Cellar Index
Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today

Wine prices, tracked and forecast

Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.

How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Popular winesMost likely to riseCollector watchBest valuesAll wines

Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.

WineShelf price1yr History5yr Historyvs fair priceChance of a rise within a year
Nine Hats Riesling Columbia Valley 2023
white · Washington · 750 ml
$13.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Parini Prosecco Brut
sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$10.39 0.0%—Fairly priced7%
typically +10% if it rises
Relax Riesling Twin Pack 2x750mL
white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$21.99 0.0%—Fairly priced13%
typically +4% if it rises
Revelry Vintners The Limited Edition Reveler Red Blend Columbia Valley 2020
red · Washington · 750 ml
$13.13 $21.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Torre Oria Pinot Noir Rose
rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$13.49 0.0%—Fairly priced9%
typically +7% if it rises
Valiant Rose
rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$6.23 $8.29 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced4%
Z Alexander Brown Uncaged Cabernet Sauvignon
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$18.49▲ 2.8%▼ 2.6%Fairly priced5%
typically +5% if it rises
75 Wine Company Sauvignon Blanc
white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$8.99 $17.99 Clearance 0.0% 0.0%Fairly priced2%
Bieler Pere et Fils Cuvee Sabine Coteaux d'Aix en Provence Rose 2021
rosé · Provence · 750 ml
$13.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Carmenet Cabernet Sauvignon
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$6.99 $13.99 Clearance 0.0% 0.0%Fairly priced2%
Marques de Riscal Rioja Reserva
red · Rioja · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$19.99 0.0%▲ 5.3%Fairly priced5%
Remy Lefevre Macon Villages Chardonnay 2024
white · Burgundy · 750 ml
$14.99——Fairly priced1%
Sand Point Sauvignon Blanc
white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$4.13 $13.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Sokol Blosser Pinot Gris Willamette Valley 2023
white · Oregon · 750 ml
$16.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Dr Pauly Bergweiler Bernkasteler Badstube Riesling Mosel Kabinett 2021
white · Mosel · 750 ml
$5.93 $21.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Gai'a Monograph Moschofilero Peloponnese 2021
red · 750 ml
$4.93 $14.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Intercept Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles Signed by Charles Woodson
red · Paso Robles · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$22.89 0.0%—Fairly priced9%
typically +4% if it rises
Kotrotsos Ophelia Agiorgitiko Greece Red 2022
red · 750 ml
$14.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
La Scolca Gavi di Gavi 2021
red · Piedmont · 750 ml
$16.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Peter Vella Crisp White
white · 5000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$20.99 0.0%▲ 16.7%Fairly priced8%
typically +9% if it rises
Terra Viva Sangiovese Marche
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$12.99 0.0%—Fairly priced6%
typically +8% if it rises
Bartenura Pinot Grigio
white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$14.99 0.0%—Fairly priced9%
typically +7% if it rises
Bodegas Borsao Cabriola Campo de Borja 2017
red · 750 ml
$3.93 $15.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Buttonwood Grove Winery Riesling Tank Select Finger Lakes 2019
white · Finger Lakes · 750 ml
$4.73 $16.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Casas Del Bosque Cabernet Sauvignon Valle de Rapel Reserva 2019
red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml
$3.93 $12.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Castello di Meleto Chianti Classico 2017
red · Tuscany · 750 ml
$19.99 0.0% 0.0%Fairly priced<1%
Cleto Chiarli Lambrusco Grasparossa di Castelvetro
sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$14.99 0.0%—Fairly priced6%
typically +7% if it rises
Cote Basque Rose Spain 2020
rosé · 750 ml
$9.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Domaine Romuald Petit Chiroubles Beaujolais 2020
red · Beaujolais · 750 ml
$5.93 $19.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Domaines Barons de Rothschild Lafite Los Vascos Sauvignon Blanc Colchagua Valley Estate 2021
white · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml
$3.93 $12.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Emilio Lustau Capataz Crema Sherry
dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$16.99 $18.99 Sale 0.0%—Fairly priced8%
typically +6% if it rises
Excelsior Sauvignon Blanc Robertson 2024
white · 750 ml
$6.99 0.0%—Fairly priced2%
Kendall Jackson Vintner's Reserve Pinot Gris
white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$13.99 $16.99 Sale 0.0%▲ 6.3%Fairly priced6%
typically +8% if it rises
Lyngrove Collection Chenin Blanc Stellenbosch 2021
white · Western Cape · 750 ml
$12.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Signae Montefalco Rosso 2022
red · 750 ml
$11.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Terredora di Paolo Falanghina Irpinia 2020
red · 750 ml
$4.73 $16.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
The Loop Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2023
white · Marlborough · 750 ml
$3.93 $12.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Walnut Block Collectables Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2022
white · Marlborough · 750 ml
$4.93 $14.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Yellow Tail Pure Bright Pinot Grigio
white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$7.29 $8.29 Sale 0.0%—Fairly priced8%
typically +9% if it rises
Amboscato Sweet Red Italy
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$2.33 $9.39 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Bruna Grimaldi Scassa Barbera d'Alba 2018
red · Piedmont · 750 ml
$19.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Castello di Verrazzano Rosso di Verrazzano Toscana 2020
red · Tuscany · 750 ml
$3.73 $13.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Charles and Charles Double Trouble Red Blend Columbia Valley 2019
red · Washington · 750 ml
$7.73 $12.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
GD Vajra Barbera d'Alba 2019
red · Piedmont · 750 ml
$19.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Rocca delle Macie Moonlite White
white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$16.99 $17.99 Sale▲ 15.4%▲ 38.5%Fairly priced1%
Spring Gate Sweet White Pennsylvania
white · Lake Erie · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$12.49 0.0%▲ 4.2%Fairly priced9%
typically +11% if it rises
Tenuta Regaleali Perricone Sicilia 2021
red · Sicily · 750 ml
$11.99 $19.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Terranoble Classic Chardonnay Valle Central 2018
white · 750 ml
$4.53 $8.99 Clearance 0.0% 0.0%Fairly priced<1%
Casas del Bosque Pinot Noir Rose Casablanca Valley 2021
rosé · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml
$6.53 $12.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Domaine Adrien Besson Petit Chablis 2023
white · Burgundy · 750 ml
$14.39 $23.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
2,451–2,500 of 6,416← PreviousNext →