Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luc Belaire Rare Rose rosé · 375 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $20.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 12% typically +9% if it rises |
| The Little Sheep of France Vin de France Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 $10.99 Sale | — | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +9% if it rises |
| Neleman Derrick Tempranillo Rose Valencia 2022 rosé · 750 ml | $3.73 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Radio Boka Rose de la Tierre Castilla rosé · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.13 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Bieler Pere et Fils Cuvee Sabine Coteaux d'Aix en Provence Rose 2022 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $4.23 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Pasaeli Calkarasi Aegean Turkey Rose 2024 rosé · 750 ml | $13.99 $16.99 Sale | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Periquita Rose Peninsula de Setubal 2021 rosé · 750 ml | $3.73 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| All Time Low Presents Summer Daze Rose Willamette Valley 2024 rosé · Oregon · 750 ml | $16.99 $19.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bodegas Santalba Rioja Alta Rose 2023 rosé · Rioja · 750 ml | $3.93 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lionel Osmin and Cie Villa La Vie En Rose Negrette Vin de France Rose 2022 rosé · 750 ml | $2.93 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bonterra Vineyards Organic Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $16.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +6% if it rises |
| Bello Boy Rose Petals Moscato rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.99 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Francis Coppola Diamond Collection Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.49 | ▲ 2.9% | ▲ 9.4% | Fairly priced | 17% typically +4% if it rises |
| Commanderie de la Bargemone Coteaux d'Aix en Provence Rose 2022 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $5.23 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Castle Rock Rose of Pinot Noir Monterey County 2024 rosé · Monterey · 750 ml | $7.99 $9.99 Sale | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Mazza Vineyards Bare Bones Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 18.2% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Benigna's Creek Delight Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.49 | 0.0% | ▲ 13.6% | Fairly priced | 27% typically +4% if it rises |
| DAOU Vineyards and Winery Grenache Rose Paso Robles 2024 rosé · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $16.99 $19.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine La Bastide Blanche Bandol Rose 2021 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $8.23 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chloe Rose Central Coast rosé · Central Coast · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 | ▼ 3.6% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Chateau La Freynelle Bordeaux Rose 2022 rosé · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $4.23 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Three French Hens Pays d'Oc Rose 2025 rosé · Languedoc-Roussillon · 3000 ml | $26.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Mt Beautiful Rose North Canterbury 2022 rosé · 750 ml | $4.73 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Roubertas Cotes de Provence Rose 2020 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Sutter Home Fruit Infusions Wild Berry Blush rosé · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Commanderie de la Bargemone Coteaux d'Aix en Provence Rose 2020 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $9.03 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine La Bastide Blanche Bandol Rose 2020 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $14.03 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Beringer Main and Vine White Zinfandel rosé · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.49 | 0.0% | ▲ 11.5% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Cellar '54 Sublime Steuben Blush Wine rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 11% typically +6% if it rises |
| 9 is Enough Primitivo Rosato Puglia rosé · Puglia · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 11% typically +5% if it rises |
| Affentaler Pinot Noir Rose Baden 2021 rosé · 750 ml | $8.53 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Peter Vella Delicious Blush rosé · 5000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $20.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 16.7% | Fairly priced | 5% typically +9% if it rises |
| Txomin Etxaniz Rose Getariako Txakolina 2024 rosé · 750 ml | $17.99 $19.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Castle Rock Rose of Pinot Noir Monterey County 2023 rosé · Monterey · 750 ml | $2.93 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sorrenti Cherry Valley Vineyards Raspberry Blush rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 16% typically +6% if it rises |
| Arbor Mist Exotic Fruits White Zinfandel rosé · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Arbor Mist Strawberry White Zinfandel rosé · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Comtesse Marion Cinsault Pays d'Oc Rose 2024 rosé · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $9.99 $12.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Barefoot Rose rosé · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $14.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 7.1% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Chateau St Jean Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.49 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Three French Hens Pays d'Oc Rose 2024 rosé · Languedoc-Roussillon · 3000 ml | $23.99 $26.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Warwick The First Lady Dry Rose Western Cape 2023 rosé · Western Cape · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Poggio Anima Raphael Rosato Sicilia 2021 rosé · Sicily · 750 ml | $3.53 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Yellow Tail Frest Twist Strawberry and Lime Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $2.43 $8.29 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Warwick The First Lady Dry Rose South Africa 2022 rosé · Western Cape · 750 ml | $7.53 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tenuta Le Colonne Costa Toscana Rosato 2020 rosé · Tuscany · 750 ml | $4.23 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Txakoli Primo Rose Zarautz 2021 rosé · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Antler Ridge Winery Ashley Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.59 | ▲ 8.2% | ▲ 12.3% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Decoy Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 27% typically +4% if it rises |
| Sorrenti Cherry Valley Vineyards Cranberry Blush rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.73 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
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