Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pendulum Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2019 red · Washington · 750 ml | $4.73 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Valenzano Red White and Blueberry Sangria white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 12% typically +11% if it rises |
| Angeline Vineyards Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 $14.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 7.1% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Bogle Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.73 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Browne Family Vineyards Forest Project Paso Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.19 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Courtyard Winery Twisted Red red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.59 $16.59 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 3.8% | Fairly priced | 10% typically +8% if it rises |
| Domaine de la Chanteleuserie Cuvee Alouettes Cabernet Franc Bourgueil 2020 red · Loire · 750 ml | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Fabien Jouves Haute Cote de Fruit Malbec Cahors 2020 red · 750 ml | $16.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Jasci Montepulciano d'Abruzzo Biologico 2019 red · Abruzzo · 750 ml | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Nine Hats Riesling Columbia Valley 2020 white · Washington · 750 ml | $3.93 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| St Huberts Cabernet Sauvignon The Stag Paso Robles red · Paso Robles · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.79 $20.79 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Willm Gewurztraminer Alsace Reserve 2020 white · Alsace · 750 ml | $9.53 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Atilia Montepulciano d'Abruzzo 2018 red · Abruzzo · 1000 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Clos de los Siete by Michel Rolland Red Blend Uco Valley 2019 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $11.73 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Les Grands Bois Maximilien Cairanne Rouge 2018 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $6.53 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Gallo Livingston Cellars Chablis Blanc white · Burgundy · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.33 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 28.6% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Groth Sauvignon Blanc Napa Valley 2020 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Joel Gott Pinot Noir Santa Barbara County red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.03 $20.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 5.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Moments del Montsant 2019 red · Priorat · 750 ml | $5.63 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Stoller Family Estate Pinot Noir Rose Willamette Valley 2023 rosé · Oregon · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sweet Cheeks Winery and Vineyard Vintage Riesling Willamette Valley 2021 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $10.79 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Xumek Syrah Valle de Zonda 2019 red · 750 ml | $3.93 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Artezin Zinfandel Mendocino County 2019 red · 750 ml | $5.93 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Blalock & Moore Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2023 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $3.93 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Butterfly Fields Sauvignon Blanc 2024 white · 750 ml | $11.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Cavit Collection Prosecco sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +7% if it rises |
| Domaine Vigneau Chevreau Cuvee Silex Vouvray Sec 2023 red · Loire · 750 ml | $13.19 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dr Thanisch Bernkasteler Riesling Feinherb Mosel Kabinett 2020 white · Mosel · 750 ml | $6.93 $20.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Little Cricket Gruner Veltliner Pannon 2024 white · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Lomond Sauvignon Blanc Cape Agulhas 2022 white · 750 ml | $8.43 $10.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Serre Romani En Embuscade Mourvedre Cotes Catalanes 2022 red · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| St Francis Cabernet Sauvignon Sonoma County 2022 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $22.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Vignobles La Baume Picpoul de Pinet 2024 red · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $11.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Vinoterra Kisi Kakhetian Dry Orange Wine Georgia 2020 red · 750 ml | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Wilhelm Walch Prendo Chardonnay Vignetti delle Dolomiti 2023 white · Trentino-Alto Adige · 750 ml | $8.39 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ballard Road Pinot Gris Oregon white · Oregon · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.23 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 9.1% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Dark Horse Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | ▲ 8.3% | ▲ 30.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Domaine de la Chezatte Sancerre Blanc 2025 white · Loire · 750 ml | $24.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Folonari Pinot Grigio white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.63 $13.49 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 35.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Gd Vajra Barbera d' Alba 2022 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $11.73 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hentley Farm Villain and Vixen GSM Red Blend Barossa Valley 2021 red · Barossa · 750 ml | $7.23 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Perusini Cabernet Franc Colli Orientali del Friuli 2018 red · Friuli · 750 ml | $12.53 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Pomum Cellars Red Blend Yakima Valley 2020 red · Washington · 750 ml | $11.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Vietti Cascinetta Vietti Moscato d'Asti 2023 sparkling · Piedmont · 750 ml | $8.99 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Vina Encina Tinto Elvi red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.73 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Alki Cabernet Sauvignon Wahluke Slope 2018 red · Washington · 750 ml | $5.73 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Astrolabe Pinot Gris Marlborough 2019 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $5.73 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Barnard Griffin Chardonnay Columbia Valley 2022 white · Washington · 750 ml | $8.39 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Borealis Vintners Pinot Gris white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 11% typically +6% if it rises |
| Concha y Toro Casillero del Diablo Cabernet Sauvignon red · Rueda / Toro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 $10.99 Sale | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
2,551–2,600 of 6,416← PreviousNext →