Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Vintage-dated premium and luxury wines, ranked by the model's chance of a list-price rise within a year. These are retail shelf prices at a state retailer, not auction or secondary-market prices, so treat them as a signal of retail pricing momentum rather than investment returns.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Domaine de Vauroux Chablis 2022 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine de Vauroux Chablis Bougros Grand Cru 2018 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $24.73 $84.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 31% premium | <1% |
| Domaine de la Pauline Sancerre Blanc 2022 white · Loire · 750 ml | $8.23 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine du Clos des Poulettes En Beauregard Cote de Nuits Villages Blanc 2020 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Emblem Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2017 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $20.03 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Frank Family Vineyards Chardonnay Carneros 2021 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $11.93 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Frog's Leap Cabernet Sauvignon Estate Grown Rutherford Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $25.93 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Gundlach Bundschu Cabernet Sauvignon Sonoma Valley Reserve 2019 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $83.99 $140 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 161% premium | <1% |
| Hamilton Russell Vineyards Chardonnay Hemel en Aarde Valley 2021 white · 750 ml | $23.53 $45.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Harlan Estate Napa Valley 2017 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $480 $1,600 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 1080% premium | <1% |
| Iron Horse Ocean Reserve Blanc de Blanc Green Valley of Russian River Valley 2017 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $15.93 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Iron Horse Ocean Reserve Blanc de Blanc Green Valley of Russian River Valley 2019 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $17.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Joh Jos Graacher Himmelreich Riesling Mosel Kabinett 2020 white · Mosel · 1500 ml | $86.93 $145 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Joh Jos Prum Riesling Graacher Himmelreich Mosel Auslese 2011 white · Mosel · 750 ml | $75.03 $150 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Kosta Browne Pinot Noir Anderson Valley 2021 red · 750 ml | $33.53 $112 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Kosta Browne Pinot Noir Santa Rita Hills 2021 red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $33.53 $112 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| La Serena Brunello di Montalcino 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $20.93 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lamblin et Fils Chablis Vielles Vignes 2022 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $17.99 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lavinea Lazy River Chardonnay Willamette Valley 2017 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $11.93 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Le Petit Haut Lafitte Pessac Leognan Blanc 2020 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $29.53 $56.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Le Petit Lion du Marquis de Las Cases Saint Julien 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $42.03 $84.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Le Petit Lion du Marquis de Las Cases Saint Julien 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $26.93 $89.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lion Tamer Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $19.93 $64.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lisini Brunello di Montalcino 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $20.93 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Louis Jadot Domaine Gagey Les Boudots Nuits Saint Georges 1er Cru Rouge 2019 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $65.03 $130 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 18% premium | <1% |
| Maison Louis Jadot Chablis Fourchaume 1er Cru 2021 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $20.93 $68.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Marietta Cellars Christo Red Blend 2021 red · 750 ml | $7.93 $25.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Marietta Cellars Game Trail Cabernet Sauvignon Yorkville Highlands 2019 red · 750 ml | $31.23 $41.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Marimar Estate Syrah Don Miguel Vineyard Russian River Valley 2018 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $13.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Marques De Riscal Baron De Chirel Tempranillo Rioja 2017 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $23.73 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 319% premium | <1% |
| Merryvale Chardonnay Napa Valley 2018 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $11.03 $36.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Mia Lou Roter Riesling Rheingau 2022 white · Rheingau · 750 ml | $7.93 $25.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Neyers Sage Canyon Red 2021 red · 750 ml | $16.79 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Orin Swift Machete 2019 red · 750 ml | $17.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Palmaris Cabernet Sauvignon Reserve Napa Valley 2020 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $20.93 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Penfolds Bin 407 Cabernet Sauvignon South Australia 2019 red · South Australia · 750 ml | $25.93 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Phelps Creek Vineyards Estate Pinot Noir Columbia Gorge 2021 red · 750 ml | $8.33 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Pommery Grand Cru Royal Brut Champagne 2008 sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml | $44.73 $74.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Produttori del Barbaresco Barbaresco Riserva Montestefano 2017 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $49.73 $82.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Produttori del Barbaresco Barbaresco Riserva Ovello 2017 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $23.43 $82.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Produttori del Barbaresco Barbaresco Riserva Rabaja 2017 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $49.73 $82.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Quinta Do Vallado LBV Porto 2018 dessert · Douro · 750 ml | $9.53 $31.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Reserve de la Comtesse Pauillac 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $23.93 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Robert Mondavi Winery The Estates Cabernet Sauvignon Oakville 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $24.73 $84.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Rocky Pond Winery Stratastone Rhone Blend 2019 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $12.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Samsara Pinot Noir Sta Rita Hills 2018 red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $12.73 $42.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| San Polo Brunello di Montalcino 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $41.99 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Saxon Brown Chardonnay Green Acres Hill Sangiacomo Vineyard Carneros 2018 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $17.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Shafer Hillside Select Cabernet Sauvignon Stags Leap District 2017 red · Napa Valley · 1500 ml | $325 $650 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Shafer Red Shoulder Ranch Chardonnay Carneros 2021 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $20.73 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
2,351–2,400 of 3,189← PreviousNext →