Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Te Mata Sauvignon Blanc Hawke's Bay 2023 white · Hawke's Bay · 750 ml | $14.99 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 26% premium | <1% |
| Vina Leyda Garuma Single Vineyard Sauvignon Blanc Leyda Valley 2023 white · 750 ml | $10.79 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Leese Fitch Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.79 $15.59 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 11.4% | 27% premium | 1% |
| Aslina Sauvignon Blanc Stellenbosch 2023 white · Western Cape · 750 ml | $5.93 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 27% premium | <1% |
| The Calling Chardonnay Searby Vineyard Russian River Valley 2020 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $16.23 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Solena Estate Pinot Gris Willamette Valley 2020 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Joh Jos Prum Riesling Kabinett Wehlener Sonnenuhr 2022 white · 750 ml | $18.93 $67.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sleight of Hand Cellars Enchantress Chardonnay Yakima Valley 2024 white · Washington · 750 ml | $29.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Dr Loosen Graacher Domprobst Riesling GG 2021 white · 750 ml | $51.99 $53.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Martin Codax Albarino white · Rias Baixas · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.99 | ▲ 5.6% | ▲ 18.8% | 27% premium | 4% |
| Hamilton Russell Vineyards Chardonnay Hemel en Aarde Valley 2021 white · 750 ml | $23.53 $45.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bistro Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +6% if it rises |
| Gerard and Pierre Morin Bellechaume Sancerre Rouge 2018 white · Loire · 750 ml | $36.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Ava Grace Pinot Grigio California white · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.24 $12.49 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 25.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau La Rame Bordeaux Blanc 2020 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $10.03 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Donnafugata Anthilia Sicilia Bianco 2023 white · Sicily · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | 28% premium | <1% |
| Frog's Leap Chardonnay Shale and Stone Napa Valley 2019 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $19.03 $37.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| La Val Albarino Rias Biaxas 2022 white · Rias Baixas · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Quinta da Fonte Souto White Alentejo 2022 white · 750 ml | $27.99 $29.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Inama Vin Soave Soave Classico 2024 white · Veneto · 750 ml | $17.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| La Follette Lorenzo Vineyard Chardonnay Russian River Valley 2018 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $14.73 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Leonard Kreusch Gewurztraminer white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 7.1% | 28% premium | 4% |
| Drylands Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2023 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $4.93 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Le Petit Smith Haut Lafitte Blanc 2021 white · 750 ml | $16.93 $56.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Frog's Leap Chardonnay Shale and Stone Napa Valley 2023 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $39.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Paco and Lola Celebration Albarino Rias Baixas 2023 white · Rias Baixas · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cakebread Cellars Chardonnay Napa Valley Reserve 2022 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $69.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine de Bel Air Pouilly Fume 2025 white · Loire · 750 ml | $27.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Francois Lecomte Pouilly Fuisse 2023 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $34.99 $36.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Tania and Vincent Careme Spring Chenin Blanc Vouvray 2020 white · Loire · 750 ml | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Drylands Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2024 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $16.99 $18.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Guerrin Pouilly Fuisse Vieilles Vignes 2023 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Gemma di Luna Pinot Grigio white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 | ▲ 18.5% | ▲ 23.1% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +5% if it rises |
| La Val Albarino Rias Biaxas 2023 white · Rias Baixas · 750 ml | $17.99 $19.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau de Chantegrive Cuvee Caroline Graves Blanc 2020 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $8.23 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cliff Lede Sauvignon Blanc Napa Valley 2021 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $31.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Laporte Le Rochoy Sancerre Blanc 2019 white · Loire · 750 ml | $42.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Joh Jos Prum Riesling Kabinett Bernkasteler Badstube 2022 white · 750 ml | $17.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Louis Jadot Santenay Clos de Malte Blanc 2020 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $27.53 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Flowers Chardonnay Sonoma Coast 2020 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $22.53 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Fox Run Vineyards Silvan Riesling 2019 white · 750 ml | $5.73 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Carl Reh Riesling Mosel white · Mosel · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.84 $19.79 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 23.8% | 29% premium | 3% |
| Chateau de la Greffiere Chardonnay Macon Milly Lamartine 2021 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | 29% premium | <1% |
| Porta 6 Vinho Branco Lisboa Box white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.03 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Gamble Family Vineyards Sauvignon Blanc Yountville 2020 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $17.53 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Granza Ecologico Verdejo Rueda 2022 white · Rueda / Toro · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Starborough Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough white · Marlborough · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 | ▲ 6.3% | ▲ 13.3% | 30% premium | 3% |
| Dominio de la Granadilla Verdejo 9 Meses Rueda 2020 white · Rueda / Toro · 750 ml | $5.13 $19.39 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 30% premium | <1% |
| Ferrari Carano Chardonnay Sonoma County white · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.09 $29.09 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 3.9% | 30% premium | 4% |
| GoGi Goldie Chardonnay Santa Rita Hills 2018 white · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $13.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
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