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 41% premium | <1% |
| Chateau St Jean Chardonnay Carneros 2022 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine William Fevre Les Preuses Chablis Grand Cru 2022 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $215 | 0.0% | — | 42% premium | 1% |
| La Spinetta Vermentino Toscana 2025 white · Tuscany · 750 ml | $24.99 | — | — | 42% premium | <1% |
| Succession Wines Sauvignon Blanc Ancient Lakes Columbia Valley 2021 white · Washington · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 42% premium | <1% |
| Weis Gruner Veltliner Finger Lakes 2025 white · Finger Lakes · 750 ml | $29.99 | — | — | 42% premium | 1% |
| Kloster Eberbach Crescentia Steinberger Riesling Rheingau Kabinett 2019 white · Rheingau · 750 ml | $8.73 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Claude Riffault Mosaique Sancerre Blanc 2023 white · Loire · 750 ml | $28.43 $37.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 42% premium | 1% |
| Six Eighty Cellars Riesling Estate Reserve Finger Lakes 2020 white · Finger Lakes · 750 ml | $6.93 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Mastroberardino Nero a Meta Campania Bianco 2019 white · 750 ml | $14.99 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 43% premium | <1% |
| Trust Cellars Riesling Columbia Valley 2022 white · Washington · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Les Aphillanthes Clementia Cotes du Rhone Blanc 2023 white · Rhone · 750 ml | $13.19 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 43% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Langlet Sauvignon Blanc Graves 2021 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $10.03 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
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