Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chateau Ormes de Pez Saint Estephe 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $39.99 | ▲ 37.9% | — | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Dark Horse Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | ▲ 8.3% | ▲ 30.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Domaine Font Mars Picpoul de Pinet 2020 red · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Gai'a Notios Agiorgitiko Syrah Peloponnese Greece Red 2023 red · 750 ml | $16.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Iron Horse Wedding Cuvee Green Valley 2017 red · 750 ml | $22.53 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| K Vintners The Deal Wahluke Slope 2019 red · Washington · 750 ml | $12.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lionel Osmin and Cie Villa des Causses Malbec Vin de France 2021 red · 750 ml | $2.93 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Mon Frere Cabernet Sauvignon 2022 red · 750 ml | $10.99 $11.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Montinore Estate Red Cap Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2019 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $6.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Reserve des Hospitaliers Cotes du Rhone Rouge 2021 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Salvestrin Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2020 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $17.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Alki Red Blend Wahluke Slope 2018 red · Washington · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Alpha Estate Malagouzia Florina 2021 red · 750 ml | $11.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Aravail Pinot Noir Central Coast red · Central Coast · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.39 | — | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +10% if it rises |
| Bully Hill Vineyards Growers Red red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.33 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 28.6% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Cakebread Cellars Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2022 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $84.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Pegau Cuvee Maclura Cotes du Rhone Rouge 2020 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $14.23 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Damien Martin Pinot Noir Bourgogne 2019 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $18.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine de Fabregues Le Coeur Languedoc Pezenas 2020 red · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $15.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Firriato Chiaramonte Nero d'Avola Sicilia 2018 red · Sicily · 750 ml | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Gunbun Pinot Noir 2022 red · 750 ml | $14.99 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Nicolas Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.39 | 0.0% | ▲ 3.6% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Pomerol by Clinet 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $26.99 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Robert Hall Merlot Paso Robles red · Paso Robles · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Ruhlmann Cuvee Mosaique Pinot Noir Alsace 2023 red · Alsace · 750 ml | $10.73 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bogle Vineyards Petite Sirah red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 7.7% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Castle Rock Pinot Noir Monterey County 2021 red · Monterey · 750 ml | $2.93 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Enrico Serafino Grifo del Quartaro Gavi di Gavi 2020 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| GD Vajra Barolo Bricco Della Viole 2018 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $99.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Louis Jadot Domaine Gagey Les Drazey Chambolle Musigny Rouge 2019 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $89.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Nickel and Nickel Winery Cabernet Sauvignon St Helena Dogleg Vineyard 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $120 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Pendulum Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2021 red · Washington · 750 ml | $5.93 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Peter Vella Sweet Red red · 5000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $20.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 23.5% | Fairly priced | 12% typically +9% if it rises |
| Rabble Red Blend Paso Robles red · Paso Robles · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.73 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Tenuta Le Colonne Plenum Toscana Rosso 2021 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $14.99 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ventisquero Grey Glacier Single Block Cabernet Sauvignon Maipo Valley 2020 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Vina Valoria Rioja Crianza 2020 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $3.93 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Cora Montepulciano d'Abruzzo red · Abruzzo · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +10% if it rises |
| Domaine Guy Amiot et Fils Les Vergers Chassagne Montrachet 1er Cru 2019 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $99.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Franciscan Estate Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 | 0.0% | ▼ 30.4% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Giovanni Rosso Barolo 2016 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $44.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Greg Norman Estates Pinot Noir Santa Barbara 2019 red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $4.93 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Orin Swift Abstract Red 2022 red · 750 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| The Dreaming Tree Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 $17.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 5.9% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Domaine Filliatreau Chateau Fouquet Saumur Rouge 2021 red · Loire · 750 ml | $22.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Duckhorn Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley red · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $64.99 | ▼ 18.8% | ▼ 7.1% | Fairly priced | 24% typically +4% if it rises |
| Eola Hills Winery Classic Pinot Noir Oregon 2020 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $4.93 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Gilgal Syrah Golan Heights 2019 red · 750 ml | $8.03 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| J Bouchon Pais Viejo Maule Valley 2021 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tribute Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.33 $16.59 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
2,401–2,450 of 5,705← PreviousNext →