Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| La Croix Ducru Beaucaillou St Julien 2021 red · 750 ml | $19.93 $67.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Milbrandt Family Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2020 red · Washington · 750 ml | $5.03 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bourgogne Select Chardonnay Macon Villages 2019 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Catena Zapata Nicasia Malbec Mendoza 2020 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $59.39 $98.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Rauzan Segla Margaux 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $177 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Christian Brothers Cream Sherry California dessert · California Central Valley · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.99 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Adrien Besson Petit Chablis 2021 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $21.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Bousquet Malbec Tupungato 2023 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $7.79 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Eola Hills Winery Classic Riesling Oregon 2022 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $3.93 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hahn Pinot Noir Monterey County red · Monterey · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $15.99 Sale | ▼ 9.6% | ▼ 5.9% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Ignacio Marin Old Vine Garnacha Costers Del Serge 2015 red · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| J Bookwalter Readers Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2019 red · Washington · 750 ml | $6.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Jug and Barrel Red Blend Bourbon Barrel Aged red · 1000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +8% if it rises |
| Miraval Cote de Provence Rose 2023 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $19.99 $21.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Terrazas de los Andes Chardonnay Mendoza white · Mendoza · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.99 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Waterbrook Sauvignon Blanc Columbia Valley 2020 white · Washington · 750 ml | $3.53 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Zuccardi Concreto Malbec Paraje Altamira 2019 red · 750 ml | $35.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bar Dog Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.29 $14.59 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 12.3% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Bodegas Breca Rose Spain 2021 rosé · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cavit Rose Trevenezie rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 | ▲ 10.0% | — | Fairly priced | 15% typically +5% if it rises |
| Champagne Philippe Gonet Ter Noir Extra Brut sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $59.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +6% if it rises |
| Corbett Canyon Merlot Central Valley red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $2.63 $12.49 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 25.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Fabre En Provence Cotes de Provence Rose 2022 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $4.23 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Fabre en Provence Cotes de Provence Rose 2023 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Firriato Le Sabbie dell'Etna Bianco 2020 white · Sicily · 750 ml | $4.73 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Gnarly Head Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.49 | ▲ 3.8% | ▲ 3.8% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Ogier La Serine Cote Rotie 2018 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $79.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Pinnacle Ridge Dry Vidal Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.49 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.2% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Reserve de la Comtesse Pauillac 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $89.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +35% if it rises |
| Warres Quinta da Cavadinha 2006 red · 750 ml | $34.79 $57.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Alfredo Bertolani Dolce Fiore Lambrusco sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +8% if it rises |
| And Why am I Mr Pink Rose Columbia Valley 2024 rosé · Washington · 750 ml | $9.99 $11.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Castello Romitorio Brunello di Montalcino 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $49.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Lagrange Saint Julien 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $20.93 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Motte Maucourt Bordeaux Blanc 2023 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $3.93 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cline Cellars Old Vines Zinfandel Lodi red · Lodi · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 15.4% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Cresti Fattoria Carpineta Fontalpino Do Ut Des Toscana 2017 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $23.99 $24.99 Sale | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine de Chevalier Pessac Leognan Rouge 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $120 | ▲ 9.1% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Freemark Abbey Chardonnay Napa Valley 2021 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $22.13 $36.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Goose Ridge G3 Merlot Columbia Valley 2019 red · Washington · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Head High Pinot Noir Sonoma County 2021 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $3.93 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Le Ragose Valpolicella Classico 2023 red · Veneto · 750 ml | $11.99 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Les Anges Val de Loire Rose 2022 rosé · Loire · 750 ml | $3.53 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Pol Roger Brut Reserve Champagne sparkling · Champagne · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $145 $160 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 13% typically +6% if it rises |
| Trerose Santa Caterina Vino Nobile di Montepulciano 2016 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $19.43 $25.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| 1924 Double Gold Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.53 $14.59 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Daniel Pollier Macon Fuisse 2020 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Philippe Raimbault Les Fossiles Sancerre Blanc 2020 white · Loire · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Gloria Ferrer Gloria Brut Rose Carneros 2017 sparkling · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $6.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Groth Cabernet Sauvignon Oakville 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $41.93 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
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