Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tropical Blueberry Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.59 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +7% if it rises |
| Cuvaison Chardonnay Carneros white · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $29.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 20.0% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Domaine William Fevre Vaulorent Chablis 1er Cru 2021 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $37.73 $126 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Frank Family Vineyards Chardonnay Carneros 2021 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $11.93 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sagemoor Without Rehearsal Sauvignon Blanc Columbia Valley 2019 white · Washington · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Montelena Chardonnay Napa Valley 2022 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $47.99 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 34% premium | <1% |
| Dr Thanisch Bernkasteler Graben Riesling Mosel Spatlese 2020 white · Mosel · 750 ml | $10.93 $37.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Villota Selvanevada Blanco Rioja 2024 white · Rioja · 750 ml | $19.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bouchaine Estate Chardonnay Carneros 2018 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Mont Perat Bordeaux Blanc 2020 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $6.93 $22.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| J Vineyards Chardonnay Russian River Valley 2022 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $10.93 $37.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Woodbridge Buttery Chardonnay white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Cocchi Americano Bianco white · 375 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +7% if it rises |
| Lionel Osmin Chambre d'Amour L'Original Blanc Doux Cotes de Gascogne Off Dry 2024 white · 750 ml | $13.99 | — | — | 35% premium | 1% |
| Louis Jadot Puligny Montrachet La Garenne 1er Cru Blanc 2020 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $119 | 0.0% | — | 35% premium | <1% |
| Borges Gatao Vinho Verde Blanco white · Vinho Verde · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 30.0% | 35% premium | 10% typically +8% if it rises |
| COS Pithos Bianco Grecanico Terre Siciliane 2023 white · Sicily · 750 ml | $41.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Savage Grace Red Willow Sauvignon Blanc Yakima Valley 2022 white · Washington · 750 ml | $16.19 $26.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 35% premium | <1% |
| Vynecrest Vineyards and Winery Pinot Grigio white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $20.49 | — | — | Fairly priced | 14% typically +5% if it rises |
| Laetitia Ducroux Blanc Sancerre Blanc 2024 white · Loire · 750 ml | $32.99 | — | — | 35% premium | 1% |
| Louis Jadot Domaine Gagey Le Clos Beaune Greves 1er Cru Blanc 2021 white · 750 ml | $59.99 $99.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Waipapa Bay Marlborough Sauvignon Blanc 2023 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $9.59 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine des Carlines En Lya Chardonnay Cotes du Jura 2018 white · 750 ml | $8.23 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Gen 5 Sauvignon Blanc Lodi white · Lodi · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.29 $14.59 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 36% premium | 1% |
| Elmo Pio Moscato white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $21.99 | ▲ 4.8% | ▲ 15.8% | 36% premium | 4% |
| Domaine Jomain Chardonnay Bourgogne Blanc 2022 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $16.79 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine de Reuilly Les Pierres Plates Reuilly Blanc 2024 white · 750 ml | $24.99 $26.99 Sale | — | — | 36% premium | 1% |
| Dr Loosen Wehlener Sonnenuhr Riesling GG Reserve Im Laychen 2017 white · 750 ml | $103 $105 Sale | 0.0% | — | 36% premium | 1% |
| De Wetsof Limestone Hill Chardonnay Robertson Vallley 2023 white · 750 ml | $11.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lange Estate Winery Classique Pinot Gris Willamette Valley white · Oregon · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.73 $25.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 36% premium | 1% |
| Simi Brightful Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.93 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Beringer Founders' Estate Chardonnay white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 $24.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 8.7% | 36% premium | 2% |
| Cakebread Cellars Sauvignon Blanc North Coast 2024 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $32.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Smallfry Wines Tangerine Dreams White Blend Barossa Valley 2021 white · Barossa · 750 ml | $13.53 $26.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 36% premium | <1% |
| Bodegas Granbazan Etiqueta Ambar Albarino Rias Baixas 2024 white · Rias Baixas · 750 ml | $26.99 $29.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| William Fevre Fourchaume Chablis 1er Cru 2021 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $56.33 $93.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| King Estate Pinot Gris Willamette Valley white · Oregon · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.89 $22.89 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 4.1% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Riunite Bianco white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | ▲ 1.0% | ▲ 17.7% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Moroki Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2023 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $10.79 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine FL Chamboureau Chenin Blanc Savennieres 2020 white · Loire · 750 ml | $22.19 $36.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Loosen Bros Dr Lo Alcohol Removed Riesling Nonalcoholic white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Chalone Vineyard Estate Grown Chardonnay Chalone 2022 white · Monterey · 750 ml | $17.99 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 37% premium | <1% |
| J J Prum Bernkasteler Lay Riesling Mosel Auslese 2020 white · Mosel · 750 ml | $35.03 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 37% premium | <1% |
| Louis Jadot Domaine du Duc de Magenta Clos de La Chapelle Monopole Chassagne Montrachet Morgeot1er Cru Blanc 2019 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $105 | 0.0% | — | 37% premium | <1% |
| Savage Grace Skin Contact Gewurztraminer Columbia Gorge 2022 white · 750 ml | $10.93 $33.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 37% premium | <1% |
| Brooks Winery Cahiers Riesling Willamette Valley 2023 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $30.99 | — | — | 37% premium | 1% |
| Frog's Leap Chardonnay Shale and Stone Napa Valley 2022 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $25.19 $41.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Morgan Sauvignon Blanc Arroyo Seco white · Monterey · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | 38% premium | 5% typically +4% if it rises |
| Decibel Sauvignon Blanc Hawke's Bay 2023 white · Hawke's Bay · 750 ml | $12.03 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Louis Jadot Marsannay Blanc 2021 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $17.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 38% premium | <1% |
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