Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Domaine Vacheron Sancerre Blanc 2023 white · Loire · 750 ml | $56.99 | 0.0% | — | 95% premium | 2% |
| Duckhorn Sauvignon Blanc North Coast white · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $31.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 6.7% | Fairly priced | 5% typically +9% if it rises |
| Jean Paul and Benoit Droin Chablis AC 2022 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $11.93 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 96% premium | <1% |
| Les Fleurs du Lac Bordeaux Blanc 2023 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $21.99 $25.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | 96% premium | <1% |
| Scacciadiavoli Montefalco Sagrantino 2019 red · 750 ml | $32.99 | — | — | 97% premium | 1% |
| Bedrock Wine Co Cabernet Sauvignon Sonoma County red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $49.99 | — | — | 97% premium | 9% typically +5% if it rises |
| Hess Collection The Lioness Chardonnay Napa Valley 2022 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $35.99 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 97% premium | <1% |
| Wente Vineyards Nth Degree Merlot Livermore Valley 2018 red · 750 ml | $34.99 | 0.0% | — | 97% premium | <1% |
| Psagot Sinai Red Blend 2023 red · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | 98% premium | 1% |
| Robert Mondavi Winery Sauvignon Blanc Napa Valley white · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.79 $37.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 90.0% | 98% premium | 1% |
| Segura Viudas Cava Brut Reserva Heredad sparkling · Penedes (Cava) · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.93 $51.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 98% premium | 1% |
| Balfour Hush Heath 1503 Classic Cuvee English Sparkling Wine sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +9% if it rises |
| Aquilini Sauvignon Blanc Red Mountain 2020 white · Washington · 750 ml | $26.23 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 98% premium | <1% |
| Las Sabias Tempranillo Toro 2020 red · Rueda / Toro · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 98% premium | <1% |
| Domaine Drouhin Oregon Pinot Noir Laurene Willamette Valley 2017 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $74.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 98% premium | <1% |
| Bideona Las Parcelas Tinto Rioja Alavesa 2021 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | 99% premium | 1% |
| Chateau de Malle Sauternes 2018 dessert · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $54.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Susana Balbo Wines Brioso Red Blend Mendoza 2023 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $42.99 | — | — | 99% premium | 1% |
| Henri Bourgeois Jadis Sancerre Blanc 2019 white · Loire · 750 ml | $44.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 100% premium | <1% |
| COS Nero di Lupo Nero d'Avola Terre Siciliane 2023 red · Sicily · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | 100% premium | 1% |
| Wild Rose Pet Nat Riesling Kamptal 2022 rosé · 750 ml | $10.93 $33.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 100% premium | <1% |
| Warre's Otima 92 Colheita Tawny Porto 1992 dessert · Douro · 500 ml | $40.19 $66.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 101% premium | <1% |
| Marietta Cellars Game Trail Cabernet Sauvignon Yorkville Highlands 2019 red · 750 ml | $31.23 $41.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Casa Silva S38 Cabernet Sauvignon Colchagua Valley 2022 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Broken Earth Winery Cabernet Sauvignon Reserve Paso Robles 2019 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $15.93 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Anthony and David Girard Les Monts Damnes Sancerre Blanc 2022 white · Loire · 750 ml | $28.79 $47.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 102% premium | <1% |
| Beringer Reserve Knights Valley Cabernet Sauvignon 2020 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $15.83 $52.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 102% premium | <1% |
| Tre Monti Vitalba Albana in Anfora Emilia Romagana 2020 red · 750 ml | $12.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 102% premium | <1% |
| Radikon Slatnik Chardonnay Friulano Friuli Orange Wine 2022 white · Friuli · 750 ml | $54.99 | 0.0% | — | 103% premium | <1% |
| Pinhal da Torre Antagonista 2017 red · 750 ml | $13.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 103% premium | <1% |
| Vidal Fleury Condrieu 2019 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $22.43 $74.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 103% premium | <1% |
| Prospice Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2017 red · Washington · 750 ml | $11.93 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Joanin Becot Castillon Cotes de Bordeaux 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $29.99 $34.99 Sale | ▲ 9.4% | — | 104% premium | 4% |
| Cloudy Bay Te Koko Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2020 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $35.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 104% premium | <1% |
| Carpineto Vigneto Poggio Sant' Enrico Vino Nobile di Montepulciano 2012 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $52.43 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 104% premium | <1% |
| Remy Pannier Jardins de Loire Sancerre Blanc 2023 white · Loire · 750 ml | $32.99 | 0.0% | — | 105% premium | 1% |
| La Spinona Vecchie Viti Barbaresco Ronchi 2020 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $69.99 $74.99 Sale | — | — | 106% premium | 1% |
| William Knuttel Cabernet Sauvignon Oakville 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $17.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 107% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Joanin Becot Castillon Cotes de Bordeaux 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $34.99 | — | — | 107% premium | 3% |
| Bruno by Karthauserhof Riesling Auslese 2018 white · 750 ml | $16.93 $58.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 107% premium | <1% |
| Finca de la Emperatriz Reserva Tinto Rioja Alta 2019 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $29.99 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Guarachi Sun Chase Pinot Noir Petaluma Gap Estate 2022 red · 750 ml | $44.99 $74.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Loveblock Tee Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2023 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $34.99 | 0.0% | — | 108% premium | 1% |
| Tinto Pesquera Crianzado Tempranillo Ribera Del Duero 2019 red · Ribera del Duero · 750 ml | $12.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Pinhal da Torre Protagonista 2017 red · 750 ml | $13.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Massalto Extravaganza Cinsault Columbia Valley 2021 red · Washington · 750 ml | $12.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 110% premium | <1% |
| Montgras Intriga Cabernet Sauvignon Maipo 2021 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Antica Terra Coriolis Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2015 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $14.73 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Massalto Extravaganza Cinsault Columbia Valley 2020 red · Washington · 750 ml | $12.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 111% premium | <1% |
| Ruffino Ducale Oro Chianti Classico Riserva red · Tuscany · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.73 $45.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 15.0% | 112% premium | 1% |
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