Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Vintage-dated premium and luxury wines, ranked by the model's chance of a list-price rise within a year. These are retail shelf prices at a state retailer, not auction or secondary-market prices, so treat them as a signal of retail pricing momentum rather than investment returns.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rombauer Vineyards Proprietor Selection Chardonnay Carneros 2021 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $79.99 | 0.0% | — | 110% premium | <1% |
| Tenuta delle Terre Nere Etna Bianco 2021 white · Sicily · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Trimbach Reserve Riesling Alsace 2021 white · Alsace · 750 ml | $20.99 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Alphonse Dolly Cuvee Silex Sancerre Blanc 2022 white · Loire · 750 ml | $23.73 $38.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 40% premium | <1% |
| Domaine Adrien Besson Montmains 1er Cru Chablis 2020 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $26.13 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 9% below | <1% |
| Dr Loosen Wehlener Sonnenuhr Riesling Kabinett 2022 white · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Jacques Saumaize les Creuzettes Pouilly Fuisse 2022 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $26.99 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 20% premium | <1% |
| Alex Chameau Le Chene Marchand Sancerre Blanc 2020 white · Loire · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Bott Geyl Riesling Schoenenbourg Grand Cru 2019 white · 750 ml | $49.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine de la Chapelle Les Grand Climats Pouilly Fuisse 2022 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $25.73 $41.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Joh Jos Prum Riesling Bernkasteler Lay Mosel Auslese 2020 white · Mosel · 750 ml | $31.53 $62.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Joh Jos Prum Riesling Zeltinger Sonnenuhr Mosel Auslese 2020 white · Mosel · 750 ml | $18.83 $62.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Louis Jadot Chablis Fourchaume 1er Cru 2020 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $30.03 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Nik Weis St Urbans Hof Riesling Bockstein GG Mosel 2022 white · Mosel · 750 ml | $45.59 $75.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 190% premium | <1% |
| Rombauer Vineyards Sauvignon Blanc California 2022 white · California Central Valley · 750 ml | $26.99 $29.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bedrock Sauvignon Blanc Sonoma Valley 2022 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Bouscaut Pessac Leognan Blanc 2018 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $54.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Carbonnieux Pessac Leognan Blanc 2019 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $49.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Montelena Chardonnay Napa Valley 2018 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $54.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Adrien Besson Montmains Chablis 1er Cru 2022 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $20.99 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 8% below | <1% |
| Joh Jos Prum Graacher Himmelreich Riesling Mosel Kabinett 2020 white · Mosel · 750 ml | $25.53 $52.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 14% below | <1% |
| Joh Jos Prum Riesling Graacher Himmelreich Mosel Spatlese 2020 white · Mosel · 750 ml | $28.53 $55.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Joh Jos Prum Wehlener Sonnenuhr Riesling Mosel Kabinett 2020 white · Mosel · 750 ml | $27.53 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 21% below | <1% |
| Trefethen Estate Grown Chardonnay Oak Knoll District of Napa Valley 2020 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Adrien Besson Vaillons Chablis 1er Cru 2022 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $22.19 $36.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dr Thanisch Bernkasteler Graben Riesling Mosel Spatlese 2020 white · Mosel · 750 ml | $10.93 $37.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Kosta Browne Chardonnay One Sixteen Russian River Valley 2020 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $89.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Meyer Fonne Riesling Wineck Schlossberg Alsace Grand Cru 2022 white · Alsace · 750 ml | $28.19 $46.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Nik Weis St Urbans Hof Riesling Bockstein Spatlese Mosel 2021 white · Mosel · 750 ml | $14.33 $47.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 67% premium | <1% |
| Quailhurst Vineyard Estate White Pinot Noir Chehalem Mountains 2021 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Corinne et Jean Pierre Grossot Chablis 2018 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $26.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Le Facteur La Bamboche Vin de France Blanc 2022 white · 750 ml | $28.99 | 0.0% | — | 92% premium | <1% |
| Gerard and Pierre Morin Sancerre Rouge 2020 white · Loire · 750 ml | $24.93 $32.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lamblin et Fils Vaillon Chablis Premier Cru 2020 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $25.13 $41.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 44% premium | <1% |
| The Calling Chardonnay Searby Vineyard Russian River Valley 2018 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $49.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Louis Jadot Marsannay Blanc 2021 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $17.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 38% premium | <1% |
| L'Esprit de Chevalier Pessac Leognan Blanc 2018 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $49.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine William Fevre Bougros Chablis Grand Cru 2022 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $110 $184 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dr Loosen Erdener Treppchen Riesling Kabinett 2020 white · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Karine Lauverjat Sancerre Rouge 2022 white · Loire · 750 ml | $16.19 $26.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Pierre Sparr Schoenenbourg Riesling Alsace Grand Cru 2020 white · Alsace · 750 ml | $28.79 $47.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine FL Chamboureau Chenin Blanc Savennieres 2020 white · Loire · 750 ml | $22.19 $36.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Laroche Les Vaudevey Chablis 1er Cru 2022 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $40.79 $67.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| J J Prum Graacher Himmelreich Riesling Mosel Spatlese 2021 white · Mosel · 750 ml | $32.53 $63.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| J J Prum Wehlener Sonnenuhr Riesling Mosel Auslese 2021 white · Mosel · 375 ml | $15.23 $50.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| J J Prum Wehlener Sonnenuhr Riesling Mosel Kabinett 2021 white · Mosel · 750 ml | $32.53 $63.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| J J Prum Zeltinger Sonnenuhr Riesling Mosel Auslese 2021 white · Mosel · 750 ml | $43.73 $71.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 25% premium | <1% |
| Chateau de Chantegrive Cuvee Caroline Graves Blanc 2018 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine de la Pauline Sancerre Blanc 2023 white · Loire · 750 ml | $7.93 $28.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Trimbach Riesling Alsace Reserve 2020 white · Alsace · 750 ml | $20.23 $33.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
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