Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Mondavi Private Selection Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | ▼ 7.7% | ▼ 7.7% | 12% below | 8% typically +6% if it rises |
| Cole Cellars Chardonnay California white · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.89 | 0.0% | — | 11% below | 7% typically +10% if it rises |
| Albert Besombes Les Anges Sauvignon Blanc Val de Loire 2020 white · Loire · 750 ml | $10.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 11% below | 1% |
| Wimmer Gruner Veltliner 2021 white · 1000 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | 11% below | <1% |
| St Christopher Piesporter Goldtropfchen Kabinett Mosel Riesling 2022 white · Mosel · 750 ml | $3.93 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 11% below | <1% |
| Stellenbosch Hills Polkadraai Sauvignon Blanc Stellenbosch Box 2021 white · Western Cape · 3000 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | 11% below | <1% |
| Chateau Haut Maurin Sauvignon Blanc Bordeaux 2022 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 10% below | <1% |
| Vigilance Chardonnay North Coast 2020 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 10% below | <1% |
| Domaine Bousquet Sauvignon Blanc Tupungato 2022 white · Mendoza · 750 ml | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | 10% below | <1% |
| Peter Vella Chablis white · Burgundy · 5000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 15.0% | 10% below | 6% typically +5% if it rises |
| Cave and Cove Strawberry Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.29 | 0.0% | — | 10% below | 13% typically +4% if it rises |
| Willems Willems Auf de Lauer Feinherb Riesling Saar Oberemmel 2023 white · Mosel · 750 ml | $18.99 $19.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | 10% below | <1% |
| Kalyana Chardonnay Central Coast white · Central Coast · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.39 | 0.0% | — | 10% below | 7% typically +10% if it rises |
| Franzia Refreshers Wild Berry Moscato white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.79 $15.59 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 9% below | 1% |
| Domaine Adrien Besson Montmains 1er Cru Chablis 2020 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $26.13 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 9% below | <1% |
| Zuccardi Serie A Torrontes Salta 2020 white · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 9% below | <1% |
| Jean Claude Mas AllNatt Vermentino Pays d'Oc 2023 white · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $7.43 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 9% below | <1% |
| Chateau Haut Maurin Sauvignon Blanc Bordeaux 2021 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $7.43 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 9% below | <1% |
| Bota Brick Pinot Grigio white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.23 $11.39 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 3.6% | 9% below | 1% |
| Sutter Home Pinot Grigio white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.49 $8.49 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 6.3% | 9% below | 5% typically +11% if it rises |
| Cave and Cove Peach Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.29 | 0.0% | — | 8% below | 13% typically +4% if it rises |
| Domaine Adrien Besson Montmains Chablis 1er Cru 2022 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $20.99 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 8% below | <1% |
| Chateau Haut Maurin Sauvignon Blanc Bordeaux 2020 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 8% below | <1% |
| Sycamore Lane Chardonnay white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.48 $10.96 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 8% below | 1% |
| Lavis Pinot Grigio Trentino 2021 white · Trentino-Alto Adige · 750 ml | $2.93 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 8% below | <1% |
| Sycamore Lane Pinot Grigio white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.48 $10.96 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 7% below | 1% |
| Jean Claude Mas AllNatt Vermentino Pays d'Oc 2022 white · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 7% below | <1% |
| Lavis Pinot Grigio Trentino 2025 white · Trentino-Alto Adige · 750 ml | $9.99 | — | — | 7% below | 1% |
| Portillo Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.49 $10.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7% below | 1% |
| Pertico Pinot Grigio Vigneti delle Dolomiti 2022 white · Trentino-Alto Adige · 750 ml | $2.93 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 7% below | <1% |
| Sutter Home Pink Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.49 $8.49 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 6.3% | 7% below | 5% typically +11% if it rises |
| Yellow Tail Riesling white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.14 $8.29 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 3.8% | 5% below | 1% |
| Lavis Pinot Grigio Trentino white · Trentino-Alto Adige · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 5% below | 7% typically +10% if it rises |
| Vinos de Arganza Verdejo Godello Castilla y Leon Encanto 2023 white · Rueda / Toro · 750 ml | $8.99 | — | — | 5% below | <1% |
| Yellow Tail Pinot Grigio white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.29 $8.29 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 3.8% | 4% below | 5% |
| Arbor Mist Pink Raspberry Moscato white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 4% below | 5% typically +12% if it rises |
| Redwood Highway Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $2.34 $4.69 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 4% below | 2% |
| Yellow Tail Pure Bright Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.29 $8.29 Sale | 0.0% | — | 3% below | 8% typically +9% if it rises |
| Reserve des Hospitaliers Cotes du Rhone Blanc 2021 white · Rhone · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 3% below | <1% |
| Santa Julia Innovacion Chenin Chardonnay Mendoza 2021 white · Mendoza · 1000 ml | $7.99 | 0.0% | — | 2% below | <1% |
| Arbor Mist Peach Moscato white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 2% below | 5% typically +12% if it rises |
| Castle Rock Sauvignon Blanc 2023 white · 750 ml | $9.99 | — | — | 1% below | 1% |
| Hook or Crook Cellars Heritage Chardonnay Lodi 2022 white · Lodi · 750 ml | $5.99 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 1% below | <1% |
| Chateau Couhins Pessac Leognan Blanc 2023 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $47.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Sterling Vineyards Blanc de Blancs white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 13% typically +9% if it rises |
| Flavs Soave Classico 2020 white · Veneto · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Custard Chardonnay Sonoma Valley white · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.49 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +7% if it rises |
| Louis Jadot Domaine Gagey Les Clos Beaune Greves 1er Cru Blanc 2018 white · 750 ml | $79.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| E Guigal Saint Joseph Blanc 2021 white · Rhone · 750 ml | $36.99 $39.99 Sale | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Lungarotti Vermentino Umbria 2024 white · 750 ml | $8.99 $9.99 Sale | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
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