Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clos des Brusquieres Chateauneuf du Pape Rouge 2021 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $32.99 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Clos la Coutale Cahors 2020 red · 750 ml | $10.13 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dancing Crow Vineyards Sauvignon Blanc Lake County 2021 white · 750 ml | $11.23 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Nuit de Lumieres Grenache Noir Reserve Pays d'Oc 2024 red · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $10.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Reserve de la Comtesse Pauillac 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $82.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Sunny with a Chance of Flowers Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.49 | ▲ 4.2% | — | Fairly priced | 12% typically +7% if it rises |
| Taittinger La Francaise Brut Champagne sparkling · Champagne · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $135 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 13% typically +7% if it rises |
| Tattoo Girl Chardonnay Columbia Valley 2019 white · Washington · 750 ml | $7.73 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Turk Rose Blauen Zweigelt Niederosterreich 2022 rosé · 750 ml | $4.73 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| 19 Crimes Cali Rose Gold rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | ▼ 7.7% | — | Fairly priced | 14% typically +7% if it rises |
| Blue Mountain Bri's Blush rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.4% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Bodegas Borsao Tres Picos Campo de Borja 2019 red · 750 ml | $18.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cakebread Cellars Sauvignon Blanc Napa Valley 2023 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $19.79 $32.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cuvee Delye Les Pierres Grises Saint Veran 2019 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $18.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Bousquet Organic Vegan Virgen Cabernet Sauvignon Tupungato 2020 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $6.03 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| La Biblioteca Pinot Noir Estate Reserve Willamette Valley 2021 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $21.93 $37.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Les Demoiselles de la Font du Loup Chateauneuf du Pape Rouge 2022 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $23.99 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Martin Woods Tualatin Estate Vineyard Gamay Tualatin Hills 2021 red · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Old Kakheti Sparkling Georgia 2020 sparkling · 750 ml | $3.93 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Outerbound Pinot Noir Russian River Valley 2019 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $12.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Saint M Riesling Mosel white · Mosel · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.99 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Sokol Blosser Evolution Chardonnay Willamette Valley 2019 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $5.73 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sunny with a Chance of Flowers Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.49 | ▲ 4.2% | — | Fairly priced | 12% typically +6% if it rises |
| Bernard Magrez Bleu de Mer Rose Pays d'Oc 2020 rosé · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cru Winery Unoaked Chardonnay Arroyo Seco Monterey County 2020 white · Monterey · 750 ml | $3.93 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Emilio Lustau Fino Jarana Solera Sherry dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 $17.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +6% if it rises |
| Kosta Browne One Sixteen Chardonnay 2022 white · 750 ml | $26.93 $89.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| La Retro Les Annees Folles Vin de France Rouge 2020 red · 1000 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Lyngrove Collection Pinotage Stellenbosch 2023 red · Western Cape · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| O Organics Organic Chardonnay California white · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.29 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.3% | Fairly priced | 10% typically +10% if it rises |
| Orin Swift 8 Years in the Desert California 2021 red · California Central Valley · 750 ml | $14.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Recanati Cabernet Sauvignon Upper Galilee 2020 red · 750 ml | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Turk Rose Blauen Zweigelt Niederosterreich 2024 rosé · 750 ml | $15.99 $16.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Two Angels Petite Sirah Red Hills Lake County 2019 red · 750 ml | $12.73 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Villa Jolanda Strawberry Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $2.93 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Waterbrook Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2020 red · Washington · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Yori Wine Cellars Isabella Sweet Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +7% if it rises |
| Christophe Thorigny Vouvray Sec 2019 red · Loire · 750 ml | $14.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Elvio Tintero Langhe Nebbiolo 2020 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $3.73 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Francis Coppola Diamond Collection Zinfandel Red Label red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.99 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| LaLuca Prosecco sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 16.7% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +8% if it rises |
| Malvira Roero Arneis 2023 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $15.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| St Huberts Chardonnay The Stag white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.73 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Tavernello Pinot Grigio Delle Venezie white · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +10% if it rises |
| Warre's Kings Tawny Porto dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +5% if it rises |
| Bantu Cannonau di Sardegna 2023 red · 750 ml | $12.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Casal do Ramilo Jackpot Lisbon 2020 red · 750 ml | $3.93 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau d'Estoublon Roseblood Rose Coteaux Varois en Provence 2023 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine de Vauroux Chablis Montmains 1er Cru 2018 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $23.73 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Goose Ridge G3 Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2020 red · Washington · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
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