Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Northwest Ridge Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2019 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $6.53 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Pierre Marie Chermette Beaujolais Nouveau Primeur Griottes 2023 red · Beaujolais · 750 ml | $4.93 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Spellbound Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.73 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Mas Cremat Les Sales Gosses Mourvedre Vin Sans Sulfites Cotes Catalanes Rouge 2021 red · 750 ml | $8.73 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Frescobaldi Castelgiocondo Brunello Di Montalcino 2018 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $44.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Natura Organic Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | ▲ 3.5% | ▲ 15.4% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Saviah Cellars The Jack Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2021 red · Washington · 750 ml | $10.73 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Three French Hens Cabernet Sauvignon Pays d'Oc 2024 red · Languedoc-Roussillon · 3000 ml | $23.99 $26.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Tres Buhis Nocturna Red Yelca red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $2.93 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Villa Antinori Toscana Rosso red · Tuscany · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $23.99 | ▼ 4.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Villa Montignana Chianti Classico Riserva 2021 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $15.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Whitehall Leonardini Estate Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $25.43 $84.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Agramont Gran Reserva Navarra 2015 red · 750 ml | $21.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Alvaredos Hobbs Godello Ribeira Sacra 2019 red · 750 ml | $20.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Apothic Red Winemaker's Blend red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | ▼ 6.7% | ▲ 7.7% | Fairly priced | 5% typically +4% if it rises |
| Bonterra Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $16.99 Sale | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +8% if it rises |
| Bonterra The Butler Butler Ranch Vineyard Mendocino County 2020 red · 750 ml | $17.73 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cantina Valle Tritana Montepulciano d'Abruzzo 2019 red · Abruzzo · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau de Fieuzal Pessac Leognan Rouge 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $59.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Domaine de l'Enchantoir Le Pied a l'Etrier Saumur Puy Notre Dame 2019 red · Loire · 750 ml | $11.03 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ethic Drinks Peau a Peau Vin Orange Vin de France 2024 red · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Marziano Abbona Dogliani San Luigi 2020 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $5.73 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Simple Life Pinot Noir 2019 red · 750 ml | $7.73 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| St Supery Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $34.79 $57.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Terra d'Oro Zinfandel Amador County 2018 red · 750 ml | $8.03 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Wild Hills Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2023 red · Washington · 750 ml | $19.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Apothic Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | ▼ 12.5% | ▲ 27.3% | Fairly priced | 19% typically +7% if it rises |
| Bodega Renacer Punto Final Malbec Lujan du Cuyo Reserva 2021 red · 750 ml | $10.19 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Barde Haut Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $64.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Bouscasse Madiran 2017 red · 750 ml | $7.23 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Malartic Lagraviere Pessac Leognan Rouge 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $64.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Dila O Saperavi Kakheti Georgia 2023 red · 750 ml | $13.99 $16.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Joaquim Dias Cuvee Selection Pinot Noir Bourgogne Rouge 2022 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $6.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine des Cassagnoles Reserve Selection Cuvee Gros Manseng Cotes de Gascogne 2022 red · 750 ml | $3.93 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Gnarly Head Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.49 | ▲ 3.8% | ▲ 3.8% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Oko Cabernet Sauvignon Vin de France red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 $12.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +8% if it rises |
| Ridgeback Lion Hound Cabernet Sauvignon Paarl 2019 red · Western Cape · 750 ml | $7.53 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Torbreck Woodcutters Shiraz 2022 red · 750 ml | $14.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Trumpeter Malbec Mendoza 2021 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $3.93 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bojador Red Alentejo 2020 red · 750 ml | $3.73 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ercole Barbera del Monferrato 2020 red · Piedmont · 1000 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Familia Schroeder Saurus Select Malbec Patagonia 2019 red · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Gilbert Cellars Left Bank Red Blend Columbia Valley 2022 red · Washington · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Zilzie Pinot Noir Victoria 2020 red · 750 ml | $4.93 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Boutinot Three French Hens Cabernet Sauvignon Pays d'Oc Box 2021 red · Languedoc-Roussillon · 3000 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Mukhrani Saperavi Kartli 2018 red · 750 ml | $21.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Chanson Beaune 1er Cru Clos des Marconnets 2021 red · 750 ml | $58.99 $64.99 Sale | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine des Assalins Gigondas 2020 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $17.73 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine des Cassagnoles Reserve Selection Cuvee Gros Manseng Cotes de Gascogne 2020 red · 750 ml | $6.53 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Francis Coppola Diamond Collection Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles red · Paso Robles · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $21.49 | ▲ 2.4% | ▼ 2.3% | Fairly priced | 17% typically +5% if it rises |
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