Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Domaine Gueguen Chablis 2020 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Paul Doucet et Fils Sancerre Blanc 2025 white · Loire · 750 ml | $27.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Willems Willems Riesling Feinherb Auf de Lauer 2022 white · 750 ml | $16.79 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Kevin White Winery La Fraternite Red Blend Yakima Valley 2020 white · Washington · 750 ml | $10.23 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 30% premium | <1% |
| Webb Winery William White Blend white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.63 $17.69 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 4.1% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Chappellet Grower Collection Chardonnay Calesa Vineyard Petaluma Gap 2022 white · 750 ml | $19.93 $61.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 30% premium | <1% |
| Ecco Domani 90 Calories Pinot Grigio white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 11% typically +6% if it rises |
| Robert Mondavi Private Selection Chardonnay white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Domaine Vacheron Sancerre Blanc 2019 white · Loire · 750 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Feind Aliga Balatonfured Csopak Hungary White Blend 2024 white · 750 ml | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Joh Jos Prum Riesling Auslese Graacher Himmelreich 2023 white · 750 ml | $86.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Ram's Gate Chardonnay Sonoma Coast 2019 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $12.93 $45.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Routestock Sauvignon Blanc Napa Valley white · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.43 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 31% premium | <1% |
| William Fevre Fourchaume Chablis 1er Cru 2020 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $87.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Giesen Estate Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2023 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $15.99 | ▲ 23.1% | — | 31% premium | 3% |
| Orchard Lane Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2023 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $10.93 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Thistle and Weed Duwweltjie Chenin Blanc Paarl 2019 white · Western Cape · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Folonari Pinot Grigio white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.49 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 19.1% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Simi Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 18.8% | 31% premium | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Whitehall Lane Sauvignon Blanc Rutherford 2022 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $9.53 $31.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 31% premium | <1% |
| Forjas del Salnes Leirana Albarino Rias Baixas 2024 white · Rias Baixas · 750 ml | $19.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Black Cottage Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2023 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $12.03 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine William Fevre Les Preuses Chablis Grand Cru 2020 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $90.03 $180 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 31% premium | <1% |
| Wairau River Pinot Gris Marlborough white · Marlborough · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 $21.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | 31% premium | 10% typically +5% if it rises |
| Bledsoe McDaniels Chenin Blanc Willamette Valley Oregon 2024 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $32.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cantina Zaccagnini Il Bianco di Ciccio Abruzzo white · Abruzzo · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.34 $18.69 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 24.7% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Philippe Le Hardi Chardonnay Bourgogne Vieilles Vignes 2022 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $7.93 $28.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine de Vauroux Chablis Bougros Grand Cru 2018 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $24.73 $84.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 31% premium | <1% |
| Urban Riesling Mosel 2020 white · Mosel · 750 ml | $15.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Matchbook The Arsonist Chardonnay Dunnigan Hills 2018 white · 750 ml | $5.73 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Alphonse Dolly Cuvee Silex Sancerre Blanc 2023 white · Loire · 750 ml | $22.19 $36.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lothian of Elgin Chardonnay 2021 white · 750 ml | $17.99 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Rutherford Hill AJT Sauvignon Blanc 2022 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $17.99 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Crossbarn Chardonnay Sonoma Coast 2022 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $17.99 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Jaffurs Wine Cellars Viognier Santa Barbara County 2023 white · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $19.79 $32.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 32% premium | <1% |
| Marcel Couturier Pouilly Loche 2018 white · 750 ml | $7.93 $28.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Stony Run Winery Viognier Lehigh Valley white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.79 | 0.0% | ▲ 32.0% | 32% premium | 9% typically +9% if it rises |
| Blue Nun Riesling white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 $12.99 Sale | ▲ 25.0% | ▲ 30.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Cakebread Cellars Sauvignon Blanc North Coast 2022 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $9.93 $32.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Fess Parker Ashley Chardonnay Santa Rita Hills 2023 white · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $37.99 $42.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Silverado Vineyards Chardonnay Los Carneros 2021 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $12.93 $42.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 33% premium | <1% |
| De Wetshof Limestone Hill Chardonnay Robertson 2022 white · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bottega Vinaia Pinot Grigio Trentino white · Trentino-Alto Adige · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 $19.99 Sale | ▲ 11.1% | ▲ 17.7% | 33% premium | 2% |
| Muralhas Vinho Verde 2022 white · Vinho Verde · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Nautilus Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2022 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $5.93 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bodegas Vatan Nisia Old Vine Verdejo Rueda 2024 white · Rueda / Toro · 750 ml | $17.99 | — | — | 33% premium | <1% |
| Tendril Cellars Childs Play Chardonnay Willamette Valley 2021 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $7.93 $28.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 33% premium | <1% |
| Trimbach Reserve Muscat Alsace 2021 white · Alsace · 750 ml | $16.79 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 33% premium | <1% |
| Aveleda Loureiro Vinho Verde 2021 white · Vinho Verde · 750 ml | $4.93 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine FL La Fremine Chenin Blanc Savennieres 2019 white · Loire · 750 ml | $10.23 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
2,551–2,600 of 2,882← PreviousNext →