Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Schlumberger Gruner Veltliner Niederoesterreich 2020 white · 750 ml | $6.93 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 82% premium | <1% |
| The Calling Single Vineyard Series Pinot Noir Terra de Promissio Sonoma Coast 2019 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $22.43 $74.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 83% premium | <1% |
| Au Bon Climat Pinot Noir Knox Alexander Santa Maria Valley 2019 red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $34.73 $57.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 83% premium | <1% |
| Markou Phenomena Savatiano Athens Vareli Greece White 2023 white · 750 ml | $28.99 | — | — | 83% premium | <1% |
| Play Rose Hungary 2022 rosé · 750 ml | $8.93 $26.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 83% premium | <1% |
| J J Prum Bernkastler Badstube Riesling Mosel Kabinett 2021 white · Mosel · 750 ml | $47.99 | 0.0% | — | 83% premium | <1% |
| Chavy Martin Macon Chardonnay 2023 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $17.99 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 84% premium | <1% |
| Department 66 D66 Grenache Maury IGP Cotes Catalans 2020 red · 750 ml | $19.79 $32.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 84% premium | <1% |
| Tenuta Argentiera Villa Donoratico Bolgheri Rosso 2020 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $14.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Pierre Sparr Schoenenbourg Riesling Alsace Grand Cru 2020 white · Alsace · 750 ml | $28.79 $47.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cloudy Bay Te Wahi Pinot Noir Central Otago 2021 red · 750 ml | $74.99 | — | — | 86% premium | 1% |
| Marques de Caceres MC Rioja 2020 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $35.99 | 0.0% | — | 86% premium | 1% |
| Marietta Cellars Syrah Gibson Block McDowell Valley 2019 red · 750 ml | $12.53 $41.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cloudy Bay Te Wahi Pinot Noir Central Otago 2019 red · 750 ml | $44.99 $74.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 86% premium | <1% |
| Castello di Neive Bartbaresco Albesani Santo Stefano 2019 red · 750 ml | $41.99 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Florio Marsala Superiore Riserva Semisecco 2015 dessert · 750 ml | $14.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 87% premium | <1% |
| St Francis Reserve Merlot Sonoma Valley 2019 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $11.73 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 87% premium | <1% |
| Bodega Benegas Single Vineyard Malbec Mendoza 2020 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $34.99 | 0.0% | — | 87% premium | 1% |
| Ashbourne Pinotage Hemel en Aarde Valley 2020 red · 750 ml | $27.53 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Jean Foillard Fleurie 2020 red · Beaujolais · 750 ml | $59.99 | 0.0% | — | 88% premium | <1% |
| Warwick Professor Black Pitch Black Red Blend Stellenbosch 2018 red · Western Cape · 750 ml | $10.23 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 88% premium | <1% |
| Trefethen Merlot 2021 red · 750 ml | $29.99 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 89% premium | <1% |
| Hawk and Horse Cabernet Sauvignon Red Hills Lake County 2016 red · 750 ml | $22.43 $74.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Turk Gruner Veltliner Ried Kremser Thurnerberg 2022 white · 750 ml | $10.93 $37.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 89% premium | <1% |
| Rex Hill Chardonnay Seven Soils Willamette Valley 2019 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $9.93 $36.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Zigu Dessert Wine Kakheti dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.73 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 89% premium | 1% |
| Rudolph's Red Cabernet Sauvignon Stocking red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $39.99 | — | — | 90% premium | 8% typically +6% if it rises |
| Michel Sarrazin Maranges Rouge 2022 red · 750 ml | $25.19 $41.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 90% premium | <1% |
| Paso d'Oro Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 $27.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | 90% premium | 11% typically +5% if it rises |
| AR Pepe Valtellina Superiore Grumello Rocca de Piro 2017 red · 750 ml | $17.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Homenagem Tejo Reserva 2015 red · 750 ml | $10.93 $33.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau des Jacques Clos de Rochegres Moulin a Vent 2020 red · Beaujolais · 750 ml | $42.99 | 0.0% | — | 91% premium | <1% |
| Val delle Rose Aurelio Maremma Rosso rosé · Tuscany · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | 91% premium | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Cline Family Cellars Rock Carved Cabernet Sauvignon Alexander Valley 2021 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 91% premium | <1% |
| Escudo Rojo Origine Cabernet Sauvignon Reserva Maipo Valley 2021 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $8.93 $31.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 91% premium | <1% |
| Bruichladdich Islay Single Malt Port Charlotte 10 Year Old dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $69.99 | 0.0% | — | 92% premium | 6% typically +7% if it rises |
| Domaine Le Facteur La Bamboche Vin de France Blanc 2022 white · 750 ml | $28.99 | 0.0% | — | 92% premium | <1% |
| Golan Heights Winery Katzrin Chardonnay Golan Heights Israel 2022 white · 750 ml | $36.99 | — | — | 92% premium | 2% |
| Chateau Lagrange Les Arums de Lagrange Bordeaux Blanc 2021 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $11.13 $36.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 92% premium | <1% |
| Segura Viudas Cava Brut Reserva Heredad sparkling · Penedes (Cava) · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | 92% premium | 1% |
| Clunia Tempranillo Castilla y Leon 2016 red · Rueda / Toro · 750 ml | $25.99 $29.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Avennia Gravura Red Blend Columbia Valley red · Washington · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $39.99 | — | — | 93% premium | 10% typically +6% if it rises |
| Bernardus Marinus Red Carmel Valley 2017 red · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Vacheron Sancerre Blanc 2024 white · Loire · 750 ml | $56.99 | — | — | 94% premium | 2% |
| Long Shadows Pirouette Red Wine Columbia Valley 2019 red · Washington · 750 ml | $20.93 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 94% premium | <1% |
| Fattoria le Pupile Poggio Valente Toscana Rosso 2021 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $29.99 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Oremus Tokaji Mandolas Dry Furmint Tokaj 2020 dessert · 750 ml | $14.73 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 94% premium | <1% |
| Gia Coppola Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles 2022 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | 94% premium | 1% |
| Dama Wines GSM Red Blend Columbia Valley 2019 red · Washington · 750 ml | $12.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 95% premium | <1% |
| Tetramythos Roditis Orange Natur Patras 2021 red · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 95% premium | <1% |
2,351–2,400 of 2,525← PreviousNext →