Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lavinea Pinot Noir Temperance Hill Vineyard Eola Amity Hills 2017 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $23.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Mano's Eagles Championship Eagles Etched Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $49.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +5% if it rises |
| Poesia Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2020 red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml | $28.43 $94.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Rodney Strong Rose of Pinot Noir Russian River Valley rosé · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.79 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Stoneburn Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2024 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| The Federalist Bourbon Barrel Aged Cabernet Sauvignon Lodi 2018 red · Lodi · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Waterbrook Reserve Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2019 red · Washington · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Anselmi San Vincenzo Sauvignon Blend 2022 red · 750 ml | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Branaire Ducru Saint Julien 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $86.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Dievole Le Due Arbie Chianti Superiore 2020 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $4.23 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Fiabe di Carta Barbera Piemonte 2021 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $6.93 $11.49 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Frey Organic Natural Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 9.1% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Joh Jos Prum Riesling Bernkastler Badstube Mosel Kabinett 2020 white · Mosel · 750 ml | $43.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Juggernaut Pinot Noir Russian River Valley red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | ▼ 16.3% | — | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Louis Jadot Pinot Noir Burgundy 2020 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $22.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| MacRostie Chardonnay Sonoma Coast 2019 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $6.93 $22.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Pali Wine Co Highlands Chardonnay Santa Rita Hills 2017 white · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Winzer Krems Classic Gruner Veltliner Trocken Niederosterreich 2022 white · 750 ml | $2.93 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Carmel Selected Merlot red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $2.93 $11.39 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 3.6% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Cave du Chateau de Chenas Coeur de Granit Chenas 2023 red · Beaujolais · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Gloria Saint Julien 2023 red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml | $115 | — | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +35% if it rises |
| Continuum Proprietary Red Napa Valley 2017 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $260 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Dinastia Vivanco Rosado Rioja 2022 rosé · Rioja · 750 ml | $3.73 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine du Clos des Poulettes Vierville Cote de Nuits Villages Rouge 2019 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $19.73 $32.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domane Wachau Gruner Veltliner Federspiel Terrassen Wachau 2019 white · 750 ml | $10.03 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dow's Tawny Porto 20 Year Old dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $70.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +10% if it rises |
| Goldschmidt Fidelity Red Blend Alexander Valley 2023 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $19.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Pontellon Albarino Rias Biaxas 2019 white · Rias Baixas · 750 ml | $18.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Roaming Dog Chardonnay Columbia Valley 2020 white · Washington · 750 ml | $4.53 $8.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Stags' Leap Winery Merlot Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $34.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Aime Roquesante Cotes de Provence Rose 2023 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $3.93 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Anselmi San Vincenzo Sauvignon Blend 2023 red · 750 ml | $7.19 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Astorre Noti Vino Nobile di Montepulciano 2022 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $19.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Beaulieu Vineyard Tapestry Reserve Red Wine Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $19.43 $64.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Le Portail Cheverny Rouge 2020 red · 750 ml | $16.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Farm Fresh Cranberry Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +8% if it rises |
| J M Fonseca Twin Vines Vinho Verde white · Vinho Verde · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.13 $10.39 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 4.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Kathryn Hall Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $75.93 $250 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Natura Harmony Red Blend Chile 2024 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $12.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Pazo de Villarei Albarino Rias Baixas 2023 white · Rias Baixas · 750 ml | $15.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Phelps Creek Vineyards Underwood Mountain Riesling Columbia Gorge 2023 white · 750 ml | $13.19 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Rodney Strong Cabernet Sauvignon Alexander Valley Sonoma County red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $29.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 15.4% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Summer Water Rose Central Coast rosé · Central Coast · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 5.3% | Fairly priced | 11% typically +5% if it rises |
| Tenuta Regaleali Nero d'Avola red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +7% if it rises |
| Tolino Vineyards Mama's Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.59 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.3% | Fairly priced | 18% typically +5% if it rises |
| Aime Roquesante Cotes de Provence Rose 2021 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $3.73 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bandit Pinot Grigio white · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $1.73 $5.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Barnard Griffin Sauvignon Blanc Columbia Valley 2021 white · Washington · 750 ml | $3.93 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Rauzan Segla Margaux 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $170 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Clos Regain La Cote de Brumes Petit Manseng Jurancon Sec 2023 red · 750 ml | $14.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
2,551–2,600 of 9,968← PreviousNext →