Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cleto Chiarli Vigneto Cialdini Lambrusco Grasparossa di Castelvetro 2024 sparkling · 750 ml | $17.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Schramsberg Vineyards Mirabelle Brut Rose North Coast sparkling · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.64 $33.29 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 11.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Veuve Clicquot Champagne Demi Sec sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $62.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 21.2% | Fairly priced | 8% typically +10% if it rises |
| Barefoot Bubbly Moscato Spumante sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | ▲ 7.1% | ▲ 15.4% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Do Epic SHT Sparkling Brut Non Vintage sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.99 $19.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +5% if it rises |
| Lunetta Prosecco Rose sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.49 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Michele Chiarlo Le Orme Barbera d'Asti 2021 sparkling · Piedmont · 750 ml | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Barefoot Bubbly Brut Cuvee sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | ▲ 7.1% | ▲ 15.4% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Cleto Chiarli Vigneto Cialdini Lambrusco Grasparossa di Castelvetro 2020 sparkling · 750 ml | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine De La Petite Roche Saumur Brut sparkling · Loire · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.93 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Frassinelli Prosecco Valdobiadenne Extra Dry sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +7% if it rises |
| Mumm Napa Brut Prestige sparkling · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | ▼ 12.7% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 11% typically +6% if it rises |
| Biutiful Cava Brut Nature sparkling · Penedes (Cava) · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 25.0% | Fairly priced | 8% typically +8% if it rises |
| Cuvee Suzanne Petillant Naturel Vin de France sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 27% typically +4% if it rises |
| Francis Ford Coppola Diamond Prosecco Rose sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.49 | ▲ 2.9% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +5% if it rises |
| Martini and Rossi Prosecco sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.59 | 0.0% | ▲ 3.8% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +8% if it rises |
| 1 Plus 1 Equals 3 Brut Rose Cava Seleccio sparkling · Penedes (Cava) · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.23 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Cleto Chiarli Vigneto Cialdini Lambrusco Grasparossa di Castelvetro 2023 sparkling · 750 ml | $10.79 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Emiliana Amaluna Organic Sparkling Brut Casablanca Valley sparkling · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +7% if it rises |
| Moet et Chandon Grand Vintage Champagne Rose 2015 sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml | $68.99 $115 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Voga Sparkling Rose of Pinot Grigio sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.49 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| De Perriere Brut Rose France sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 22.2% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +6% if it rises |
| Gelida Pinot Noir Rose Cava Brut Reserva 2020 sparkling · Penedes (Cava) · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Shabo PrimoSecco Semi Sweet Charmat Sparkling Ukraine sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $14.99 Sale | — | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +7% if it rises |
| Gruet Winery Brut New Mexico sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 $21.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 29.4% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +9% if it rises |
| 1 Plus 1 Equals 3 Cygnus Cava Brut Nature Reserva sparkling · Penedes (Cava) · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.53 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Drappier Champagne Brut Nature sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $39.03 $64.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Gelida Cava Brut Gran Reserva 2018 sparkling · Penedes (Cava) · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Mionetto Prosecco Rose sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.49 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Presto Prosecco Brut sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.71 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +6% if it rises |
| Norton 101 Bubbles Sparkling Mendoza Brut sparkling · Mendoza · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.73 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Henriot Rose Champagne sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $57.93 $77.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 5% typically +7% if it rises |
| H Blin Tradition Brut Champagne sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.03 $41.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 10.5% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Louis Courtier Cremant de Bordeaux Brut sparkling · Bordeaux · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +7% if it rises |
| De Chanceny Brut sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.19 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +5% if it rises |
| Pierre Gimonnet et Fils Cuis Blanc de Blancs Champagne Brut 1er Cru sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $52.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +17% if it rises |
| Barefoot Bubbly Prosecco sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.83 $14.59 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 4.3% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Deseado Sweet Nature Rose Sparkling Patagonia sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Deseado Sweet Nature Sparkling Patagonia sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Bailly Lapierre Pinot Noir Cremant de Bourgogne sparkling · Burgundy · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $21.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +5% if it rises |
| Chateau Ste Michelle Luxe Brut Columbia Valley sparkling · Washington · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.73 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sommariva Prosecco di Conegliano Valdobbiadene Superiore Brut sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.23 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Moet and Chandon Imperial Champagne Brut sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $56.99 | ▲ 3.6% | ▲ 18.8% | Fairly priced | 11% typically +6% if it rises |
| Schlumberger Brut Classic Piccolo Niederoesterreich 2018 sparkling · 187 ml | $7.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Veuve Clicquot Yellow Label Champagne Brut sparkling · Champagne · 375 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $36.99 | ▲ 2.8% | ▲ 23.3% | Fairly priced | 11% typically +6% if it rises |
| Opera Prima Sparkling Mimosa Spain sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +10% if it rises |
| Kila Cava Brut 2020 sparkling · Penedes (Cava) · 750 ml | $8.99 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Casa Canevel Prosecco Rose 2019 sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Casa Canevel Prosecco Rose 2020 sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Casa Canevel Prosecco Rose 2021 sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
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