Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J Vineyards Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 21% premium | 11% typically +9% if it rises |
| Papi Sauvignon Blanc Chile white · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 $9.99 Sale | ▲ 6.4% | — | Fairly priced | 11% typically +7% if it rises |
| Hand on Heart Alcohol Removed Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 11% typically +6% if it rises |
| Rodney Strong Red Blend Sonoma County red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 $22.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 11% typically +4% if it rises |
| Painted Fox Winery Modern Blush York County rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 11% typically +7% if it rises |
| Papi Sweet Red Demi Sec Central Valley red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.99 | — | — | 33% below | 10% typically +13% if it rises |
| The Crossings Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +5% if it rises |
| Borges Gatao Vinho Verde Blanco white · Vinho Verde · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 30.0% | 35% premium | 10% typically +8% if it rises |
| Carlos Serres Crianza Rioja red · Rioja · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +7% if it rises |
| Charles Roux Blanc de Blancs Brut sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.49 | 0.0% | ▲ 27.8% | Fairly priced | 10% typically +12% if it rises |
| Jaume Serra Cristalino Serra Cava Brut sparkling · Penedes (Cava) · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 8.3% | Fairly priced | 10% typically +6% if it rises |
| Sweet Bitch Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | ▲ 4.0% | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +6% if it rises |
| California Roots Cabernet Sauvignon red · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.69 | 0.0% | ▲ 3.1% | 4% below | 10% typically +11% if it rises |
| California Roots Red Blend red · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.69 | 0.0% | ▲ 3.1% | 5% below | 10% typically +11% if it rises |
| A to Z Wineworks Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +5% if it rises |
| Riff Pinot Grigio Delle Venezie white · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +8% if it rises |
| Francis Coppola Diamond Collection Shimmer Sauvignon Blanc and Pinot Grigio white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +7% if it rises |
| Markou Retsina Athens Greece White white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +7% if it rises |
| Painted Fox Winery Chardonnay York County white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +7% if it rises |
| Natura Organic Malbec red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 $12.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | 19% below | 10% typically +8% if it rises |
| Oko Cabernet Sauvignon Vin de France red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 $12.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +8% if it rises |
| Oko Pinot Noir Pays d'Oc red · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 $12.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +8% if it rises |
| Greenwing Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley red · Washington · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 $19.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +5% if it rises |
| Juggernaut Chardonnay Sonoma Coast white · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | 15% below | 10% typically +6% if it rises |
| J Vineyards Pinot Gris white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 10% typically +9% if it rises |
| Black Box Tart and Tangy Sauvignon Blanc white · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.99 $5.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +9% if it rises |
| Lustau Papirusa Manzanilla Jerez Xeres Sherry dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 $17.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +6% if it rises |
| Black Box Sauvignon Blanc white · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.99 $5.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | 30% below | 10% typically +9% if it rises |
| Lustau Los Arcos Amontillado Jerez Xeres Sherry dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 $17.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +6% if it rises |
| Rivarose Brut Rose France sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 10% typically +5% if it rises |
| Courtyard Winery Twisted Red red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.59 $16.59 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 3.8% | Fairly priced | 10% typically +8% if it rises |
| Famille Dubard Le Rose Coeur du Mont Vin de France Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +7% if it rises |
| Yori Wine Cellars Isabella Sweet Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +7% if it rises |
| Andre Brunel Cuvee Est Ouest Cotes Du Rhone Rouge red · Rhone · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 $17.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +6% if it rises |
| Cune Ribera del Duero Tinto red · Ribera del Duero · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 $17.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +6% if it rises |
| Kendall Jackson Vintner's Reserve Zinfandel red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 $17.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +6% if it rises |
| Starmont Sauvignon Blanc Lake County white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 $21.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | 52% premium | 10% typically +4% if it rises |
| Arundel Cellars Young Love White Niagara Lake Erie white · Lake Erie · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 8.3% | Fairly priced | 10% typically +5% if it rises |
| Villa des Anges Sauvignon Blanc Vin de France white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | — | — | 19% premium | 10% typically +8% if it rises |
| Our Daily Cab Organic Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +10% if it rises |
| Cocchi Americano Bianco white · 375 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +7% if it rises |
| Gekkeikan Zipang Sparkling sparkling · 250 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 | 0.0% | — | 43% below | 10% typically +10% if it rises |
| Freixenet Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 $15.99 Sale | ▲ 2.6% | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +6% if it rises |
| The Little Sheep of France Vin de France Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 $10.99 Sale | — | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +9% if it rises |
| Cupcake Vineyards Alcohol Removed Sauvignon Blanc Nonalcoholic white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +9% if it rises |
| XXL Moscato Spain white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +9% if it rises |
| Wairau River Pinot Gris Marlborough white · Marlborough · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 $21.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | 31% premium | 10% typically +5% if it rises |
| Yes Way Rose Bubbles Sparkling sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 | ▲ 13.3% | ▲ 13.3% | Fairly priced | 10% typically +4% if it rises |
| Happy Valley Vineyard and Winery Appalachia Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +6% if it rises |
| La Terre Chardonnay white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.29 | 0.0% | ▲ 7.0% | Fairly priced | 10% typically +11% if it rises |
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