Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Black Box Pinot Noir red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | ▲ 4.2% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Black Box Vibrant and Velvety Red Blend red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | ▲ 4.2% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +4% if it rises |
| Bodega La Flor Pulenta Wines Malbec Mendoza 2020 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $3.93 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bodegas Xalo Mistela Giro Alicante 2023 red · 750 ml | $8.99 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Kirwan Margaux 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $69.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Concha y Toro Frontera Cabernet Sauvignon red · Rueda / Toro · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | ▲ 8.3% | ▲ 18.2% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Domaine Forca Real Schistes Cotes du Roussillon Villages 2018 red · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| George Vigouroux Gouleyant Cahors 2020 red · 750 ml | $3.93 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| H3 Merlot Horse Heaven Hills red · Washington · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.99 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| La Spinona Langhe Nebbiolo 2023 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $22.99 $24.99 Sale | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Les Freres Bastards Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 $15.99 Sale | ▲ 2.6% | ▲ 33.4% | Fairly priced | 21% typically +6% if it rises |
| Louis Jadot Domaine Gagey Le Chapitre Marsannay Rouge 2019 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $46.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Meiomi Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 $19.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▼ 16.7% | Fairly priced | 21% typically +5% if it rises |
| Ryder Estate Pinot Noir Cental Coast red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.99 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 16.7% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Terra Noble Carmenere Maule Valley Gran Reserva 2019 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $10.23 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Three Rivers Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2019 red · Washington · 750 ml | $15.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Artevani Kindzmarauli Pitcher Ceramic 2020 red · 750 ml | $23.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau La Louviere Pessac Leognan Rouge 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $12.93 $42.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cloudy Bay Pinot Noir Marlborough 2020 red · Marlborough · 750 ml | $20.03 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| House of the Dragon Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.73 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Jeunesse Cabernet Sauvignon Semi Sweet red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Quail Oak Red Blend California red · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.22 | — | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +13% if it rises |
| Rombauer Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $25.93 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Terre Stregate Manent Aglianico Sannio 2018 red · 750 ml | $4.73 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Beringer Bros Bourbon Barrel Aged Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.69 | 0.0% | ▲ 3.9% | Fairly priced | 27% typically +4% if it rises |
| Bruna Grimaldi Barolo Camilla 2017 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $44.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Carol Shelton Wild Thing Old Vine Zinfandel Mendocino County 2018 red · 750 ml | $14.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cayuse Vineyards Syrah Cailloux Vineyard Walla Walla Valley 2017 red · Washington · 750 ml | $44.73 $150 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Picque Caillou Pessac Leognan Rouge 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cupcake Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon Central Coast red · Central Coast · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | ▼ 7.1% | ▲ 8.3% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Pirapu Red Blend Jumilla 2019 red · 750 ml | $9.73 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Portillo Cabernet Sauvignon Uco Valley 2023 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Portlandia Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2020 red · Washington · 750 ml | $4.93 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Solena Estate Grand Cuvee Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2019 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $13.53 $26.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Stephane Usseglio Charles 1er Lirac 2022 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $17.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tres Buhis Nocturna Red Yecla 2021 red · 750 ml | $5.73 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Albino Rocca Barbaresco Montersino 2021 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $32.99 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Bota Box Merlot red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | ▲ 4.2% | ▲ 8.7% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Dobbes Grand Assemblage Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2019 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Juniata Valley Winery Cat's Eye Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.59 | 0.0% | ▲ 3.8% | Fairly priced | 26% typically +6% if it rises |
| Kir Yianni Xinomavro Cuvee Village Naoussa 2018 red · 750 ml | $14.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Latour Giraud Cuvee Carmen Pommard 2019 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $38.53 $75.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Recanati Yasmin Red Upper Galilee 2020 red · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sean Minor Pinot Noir California 2020 red · California Central Valley · 750 ml | $8.73 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Treana Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles 2019 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Guy Amiot et Fils Les Caillerets Chassagne Montrachet 1er Cru 2020 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $115 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Estacion Yumbel Pipeno Pais Bio Bio Valley 2020 red · 750 ml | $5.63 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Frederic Esmonin Les Genevrieres Pinot Noir Bourgogne Rouge 2023 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $19.99 $22.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Koyle Cuvee Los Lingues Cabernet Sauvignon Colchagua Andres 2020 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $4.93 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Mollydooker The Boxer Shiraz South Australia 2019 red · South Australia · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
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