Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Castello di Meleto Borgaio Vermentino Toscana 2023 white · Tuscany · 750 ml | $9.99 | — | — | 40% below | 1% |
| Pio Pinot Grigio white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.09 | 0.0% | — | 40% below | 8% typically +10% if it rises |
| Silver Totem Cabernet Sauvignon Wallula Vineyard Horse Heaven Hills 2018 red · Washington · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 40% below | <1% |
| Rozes Tawny Porto dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 | 0.0% | — | 39% below | 7% typically +6% if it rises |
| Duplin White Sangria white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $2.43 $8.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | 39% below | 1% |
| Mingle Cranberry Cosmo Sparkling Mocktail sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.39 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.4% | 39% below | 25% typically +5% if it rises |
| Revelry Vintners Rose Columbia Valley 2022 rosé · Washington · 750 ml | $3.93 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 39% below | <1% |
| Bodegas Engueras Pure Est Tempranillo 2021 red · 750 ml | $8.99 | 0.0% | — | 39% below | <1% |
| Guarachi Wine Partners Manadero Garnacha DO Carinena 2018 red · 750 ml | $3.73 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 39% below | <1% |
| Ken Wright Cellars Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2020 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $6.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 39% below | <1% |
| Roger Goulart Cava Brut Gran Reserva 2015 sparkling · Penedes (Cava) · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | 39% below | 1% |
| Vinedos Juegos Clasicos Escoba Malbec Mendoza Reserve red · Mendoza · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.89 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.2% | 39% below | 16% typically +10% if it rises |
| Evening Shade Chardonnay 2020 white · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 39% below | <1% |
| Lulu Chardonnay Washington 2021 white · Washington · 750 ml | $2.93 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 39% below | <1% |
| Vialoni Pinot Grigio delle Venezie 2023 white · Veneto · 750 ml | $1.93 $5.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 39% below | <1% |
| Liberty Creek Cabernet Sauvignon red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 10.0% | 39% below | 4% |
| Red Quartz Pinot Noir Casablanca Valley 2020 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 39% below | <1% |
| Walla Walla Vintners Sauvignon Blanc Columbia Valley 2022 white · Washington · 750 ml | $4.43 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 39% below | <1% |
| Il Poggio Guerriero Falanghina Beneventano 2021 red · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 39% below | <1% |
| Lindeman's Bin 65 Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.99 | ▼ 4.1% | 0.0% | 39% below | 7% typically +7% if it rises |
| Riunite Lambrusco sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 11.1% | 39% below | 12% typically +11% if it rises |
| Veuve Clicquot Champagne Demi Sec sparkling · Champagne · 375 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 39% below | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Buehler Vineyards Chardonnay Russian River Valley 2018 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | 38% below | <1% |
| Duplin Black River Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | 38% below | 6% typically +11% if it rises |
| Ken Wright Cellars Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2021 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $7.43 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 38% below | <1% |
| Il Poggio Guerriero Falanghina Beneventano 2020 red · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 38% below | <1% |
| Le Clos d'Augustin Pinot Noir Bourgogne 2019 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $9.03 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 38% below | <1% |
| Seghesio Family Vineyards Chardonnay Sonoma County Napa County 2020 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 38% below | <1% |
| Sfigato Pinot Grigio delle Venezie 2024 white · Veneto · 750 ml | $5.99 | — | — | 38% below | 1% |
| La Fiera Soave 2020 white · Veneto · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 38% below | <1% |
| Mediteo Mediterranee Rose 2023 rosé · 750 ml | $2.93 $8.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 38% below | <1% |
| Portlandia Rose Columbia Valley 2022 rosé · Washington · 750 ml | $2.93 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 38% below | <1% |
| La Fiera Soave 2021 white · Veneto · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 38% below | <1% |
| Courtyard Winery Twisted Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.39 $11.39 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 3.6% | 38% below | 5% |
| MoonTree Syrah Pays d'Oc 2020 red · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $8.99 | 0.0% | — | 38% below | <1% |
| Johnson Estate House Red Lake Erie red · Lake Erie · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 20.0% | 38% below | 4% |
| Dixie and Bass Cabernet Sauvignon Rose Horse Heaven Hills 2020 rosé · Washington · 750 ml | $2.93 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 37% below | <1% |
| Papi Cabernet Sauvignon Demi Sec Central Valley 2023 red · 750 ml | $6.99 | — | — | 37% below | 2% |
| 90 Plus Cellars Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2024 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $9.99 | — | — | 37% below | 1% |
| Annick Bachelet Morgon Les Charmes 2020 red · Beaujolais · 750 ml | $7.53 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 37% below | <1% |
| Bodega Piedra Negra Alta Coleccion Organic Pinot Gris Uco Valley 2022 white · Mendoza · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 37% below | <1% |
| Tenuta Meraviglia Bolgheri Vermentino 2023 white · Tuscany · 750 ml | $10.19 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 37% below | <1% |
| Boomtown by Dusted Valley Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2022 red · Washington · 750 ml | $11.99 | — | — | 37% below | <1% |
| Embroidery Chardonnay Monterey County 2024 white · Monterey · 750 ml | $9.99 | — | — | 37% below | 1% |
| Chateau du Pin Franc Bordeaux Blanc 2021 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $5.73 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 37% below | <1% |
| Parker Estate Cool Climate Cabernet Sauvignon Coonawarra 2021 red · South Australia · 750 ml | $15.99 | 0.0% | — | 37% below | 1% |
| Airfield Estates Cabernet Sauvignon Yakima Valley 2018 red · Washington · 750 ml | $17.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 37% below | <1% |
| Benigna's Traminette 2022 red · 750 ml | $8.99 | 0.0% | — | 37% below | <1% |
| Charles Krug Chardonnay Napa Valley white · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 25.0% | 37% below | 2% |
| Dixie and Bass Cabernet Sauvignon Rose Horse Heaven Hills 2019 rosé · Washington · 750 ml | $5.03 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 37% below | <1% |
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