Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Domaines Ott Chateau de Selle Cotes de Provence Rose 2022 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $20.73 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 113% premium | <1% |
| Domaines Ott Chateau de Selle Cotes de Provence Rose 2023 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $41.99 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 113% premium | <1% |
| Khvanchkara Red Wine Semi Sweet red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $26.99 $27.99 Sale | ▲ 7.7% | ▲ 12.0% | 114% premium | 3% |
| Chateau Lafaurie Peyraguey Sauternes 2020 dessert · Bordeaux · 375 ml | $26.93 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 114% premium | <1% |
| Fontanafredda Derthona Colli Tortonesi Timorasso 2021 red · 750 ml | $21.59 $35.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 115% premium | <1% |
| Big Table Farm Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2019 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $31.73 $51.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 116% premium | <1% |
| Familia Schroeder Malbec Patagonia 2017 red · 750 ml | $49.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Solena Estate Hyland Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2019 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $15.93 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 118% premium | <1% |
| Cloudy Bay Te Koko Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2021 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $38.99 $64.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 118% premium | <1% |
| Frank Cornelissen Munjebel Bianco Terre Siciliane 2022 white · Sicily · 750 ml | $59.99 | — | — | 119% premium | 2% |
| Dunham Cabernet Sauvignon XXV Columbia Valley red · Washington · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 120% premium | 1% |
| Ho Ho Ho Blanc de Blanc Sparkling Wine Screen Printed Bottle sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $29.99 | — | — | 120% premium | 6% typically +7% if it rises |
| Elena Fucci Titolo Aglianico del Vulture 2019 red · 750 ml | $13.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 121% premium | <1% |
| Champagne Brocard Pierre Tradition Cotes des Bar Brut d'Assemblage Non Vintage sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $32.99 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 121% premium | 1% |
| David Finlayson GS Cabernet Sauvignon Stellenbosch 2020 red · Western Cape · 750 ml | $23.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 121% premium | <1% |
| Chateau La Lagune Haut Medoc 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $17.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 121% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Chasse Spleen Moulis en Medoc 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $59.99 | 0.0% | — | 122% premium | <1% |
| El Pino Club Pinot Noir The Cusp Russian River Valley 2021 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $13.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 122% premium | 1% |
| Big Table Farm Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2020 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $15.93 $51.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 123% premium | <1% |
| Domaine FL Les 4 Villages Chenin Blanc Coteaux du Layon 2019 white · 750 ml | $23.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 124% premium | <1% |
| Charles Smith Wines of Substance Vineyard Collection Klein 'BX' Bordeaux Blend Walla Walla Valley 2018 red · Washington · 750 ml | $19.43 $66.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 125% premium | <1% |
| Ephod Winery Keter Cabernet Sauvignon Merlot 2020 red · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 125% premium | <1% |
| Marques de Reinosa Reserva Garnacha 2019 red · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | 127% premium | <1% |
| Marietta Cellars Game Trail Cabernet Sauvignon 2021 red · 750 ml | $11.93 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 128% premium | <1% |
| San Felice Vigorello Toscana Rosso 2018 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $17.73 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bodegas LAN Edicion Limitada Rioja 2020 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $35.99 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 129% premium | <1% |
| Luigi Bosca De Sangre DOC Malbec Mendoza 2023 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $31.99 | — | — | 130% premium | 1% |
| Turk Eiswein vom Gruner Veltliner Niederosterreich 2023 white · 375 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Broadside Blackletter Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles 2019 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $14.93 $47.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lo Zoccolaio Baccanera Langhe Rosso 2021 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $33.99 | — | — | 133% premium | 1% |
| Wente Vineyards Nth Degree Merlot Livermore Valley 2020 red · 750 ml | $34.99 | 0.0% | — | 133% premium | 1% |
| Castelfeder Burgum Novum Pinot Nero Alto Adige 2018 red · Trentino-Alto Adige · 750 ml | $37.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| The Roost Blue Heron Vineyard Chardonnay Mendocino County 2020 white · 750 ml | $13.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 134% premium | <1% |
| Familia Schroeder S Malbec Patagonia 2019 red · 750 ml | $13.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 135% premium | <1% |
| Ca Del Bosco Cuvee Prestige Franciacorta sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $44.99 | 0.0% | — | 136% premium | 11% typically +8% if it rises |
| La Marca Prosecco sparkling · Veneto · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $38.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 21.9% | 137% premium | 8% typically +6% if it rises |
| Mano's Cabernet Sauvignon 250th Anniversary Etched Liberty Bell red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $49.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +5% if it rises |
| Fukucho Sparkling Seaside Junmai Hiroshima sparkling · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.53 $31.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 141% premium | 1% |
| Tornatore Etna Bianco Pietrarizzo 2021 white · Sicily · 750 ml | $35.99 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 142% premium | <1% |
| Domaine Patrick Giboulot La Morand Pernand Vergelesses Blanc 2022 white · 750 ml | $33.59 $55.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 143% premium | <1% |
| Chateau la Croix de Gay Pomerol 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $69.99 | 0.0% | — | 143% premium | <1% |
| Matthews Claret Columbia Valley 2021 red · Washington · 750 ml | $15.93 $51.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 145% premium | 1% |
| Renato Ratti Marcenasco 2020 red · 750 ml | $44.99 $74.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 145% premium | <1% |
| Skinner Zinfandel El Dorado 2019 red · 750 ml | $34.99 | — | — | 152% premium | 1% |
| Jim Barry The McRae Wood Shiraz Clare Valley 2017 red · South Australia · 750 ml | $49.99 | — | — | 154% premium | 1% |
| Trefethen Cabernet Sauvignon 2021 red · 750 ml | $44.99 $74.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 154% premium | <1% |
| Dominios de Berceo Graciano Rioja 2014 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $15.93 $51.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 155% premium | <1% |
| Markus Wine Co Sol Red Lodi 2018 red · Lodi · 750 ml | $11.93 $38.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 155% premium | <1% |
| La Vizcaina de Vinos Bierzo Tinto La Vitoriana 2019 red · 750 ml | $12.53 $45.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 160% premium | <1% |
| Hermanos Hernaiz Finca la Emperatriz Gran Vino Rioja 2016 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $13.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 161% premium | <1% |
2,451–2,500 of 2,525← PreviousNext →