Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pratsch Gruner Veltliner Niederosterreich 2021 white · 1000 ml | $7.53 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Three French Hens Cabernet Sauvignon Pays d'Oc 2023 red · Languedoc-Roussillon · 3000 ml | $14.73 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Torbreck Woodcutters Shiraz Barossa Valley 2023 red · Barossa · 750 ml | $24.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tribute Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.19 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Vina Cerrada Rioja Reserva 2018 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bucket List Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $2.24 $4.49 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Cataclysm Wine Co Red Blend Columbia Valley 2019 red · Washington · 750 ml | $5.93 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Bernard Fleuriet Sancerre Blanc 2020 white · Loire · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Lafage Bastide Miraflors Cotes du Roussillon Rouge 2018 red · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $16.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Loubejac Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2022 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Falesco Vitiano Rosso Umbria red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 $10.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 10.0% | Fairly priced | 12% typically +13% if it rises |
| Gnarly Head Grateful Dead Limited Edition Cabernet Sauvignon 2x750 mL Multipack red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.33 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Nozzole Chianti Classico Riserva 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $7.43 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| The Four Graces Pinot Gris Willamette Valley 2021 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $14.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Toad Hollow Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles 2022 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $14.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Umberto Cesari MOMA Rosso red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Wilhelm Walch Prendo Pinot Grigio Vigneti delle Dolomiti 2020 white · Trentino-Alto Adige · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Benoit Gautier Vouvray Brut Antique sparkling · Loire · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Kefraya Les Breteches Bekaa Valley Lebanon White 2024 white · 750 ml | $12.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Finca Decero Malbec Mendoza 2022 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $13.99 $15.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Girard Sauvignon Blanc Napa Valley 2021 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $5.93 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Jean Marc Burgaud Beaujolais Lantignie 2021 red · Beaujolais · 750 ml | $10.03 $20.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Oak Leaf Vineyards Chardonnay white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.89 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +9% if it rises |
| Paquet Montagnac Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.49 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +7% if it rises |
| Paul Masson Vin Rose rosé · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.74 $13.49 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 3.8% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sintonia Sangria Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $2.93 $10.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Yori Wine Cellars Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.73 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| 99 West Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2023 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $19.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Barefoot Bubbly Pinot Grigio white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.49 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Clos du Bois Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | ▼ 6.3% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +4% if it rises |
| Gai'a Notios Red Blend Peloponnese 2021 red · 750 ml | $5.93 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hermanos Hernaiz el Jardin de la Emperatriz Rioja 2017 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $5.63 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Piper Sonoma Brut Reserve sparkling · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Rose d'Madeleine Rose Alpes de Haute Provence rosé · Provence · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.23 $13.49 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Sunwine Rkatsiteli Kakheti 2020 red · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Turk Blauer Zweigelt Elegant Niederosterreich 2024 red · 750 ml | $15.99 $16.99 Sale | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Yori Wine Cellars Beach Glass White Wine white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.13 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Bec Hardy Garden Series Cabernet Sauvignon Clare Valley 2021 red · South Australia · 750 ml | $7.23 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Castello di Gabbiano Chianti Classico Riserva 2020 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $15.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Castle Rock Chardonnay Central Coast 2020 white · Central Coast · 750 ml | $5.93 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau du Seuil Chapelle du Seuil Coteaux d'Aix en Provence Rose 2021 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $16.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Mas des Lavandes IGP Mediterranee Rose 2025 rosé · 750 ml | $12.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Jermann Pinot Grigio Friuli 2022 white · Friuli · 375 ml | $18.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Neyers 304 Chardonnay Sonoma County 2022 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $14.99 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Villa Sparina Gavi di Gavi 2025 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $16.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Apollos Praise Dry Rose Nutt Road Vineyard Finger Lakes 2024 rosé · Finger Lakes · 750 ml | $19.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Block Nine Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 $14.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 5% typically +7% if it rises |
| Fre Chardonnay Alcohol Removed white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.39 | 0.0% | ▲ 34.3% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +11% if it rises |
| Lenz Moser Gruner Veltliner Niederosterreich 2020 white · 1000 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Maia Prosecco sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +9% if it rises |
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