Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oak Grove Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.46 $8.93 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 37% below | 1% |
| Porta Vita Rosso red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.49 | 0.0% | ▲ 3.6% | 37% below | 11% typically +12% if it rises |
| Raptor Ridge Whole Cluster Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2018 red · Oregon · 375 ml | $18.99 | 0.0% | — | 37% below | <1% |
| Capataz Tinto Alentejo 2021 red · 750 ml | $2.93 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 37% below | <1% |
| San Felo Maremma Sangiovese red · Tuscany · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 37% below | 7% typically +10% if it rises |
| Chateau Lilian Ladouys Saint Estephe 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $34.99 | — | — | 37% below | 3% |
| Columbia Winery Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2020 red · Washington · 750 ml | $10.99 | 0.0% | — | 37% below | <1% |
| Franzia Chillable Red red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.49 | 0.0% | ▲ 3.8% | 37% below | 3% |
| Louis Bernard Louis Cotes du Rhone Villages 2020 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | 37% below | <1% |
| Boutinot Les Coteaux Cotes du Rhone Villages Rouge 2023 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | 37% below | <1% |
| Northstar Walla Walla Red Blend 2015 red · Washington · 750 ml | $8.23 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 37% below | <1% |
| Trimbach Reserve Pinot Noir Alsace 2022 red · Alsace · 750 ml | $16.79 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 36% below | <1% |
| Browne Family Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2019 red · Washington · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 36% below | <1% |
| Jolete Cabernet Sauvignon Summit View Vineyard Walla Walla 2018 red · Washington · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 36% below | <1% |
| Bonny Doon Le Cigare Volant Red 2023 red · 750 ml | $12.99 | — | — | 36% below | <1% |
| Chateau Gloria Saint Julien 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $35.73 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 36% below | <1% |
| Ken Wright Cellars Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2023 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $24.99 | ▼ 7.4% | — | 36% below | <1% |
| Lothian Vineyards Horny Owl Shiraz Western Cape 2019 red · Western Cape · 750 ml | $3.93 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 36% below | <1% |
| Casa Santos Lima Lab Reserva Tinto 2020 red · 750 ml | $2.93 $8.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 36% below | <1% |
| Embroidery Pinot Noir Monterey County 2024 red · Monterey · 750 ml | $9.99 | — | — | 36% below | 1% |
| Board Track Speed Racer Red Blend Columbia Valley 2022 red · Washington · 750 ml | $8.99 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 36% below | <1% |
| Renacer Punto Final Malbec Mendoza 2021 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 36% below | <1% |
| Bootstrap Red Blend red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.73 $8.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 36% below | 2% |
| Monte del Fra Ca del Magro Custoza Superiore 2022 red · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | 36% below | <1% |
| Piccini Poggio Alto Toscano Rosso 2021 red · 750 ml | $8.99 | — | — | 36% below | 1% |
| Provenance Vineyards Deadeye Red Blend Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 35% below | <1% |
| Damilano Lecinquevigne Barolo 2015 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $49.99 | 0.0% | — | 35% below | <1% |
| Vineyard 29 Cru Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $54.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 35% below | 1% |
| Bodega Garzon Tannat Reserva Uruguay 2020 red · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | 35% below | <1% |
| Domaine Saint Laurent Cotes du Rhone Rouge 2023 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $2.93 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 35% below | <1% |
| Laetitia Pinot Noir San Luis Obispo Coast 2021 red · Central Coast · 750 ml | $10.73 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 35% below | <1% |
| WT Vintners Syrah Stoney Vine Vineyard Walla Walla Valley 2016 red · Washington · 750 ml | $17.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 35% below | <1% |
| Chateau Graulet Blaye Cotes de Bordeaux Rouge 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $8.99 | 0.0% | — | 35% below | <1% |
| Pietro Caciorgna Clauria Etna Rosso 2021 red · Sicily · 750 ml | $11.03 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 35% below | <1% |
| Torre Mora Cauru Etna Rosso 2019 red · Sicily · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | 35% below | <1% |
| Domaine Cailhol Gautran Gamin Minervois Rouge 2023 red · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 35% below | 1% |
| Pietro Caciorgna Clauria Etna Rosso 2022 red · Sicily · 750 ml | $6.53 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 35% below | <1% |
| Chateau Prieure Lichine Margaux 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $64.99 | 0.0% | — | 34% below | 1% |
| Henri Bourgeois Petit Bourgeois Cabernet Franc 2019 red · 750 ml | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | 34% below | <1% |
| Duckhorn Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon Decoy Limited Napa Valley red · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $34.99 | 0.0% | — | 34% below | 10% typically +5% if it rises |
| Liberty Creek Pinot Noir red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 | 0.0% | — | 34% below | 7% typically +9% if it rises |
| Bodegas Valparaiso Romero de Aranda Tempranillo Ribera del Duero 2020 red · Ribera del Duero · 750 ml | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | 34% below | <1% |
| Mercer Bros Edge of Heaven Dark Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 | 0.0% | — | 34% below | 10% typically +9% if it rises |
| Bovio Barolo 2016 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $49.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 34% below | <1% |
| Limited Lot Red Blend red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 | — | — | 34% below | 8% typically +10% if it rises |
| Cafaggio Basilica San Martino Chianti Classico Gran Selezione 2017 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $21.99 | 0.0% | — | 34% below | <1% |
| Damilano Lecinquevigne Barolo 2017 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $25.03 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 34% below | <1% |
| Intensus Tinto Alentejo Reserva 2018 red · 750 ml | $7.23 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 34% below | <1% |
| San Felice Chianti Classico 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $16.99 | 0.0% | — | 34% below | 1% |
| Weinstock Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $2.93 $10.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 34% below | 1% |
251–300 of 5,705← PreviousNext →