Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Airfield Estates Founders H Lloyd Miller Bordeaux Blend 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $13.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 163% premium | <1% |
| Bodegas Roda Rioja Reserva Roda 2021 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $57.99 | 0.0% | — | 163% premium | 1% |
| Casamigos Blanco with 2 Ceramic Tumblers Gift Set white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $49.99 | 0.0% | — | 164% premium | 9% typically +5% if it rises |
| Renwood Reserve Grandpere Zinfandel Amador County 2019 red · 750 ml | $25.03 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 164% premium | <1% |
| My Favorite Neighbor Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles 2021 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $32.99 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 166% premium | 1% |
| Rozes 20 Years Old Port dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $59.99 | 0.0% | — | 168% premium | 6% typically +7% if it rises |
| Warwick Estate Red Blend Stellenbosch Reserve 2018 red · Western Cape · 750 ml | $33.53 $64.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 169% premium | <1% |
| Quinta do Vallado Douro Red Reserva 2018 red · Douro · 750 ml | $19.93 $64.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 175% premium | <1% |
| Digby Leander Pink Brut Rose English Sparkling Wine sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $54.99 $59.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | 177% premium | 14% typically +6% if it rises |
| Chateau Lafaurie Peyraguey Sauternes 2022 dessert · Bordeaux · 375 ml | $62.99 | 0.0% | — | 177% premium | 1% |
| Radikon RS Rosso Friuli 2022 red · Friuli · 750 ml | $54.99 | 0.0% | — | 178% premium | 1% |
| Terra Olympus Terra Petra Rapsani Central Greece Red 2020 red · 750 ml | $34.99 | — | — | 184% premium | 1% |
| Chateau Musar Gaston Hochar Bekaa Valley Lebanon Rouge 2018 red · 750 ml | $74.99 | 0.0% | — | 190% premium | 1% |
| Chateau Fleur Cardinale Saint Emilion 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $33.53 $64.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 202% premium | <1% |
| Goretti Sagrantino di Montefalco 2019 red · 750 ml | $29.99 $59.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | 205% premium | <1% |
| DAOU Seventeen Forty Red Blend Reserve Paso Robles 2021 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $69.99 $74.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | 205% premium | 1% |
| Petit Castel Judean Hills Israel Red 2023 red · 750 ml | $49.99 | — | — | 214% premium | 1% |
| Alexander Valley Vineyards Cyrus 2021 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $64.99 | — | — | 215% premium | 1% |
| Radikon Sivi Pinot Grigio Friuli Orange Wine 2022 white · Friuli · 750 ml | $32.99 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 229% premium | <1% |
| Avennia Sestina Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2018 red · Washington · 750 ml | $22.43 $74.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 242% premium | <1% |
| Damien Laureau Les Genets Savennieres 2021 red · Loire · 750 ml | $69.99 | — | — | 245% premium | 1% |
| Gomez Cruzado Pancrudo Garnacha Rioja 2017 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $34.53 $65.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 269% premium | <1% |
| Bodegas Caro Caro Mendoza 2021 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $74.99 | 0.0% | — | 305% premium | 1% |
| Klipsun Red Blend red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $42.74 $56.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 339% premium | 4% |
| Le Dix de Los Vascos Colchagua Valley 2021 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $74.99 | 0.0% | — | 371% premium | 1% |
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