Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Domaine Bousquet Natural Origins Rose Mendoza Box 2021 rosé · Mendoza · 3000 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Pelaquie Cotes du Rhone Rouge 2022 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $7.79 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Escudo Rojo Cabernet Sauvignon Gran Reserva Maipo Valley 2022 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $5.93 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hermann Moser Love Over Money Green Eyes Gruner Veltliner 2024 white · 1000 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Liberty Creek Cabernet Sauvignon 2x1.5 L Multipack red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Moletto Prosecco sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 $16.99 Sale | ▲ 6.3% | ▲ 21.4% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Vina Tarapaca Carmenere Maipo Grand Reserva 2019 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $13.43 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Yellow Tail Buttery Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.99 $7.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +9% if it rises |
| Box Wize Sauvignon Blanc white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.49 | ▲ 4.5% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +5% if it rises |
| Chateau Roubine Hippy Mevushal Rose Cru Classe IGP Mediterranee 2023 rosé · 750 ml | $4.93 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Clos Pegase Mitsuko's Vineyard Sauvignon Blanc Carneros 2020 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $5.63 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Commanderie de la Bargemone Coteaux d'Aix en Provence Blanc 2022 white · Provence · 750 ml | $9.03 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Concha y Toro Casillero del Diablo Malbec red · Rueda / Toro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 $10.99 Sale | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Domaine des Aubuisieres Brut Vouvray sparkling · Loire · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 $22.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +5% if it rises |
| Dr Konstantin Frank Semi Dry Riesling Finger Lakes 2021 white · Finger Lakes · 750 ml | $4.73 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Gagliardo Fallegro Favorita Langhe 2021 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Jasper James Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles 2023 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $15.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Lornano Chianti Classico red · Tuscany · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +7% if it rises |
| Raptor Ridge Barrel Select Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2019 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $12.53 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Three Thieves Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.29 | 0.0% | ▲ 3.8% | Fairly priced | 9% typically +12% if it rises |
| Airfield Estates Bombshell Red Blend 2020 red · 750 ml | $5.93 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bodega Benegas Estate Malbec Mendoza 2022 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bodega Garzon Cabernet Franc Uruguay Reserva 2019 red · 750 ml | $11.23 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Riviere Lacoste Graves Blanc 2023 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $16.99 $17.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau du Bousquet Cotes de Bourg 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $12.73 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Clover Hill Vineyards and Winery Riesling Lehigh Valley white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.49 | 0.0% | ▲ 11.5% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Franklin Hill Vineyards Katie's Creek White white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.0% | Fairly priced | 25% typically +4% if it rises |
| Hazlitt 1852 Vineyards Riesling Finger Lakes white · Finger Lakes · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 $13.99 Sale | ▲ 7.7% | ▲ 12.0% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Josh Cellar Reserve Buttery Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.79 $20.79 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +5% if it rises |
| Sutter Home Merlot red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.13 $8.49 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 6.3% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| XXL Moscato Spain white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +9% if it rises |
| Andre California Champagne Extra Dry sparkling · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 25.0% | Fairly priced | 13% typically +11% if it rises |
| Bar Dog Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.29 $14.59 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chatelain Desjacques Sauvignon Blanc Vin de France 2024 white · 750 ml | $10.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chloe Pinot Noir Monterey County red · Monterey · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 | ▼ 3.6% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Clay Shannon El Coyote Chardonnay Lake County 2023 white · 750 ml | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cooper Mountain Vineyards Pinot Gris Willamette Valley 2022 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $5.93 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Southern Right Sauvignon Blanc Cape Coast 2022 white · 750 ml | $5.93 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tenuta Tascante Ghiaia Nera Etna Rosso 2018 red · Sicily · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Amisfield Sauvignon Blanc Central Otago 2022 white · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Arona Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough white · Marlborough · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.29 $12.58 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Barnard Griffin Syrah Port Columbia Valley 2019 dessert · Washington · 500 ml | $8.53 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Biokult Naken Burgenland 2020 red · 750 ml | $9.03 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Clover Hill Holiday Rose Wine rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.09 $13.49 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Dalton Estate Unoaked Chardonnay Galilee 2021 white · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dominique Crochet Sancerre Blanc 2024 white · Loire · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Firriato Chiaramonte Inzolia Terre Siciliane 2021 red · Sicily · 750 ml | $2.53 $10.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Gnarly Head 1924 Limited Edition Double Black Red Blend Lodi red · Lodi · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.23 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hazlitt 1852 Vineyards White Cat Finger Lakes white · Finger Lakes · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 $11.99 Sale | ▲ 9.1% | ▲ 33.4% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Lavico Etna Rosso 2021 red · Sicily · 750 ml | $14.99 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
2,501–2,550 of 6,416← PreviousNext →