Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Francis Coppola Diamond Collection Claret Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $21.49 | ▲ 2.4% | ▲ 7.5% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +4% if it rises |
| Domaine Bousquet Cabernet Sauvignon Tupungato Reserve red · Mendoza · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +6% if it rises |
| Grand Marnier Cordon Rouge red · 375 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $21.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +4% if it rises |
| Layer Cake Shiraz South Australia 2021 red · South Australia · 750 ml | $6.99 | — | — | 53% below | 7% typically +13% if it rises |
| EG by Educated Guess Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +6% if it rises |
| Hikari Red Plum Wine red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +6% if it rises |
| Vint by Robert Mondavi Private Selection Cabernet Sauvignon Central Coast red · Central Coast · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.59 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +6% if it rises |
| Bota Box Nighthawk Black Cabernet Sauvignon Bourbon Barrel Aged red · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.99 $5.99 Sale | ▼ 14.3% | ▲ 20.0% | 46% below | 7% typically +9% if it rises |
| Bota Box Nighthawk Black Lush Pinot Noir red · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.99 $5.99 Sale | ▼ 14.3% | ▲ 20.0% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +9% if it rises |
| Cecchi Chianti red · Tuscany · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +6% if it rises |
| Lindeman's Bin 45 Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.99 | ▼ 4.1% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +7% if it rises |
| Clos du Bois Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | ▼ 6.3% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +4% if it rises |
| Clos du Bois Merlot red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | ▼ 6.3% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +4% if it rises |
| Clos du Bois Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | ▼ 6.3% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +4% if it rises |
| Hungry Run Cellars Red Raspberry red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.59 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +7% if it rises |
| Robert Mondavi Private Selection Merlot Monterey County Aged in Rum Barrels red · Monterey · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +3% if it rises |
| Bota Box Nighthawk Rum Barrel Red Blend red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $21.99 $24.99 Sale | ▲ 4.2% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +4% if it rises |
| Oak Leaf Vineyards Merlot red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.99 | 0.0% | — | 28% below | 7% typically +10% if it rises |
| Bonterra Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $16.99 Sale | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +8% if it rises |
| Bonterra Vineyards Organic Merlot red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $16.99 Sale | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +8% if it rises |
| Meiomi Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 $19.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▼ 16.7% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +5% if it rises |
| BonAnno Cabernet Sauvignon Alexander Valley red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +4% if it rises |
| Yori Wine Cellars Cabernet Franc red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | — | — | 40% premium | 7% typically +4% if it rises |
| Autumn Frost Blackberry Red Blend Wine Spritzer red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +9% if it rises |
| Conti Torraiolo Sangiovese red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.29 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +10% if it rises |
| Creative Juice Merlot red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.29 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +10% if it rises |
| Firefly Ridge Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +9% if it rises |
| Firefly Ridge Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +9% if it rises |
| Le Altane Montepulciano d'Abruzzo red · Abruzzo · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.29 | 0.0% | — | 25% below | 7% typically +10% if it rises |
| O Organics Organic Cabernet Sauvignon California red · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.29 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +10% if it rises |
| Paquet Montagnac Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.49 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +7% if it rises |
| Silk and Spice Red Blend red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 15.4% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +8% if it rises |
| Oak Leaf Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.49 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +6% if it rises |
| Oak Leaf Vineyards Merlot red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.49 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +6% if it rises |
| Markham Vineyards Merlot Napa Valley red · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 $26.99 Sale | ▲ 3.8% | ▲ 12.5% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +4% if it rises |
| 19 Crimes Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 $12.99 Sale | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +10% if it rises |
| Josh Cellars Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles Reserve red · Paso Robles · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 $24.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 4.2% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +8% if it rises |
| La Ciarliana Rosso di Montepulciano red · Tuscany · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +7% if it rises |
| Lornano Chianti Classico red · Tuscany · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +7% if it rises |
| Bixby Creek Bridge Red Blend Napa Valley red · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.09 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +7% if it rises |
| Famiglie Montepulciano d'Abruzzo red · Abruzzo · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.59 | 0.0% | — | 32% premium | 7% typically +6% if it rises |
| Santa Julia Organica Malbec del Mercado red · 1000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.59 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +6% if it rises |
| Periodic Pinot Noir California red · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.49 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +7% if it rises |
| Renzo Masi Chianti Rufina Riserva red · Tuscany · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 $12.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +8% if it rises |
| Rodney Strong Sonoma Vineyards Red Blend Sonoma County red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.59 | 0.0% | — | 48% below | 6% typically +6% if it rises |
| Bota Box Breeze Cabernet Sauvignon red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 $24.99 Sale | ▲ 4.2% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +4% if it rises |
| 19 Crimes Frankenstein Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 22% below | 6% typically +10% if it rises |
| 19 Crimes the Bride of Frankenstein Red Blend red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 26% below | 6% typically +10% if it rises |
| Cantina Valle Tritana Montepulciano d'Abruzzo red · Abruzzo · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +10% if it rises |
| Cult Cabernet Sauvignon Lodi red · Lodi · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +7% if it rises |
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