Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chateau Ste Michelle Riesling Columbia Valley white · Washington · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $23.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.3% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Cupcake Vineyards Signature Sweets Sweet Red Moscato Wine white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.24 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 23% premium | 2% |
| Dr Thanisch Bernkasteler Lay Riesling Mosel Auslese 2018 white · Mosel · 750 ml | $22.53 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Kim Crawford Illuminate Alcohol Removed Sauvignon Blanc Nonalcoholic white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +6% if it rises |
| Barefoot Wine To Go Chardonnay white · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.99 $6.99 Sale | ▲ 16.7% | ▲ 40.1% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +7% if it rises |
| Seven Hills Winery Sauvignon Blanc Columbia Valley 2020 white · Washington · 750 ml | $5.73 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Volker Eisele Family Estate Sauvignon Blanc Napa Valley 2024 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $37.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Devil?s Corner Chardonnay Tasmania 2022 white · 750 ml | $7.93 $23.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine de la Pepiere La Pepie Muscadet Sevre et Maine Sur Lie 2021 white · Loire · 750 ml | $9.53 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 24% premium | <1% |
| Dr Loosen Erdener Treppchen Riesling GG Alte Reben 2022 white · 750 ml | $51.99 $53.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | 24% premium | <1% |
| Famille Richel La Combelle Apremont Savoie Blanc 2023 white · 750 ml | $10.19 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Kiona Old Vine Chenin Blanc Columbia Valley 2023 white · Washington · 750 ml | $18.99 | 0.0% | — | 24% premium | <1% |
| Solomon Hills Estate Chardonnay Santa Maria Valley SBC 2020 white · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $19.93 $64.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Wither Hills Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough white · Marlborough · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 20.0% | 24% premium | 1% |
| Foolhardy Vintners Sauvignon Blanc Columbia Valley 2021 white · Washington · 750 ml | $8.23 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Solena Estate Pinot Gris Willamette Valley 2022 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Trefethen Riesling 2023 white · 750 ml | $16.79 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Paula Kornell Blanc de Noir Methode Champenoise Napa Valley 2018 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $14.73 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Spinelli Pinot Grigio Cannister white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $27.99 | ▲ 12.0% | — | Fairly priced | 18% typically +5% if it rises |
| Domaine de la Pepiere La Pepie Muscadet Sevre et Maine Sur Lie 2025 white · Loire · 750 ml | $19.99 | — | — | 24% premium | 1% |
| Murphy Goode Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.29 $14.59 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 4.3% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Benziger Family Winery Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.69 | 0.0% | ▲ 3.9% | Fairly priced | 20% typically +6% if it rises |
| Dr Loosen Blue Slate Riesling Kabinett 2022 white · 750 ml | $20.99 $21.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ferrari Carano Reserve Chardonnay Carneros 2021 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lagar de Fornelos Lagar de Cervera Albarino 2023 white · Rias Baixas · 750 ml | $22.99 $24.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | 25% premium | <1% |
| Diemersdal Sauvignon Blanc Reserve Durbanville 2024 white · 750 ml | $13.33 $22.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 25% premium | <1% |
| Shaw and Smith Sauvignon Blanc Adelaide Hills 2021 white · South Australia · 750 ml | $12.53 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Knuttel Family Chardonnay Kate's Pas de Deux Russian River Valley 2021 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $6.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Castoro Cellars Balena White Blend Paso Robles 2023 white · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $17.99 $21.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | 25% premium | 1% |
| J J Prum Zeltinger Sonnenuhr Riesling Mosel Auslese 2021 white · Mosel · 750 ml | $43.73 $71.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 25% premium | <1% |
| Louis Jadot Saint Romain Villages Blanc 2019 white · 750 ml | $47.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Beaux Freres Chardonnay Willamette Valley 2020 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $25.43 $84.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Rombauer Vineyards Chardonnay Carneros white · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $44.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 13% typically +5% if it rises |
| Tenuta della Terre Nere Etna Bianco 2024 white · Sicily · 750 ml | $31.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Terra Vega Chardonnay Central Valley 2022 white · 750 ml | $3.83 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 25% premium | <1% |
| Brezon et Fils Sancerre Blanc 2024 white · Loire · 750 ml | $27.99 $29.99 Sale | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| William Hill Estate Winery Chardonnay Napa Valley white · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $29.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 7.1% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Auer BIO Gruner Veltliner Thermenregion 2021 white · 750 ml | $6.53 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Gai'a Monograph Assyrtiko Peloponnese 2021 white · 750 ml | $5.93 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Saxon Brown Chardonnay Green Acres Hill Sangiacomo Vineyard Carneros 2018 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $17.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Stags' Leap Sauvignon Blanc white · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $29.99 $31.99 Sale | ▲ 6.7% | ▲ 14.3% | Fairly priced | 22% typically +5% if it rises |
| William Fevre Montmains Chablis 1er Cru 2021 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $25.73 $85.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Frank Family Vineyards Chardonnay Carneros 2020 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $11.73 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bolla Soave white · Veneto · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.43 $18.69 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 16.9% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Trimbach Cuvee Frederic Emile Riesling Alsace 2011 white · Alsace · 750 ml | $20.43 $72.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Quinta do Crasto DOC White Douro 2018 white · Douro · 750 ml | $6.93 $20.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Alta Vista Torrontes Mendoza Estate 2021 white · Mendoza · 750 ml | $5.93 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Etude Estate Carneros Chardonnay 2022 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $19.19 $31.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Maior de Mendoza Fulget Albarino Rias Baixas 2020 white · Rias Baixas · 750 ml | $16.99 | 0.0% | — | 26% premium | 1% |
| Mason Cellars Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.24 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 26% premium | 2% |
2,451–2,500 of 2,882← PreviousNext →