Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fetzer Cabernet Sauvignon Valley Oaks red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.33 $10.39 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 4.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Gundlach Bundschu Pinot Noir Petaluma Gap 2021 red · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| J Wilkes Pinot Noir Santa Maria Valley 2018 red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Joh Jos Prum Riesling Graacher Himmelreich Mosel Auslese 2020 white · Mosel · 750 ml | $34.53 $65.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Mystic Andes Cabernet Sauvignon Gran Reserva Maipo Valley 2021 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $12.99 $13.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Penfolds Bin 28 Kalimna Shiraz South Australia 2018 red · South Australia · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Quinta do Regueiro Vinho Verde 2021 white · Vinho Verde · 750 ml | $3.93 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Bully Hill Vineyards Banty Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.89 | 0.0% | ▲ 14.8% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Gillmore Mariposa Red Blend Chile 2020 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $8.13 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lachini Vineyards Lachini Family Estate Pinot Noir Chehalem Mountains 2018 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Le Marquis de Calon Segur Saint Estephe 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $47.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sandeman Porto Founders Reserve dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $29.99 | ▲ 11.1% | ▲ 36.4% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +7% if it rises |
| Scotto Family Cellars Reserve Zinfandel Mohr Fry Ranch Lodi 2019 red · Lodi · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Underwood Pinot Noir Oregon 2021 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $3.93 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cape Original Cabernet Sauvignon Western Cape 2022 red · Western Cape · 750 ml | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaines Barons de Rothschild Lafite Los Vascos Rose Colchagua Valley Estate 2021 rosé · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $3.73 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Educated Guess Pinot Noir Sonoma Coast 2021 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $6.93 $22.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Franklin Hill Vineyards Sir Walter's Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Punset Barbera d'Alba 2022 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Riunite Lambrusco Rose sparkling · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.13 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 16.7% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Barefoot Fruitscato Pineapple Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.99 $8.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +10% if it rises |
| Bernardus Chardonnay Monterey County 2020 white · Monterey · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bethel Heights Estate Pinot Noir Eola Amity Hills 2022 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chasing Rain Red Mountain Red Blend 2019 red · Washington · 750 ml | $11.99 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Chauveau Les Croqloups Pouilly Fume 2022 white · Loire · 750 ml | $22.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaines Ott By Ott Cotes de Provence Rose 2024 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $26.99 $29.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dunham Cellars Trutina Red Blend Columbia Valley 2021 red · Washington · 750 ml | $21.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Girasole Vineyards Pinot Blanc Mendocino County 2021 white · 750 ml | $4.23 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Mazza Vineyards Country Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 22.2% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Noble Vines 181 Merlot Lodi red · Lodi · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.49 | ▲ 3.8% | ▲ 3.8% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Plumpjack Estate Merlot Oakville 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $23.93 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sawmill Creek Vidal Blanc Ice Wine Canada 2018 dessert · 375 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Yori Wine Cellars Beach Glass Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.13 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Charles Smith Wines of Substance Vineyard Collection Powerline Cabernet Sauvignon Walla Walla Valley 2017 red · Washington · 750 ml | $11.73 $41.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Phelan Segur Saint Estephe 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $59.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Chauveau Les Croqloups Pouilly Fume 2021 white · Loire · 750 ml | $22.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine de la Chezatte Sauvignon Blanc Coteaux du Giennois 2024 white · 750 ml | $16.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Easton Pinot Noir Duarte Georgetown Vineyard Sierra Foothills 2013 red · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Feudi di San Gregorio Primitivo di Manduria 2017 red · Puglia · 750 ml | $15.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Mercer Bros Chardonnay Horse Heaven Hills 2019 white · Washington · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Southern Right Pinotage Hemel en Aarde Valley 2020 red · 750 ml | $32.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tenuta Regaleali Bianco Sicilia 2022 white · Sicily · 750 ml | $8.99 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bellemare Picpoul de Pinet 2023 red · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $5.73 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Larrivet Haut Brion Pessac Leognan Rouge 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $16.43 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Montelena Estate Cabernet Sauvignon Calistoga Napa Valley 2017 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $102 $170 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Dominique et Janine Crochet Sancerre Rose 2021 rosé · Loire · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine du Vieux Telegraphe Telegramme Chateauneuf du Pape Rouge 2022 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $59.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Handley Cellars Syrah Kazmet Vineyard Redwood Valley 2017 red · 750 ml | $6.93 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Jean Luc Colombo Les Girelles Picpoul de Pinet 2024 red · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $14.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Kysela Pere et Fils HB Picpoul de Pinet 2020 red · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $6.53 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
2,501–2,550 of 9,968← PreviousNext →