Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Le Mesnil Blanc de Blancs Grand Cru Champagne Brut sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.93 $45.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 15.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Meyney Saint Estephe 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $49.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Beaulieu Vineyard Rutherford Reserve Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $45.03 $74.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Fonplegade Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $18.93 $60.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Jordan Chardonnay Russian River Valley 2021 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Fontanabianca Barbaresco 2019 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $20.03 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Trefethen Estate Grown Chardonnay Oak Knoll District of Napa Valley 2021 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Grand Puy Ducasse Pauillac 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $17.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sea Slopes Pinot Noir Fort Ross Sonoma Coast 2019 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Blason d'Issan Margaux 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $47.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Barde Haut Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $56.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Domaine Les Escondudes Chateauneuf du Pape Rouge 2019 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $23.99 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cakebread Family Bezel Pinot Noir 2024 red · 750 ml | $26.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Mazeyres Pomerol 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $14.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Fullerton Five FACES Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2016 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $14.03 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Pommery Brut Royal Champagne sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $37.43 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Renato Ratti Marcenasco Barolo 2017 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $54.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Durieu Lucile Avril Chateauneuf du Pape 2022 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $39.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Blue Rock Vineyard Baby Blue Red Blend Sonoma County 2019 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Produttori del Barbaresco Barbaresco 2020 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $15.83 $52.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Jeannin Naltet Clos des Grands Voyens Monopole Mercurey 1er Cru 2022 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $29.99 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine des Senechaux Chateauneuf du Pape Blanc 2020 white · Rhone · 750 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine du Pegau Chateauneuf du Pape Cuvee Reservee Rouge 2021 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $22.43 $74.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Graham's Tawny Porto 20 Year Old dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $66.99 $70.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +10% if it rises |
| Crossbarn by Paul Hobbs Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $41.23 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Langoa Barton Saint Julien 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $74.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine des Senechaux Chateauneuf du Pape Blanc 2021 white · Rhone · 750 ml | $23.73 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Produttori del Barbaresco Langhe Nebbiolo 2019 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| The Vice Howell Mountain Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $19.43 $64.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Poggio Landi Brunello di Montalcino Riserva 2016 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $49.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Siaurac Lalande de Pomerol 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $8.33 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Casanova di Neri Brunello di Montalcino 2016 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $69.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Fonplegade Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $65.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Beaulieu Vineyard BV Reserve Rutherford Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2020 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $22.43 $74.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Paul Autard Chateauneuf du Pape Rouge 2019 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $23.73 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Produttori del Barbaresco Langhe Nebbiolo 2020 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Beringer Q Red Napa Valley 2020 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $29.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Mirafiore Barolo 2018 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $35.73 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine du Clos des Poulettes En Beauregard Cote de Nuits Villages Blanc 2020 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hundred Suns Old Eight Cut Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2021 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Louis Jadot Domaine Gagey Aligote Bouzeron 2021 red · 750 ml | $22.79 $37.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Speri Sant Urbano Valpolicella Superiore Classico 2019 red · Veneto · 750 ml | $10.43 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Trefethen Estate Grown Chardonnay Oak Knoll District of Napa Valley 2020 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Anderson Family Vineyards Pinot Noir Dundee Hills 2019 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Bodega Catena Zapata Alta Historic Rows Chardonnay Mendoza 2019 white · Mendoza · 750 ml | $10.23 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Barde Haut Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $14.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Pavie Esprit de Pavie Bordeaux Rouge 2015 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $34.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| DAOU Vineyards and Winery Chardonnay Reserve Paso Robles Willow Creek District 2021 white · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $12.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Grand Puy Ducasse Pauillac 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $59.99 $64.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Emblem Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $34.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
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