Cellar Index
Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today

Wine prices, tracked and forecast

Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.

How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Popular winesMost likely to riseCollector watchBest valuesAll wines

Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.

WineShelf price1yr History5yr Historyvs fair priceChance of a rise within a year
Airfield Estates Founders H Lloyd Miller Bordeaux Blend 2019
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$13.93 $49.99 Clearance 0.0%—163% premium<1%
Bodegas Roda Rioja Reserva Roda 2021
red · Rioja · 750 ml
$57.99 0.0%—163% premium1%
Casamigos Blanco with 2 Ceramic Tumblers Gift Set
white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$49.99 0.0%—164% premium9%
typically +5% if it rises
Renwood Reserve Grandpere Zinfandel Amador County 2019
red · 750 ml
$25.03 $49.99 Clearance 0.0%—164% premium<1%
My Favorite Neighbor Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles 2021
red · Paso Robles · 750 ml
$32.99 $54.99 Clearance 0.0%—166% premium1%
Rozes 20 Years Old Port
dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$59.99 0.0%—168% premium6%
typically +7% if it rises
Warwick Estate Red Blend Stellenbosch Reserve 2018
red · Western Cape · 750 ml
$33.53 $64.99 Clearance 0.0%—169% premium<1%
Quinta do Vallado Douro Red Reserva 2018
red · Douro · 750 ml
$19.93 $64.99 Clearance 0.0%—175% premium<1%
Digby Leander Pink Brut Rose English Sparkling Wine
sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$54.99 $59.99 Sale 0.0%—177% premium14%
typically +6% if it rises
Chateau Lafaurie Peyraguey Sauternes 2022
dessert · Bordeaux · 375 ml
$62.99 0.0%—177% premium1%
Radikon RS Rosso Friuli 2022
red · Friuli · 750 ml
$54.99 0.0%—178% premium1%
Terra Olympus Terra Petra Rapsani Central Greece Red 2020
red · 750 ml
$34.99——184% premium1%
Chateau Musar Gaston Hochar Bekaa Valley Lebanon Rouge 2018
red · 750 ml
$74.99 0.0%—190% premium1%
Chateau Fleur Cardinale Saint Emilion 2020
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$33.53 $64.99 Clearance 0.0%—202% premium<1%
Goretti Sagrantino di Montefalco 2019
red · 750 ml
$29.99 $59.99 Sale 0.0%—205% premium<1%
DAOU Seventeen Forty Red Blend Reserve Paso Robles 2021
red · Paso Robles · 750 ml
$69.99 $74.99 Sale 0.0%—205% premium1%
Petit Castel Judean Hills Israel Red 2023
red · 750 ml
$49.99——214% premium1%
Alexander Valley Vineyards Cyrus 2021
red · Sonoma · 750 ml
$64.99——215% premium1%
Radikon Sivi Pinot Grigio Friuli Orange Wine 2022
white · Friuli · 750 ml
$32.99 $54.99 Clearance 0.0%—229% premium<1%
Avennia Sestina Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2018
red · Washington · 750 ml
$22.43 $74.99 Clearance 0.0%—242% premium<1%
Damien Laureau Les Genets Savennieres 2021
red · Loire · 750 ml
$69.99——245% premium1%
Gomez Cruzado Pancrudo Garnacha Rioja 2017
red · Rioja · 750 ml
$34.53 $65.99 Clearance 0.0%—269% premium<1%
Bodegas Caro Caro Mendoza 2021
red · Mendoza · 750 ml
$74.99 0.0%—305% premium1%
Klipsun Red Blend
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$42.74 $56.99 Clearance 0.0%—339% premium4%
Le Dix de Los Vascos Colchagua Valley 2021
red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml
$74.99 0.0%—371% premium1%
2,501–2,525 of 2,525← Previous